SussexmarkyMark
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Posts posted by SussexmarkyMark
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2 minutes ago, mrkipling said:
I'll just leave this here...
You beat me to it! Very, very weird !
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Light snow falling in this part of Brighton
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1 minute ago, Marie said:
Mile oak portslade
Ah. You're about 4 miles west of me. That probably accounts for it
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3 minutes ago, Marie said:
Getting heavier but it’s wet snow , it is starting to lay on cars but not roads at the mo , winds really picked up too
Where in Brighton are you? Still dry here
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4 minutes ago, Marie said:
It’s small grains of snow but it’s coming down pretty fast , I parked my car at 6.15 outside and has a small layer of snow on it now .Dont get me wrong it’s not huge amounts but it’s the most we have seen today ?
The most today? Really?. We had a short period of moderate snow in this part of Brighton, giving an additional covering at about 7 this morning
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I'm very close to the seafront in Brighton. Not seen a flake in the last hour. The wind however is strengthening.
Radar seems to show no northwards movement to the precipitation to the south of Brighton in the last half hour.
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3 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:
The people saying it's going to turn dry for the rest of the day obviously haven't looked whats coming to our South
But I think that is forecast to move north towards Devon and Dorset, hence the warnings down there.
East and North Kent will probably continue to do well as the front interacts with the easterly wind. Will also probably drive snow towards London.
Not much at all for most of Sussex.
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Pretty much stopped here on the coast. Is that it for the day? Looks like the usual parts of Kent are having it a bit heavier
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I'm not expecting very much, unless this front re-invigorates itself. Most of the yellows and greens have gone, and back-edge approaching south coast.
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21 minutes ago, Nick L said:
It's bad enough with people giving the whole "waaaahhh my app said it would rain at 14:06 today but it actually rained at 14:20" hysterics.
And apparently they are going to show hourly forecasts for 14 days hence.....
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I note that one of the 'improvements' the BBC are offering is a new online 14 day forecast. Having followed the models on websites like this for the last 20 years, and seen how inaccurate forecasting becomes beyond about 5 days, I think they're asking for trouble, as people will start complaining about poor forecasting.
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Snowing
And starting to settle on cars and flower beds
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It was the coldest March in the UK since 1962.
Ah yes, it brings back memories of spending the night of the 11th March 2013 in my car on the M23, north of Brighton. I'm not expecting that quantity of snowfall tomorrow, but the charts as posted by Dr Astro above, do suggest a risk of some sort of snowfall.
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Nice streamer towards the far SE of our region atm http://www.raintoday.co.uk/
Although the weather type radar is showing as rain/sleet .....
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I don't post on here very often these days, because my technical knowledge is not sufficient to enter into conversations with those who use complex reasoning to justify why they believe certain outcomes are more likely. I prefer to look at charts in a more simplistic way which often seems to be the best way to see what the most likely outcome is. Whilst many have used the charts to justify talk of unstable northerlies, complex features and polar lows, bringing the risk of heavy snow and not just the 'wishbone' effect, with very low temperatures, the more simplistic view suggested that for many this wintery spell would not bring anything significant. For many over a large swathe of Southern England, we're still waiting for the bitterly cold weather to kick in. Firstly we were told it was going to happen on Thursday - temperatures were around 5 or 6 in many areas - then we were told it's going to be Sunday - here are today's forecast maxima from GFS:
Once the cold is 'set in', the forecast maxima are as follows:
And then we have this for the end of the week:
So, this chilly period of weather, initially accentuated by the wind, remains pretty much as it is now for many areas, and there doesn't seem much chance of any significant snowfall either. I'm sure further north it has been colder and there has been lying snow, although how much to widespread low-lying areas, I don't know, and indeed there has been the occasional light covering down here, but if overnight snow, doesn't even make it to lunchtime, with daytime temperatures of 4 or 5c, it's hardly a major cold event and the outlook for this coming week just looks like more of the same to me
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is this from the BBC?
It's the weather warning put out by the Met Office for Tuesday, although it barely grazes SE England. It might, perhaps, be an indication that they expect the wind to be slightly east of north by then, as the warning is not replicated for western coasts
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I think the reason a lot of people in the South of England might be writing off the cold spell after 24 hours, is that the charts and the experts are continually watering down the severity of this promised cold spell. Many places across Southern England and the south Midlands reached 5 to 7 Celsius yesterday and the forecasters say that it will be 'less cold' today. For tomorrow, the original forecast of snow showers moving down from the north has been replaced by a 'wintry mix of rain, sleet and snow' and the outlook from the Met Office for south eastern areas (as an example) for Sunday to Tuesday goes for 'cold and mainly dry with bright spells for Sunday and Monday, along with widespread frost. Risk of rain and sleet for a time Tuesday, but some sunny spells also likely'.
I think for Southern areas, this may turn out to be nothing more than a fairly average late January/early February period of chilly winds and night frost and, if you're lucky, a temporary snow cover from a heavier passing shower.
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He clearly said they had little confidence in the forecast and to keep your eye on the BBC site, basically ha admitted it's nowcasting time.
Not for the 21:55 forecast. The uncertainty was only to do with the small low to the west on Monday. He didn't seem uncertain about the weekend at all. I wasn't commenting on whether it would be accurate, just that it was the first forecast today that I'd seen that hadn't been couched in uncertainty. He certainly made no comment on a pasting for any part of the SE.
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You have to laugh, when will people learn that the majority of snow events normally show up at very short notice. The beeb will not comment on snow until they are confident!!
I agree with that comment. They usually are vague and say 'stay tuned for updates' . That's why it was very strange that he was specific that it would be dry.
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I wasn't referring to Brighton specifically. I was commenting on tbe BBC extended forecast at 21:55 when Alex Deakin showed dry weather throughout the weekend across the whole of the SE..... it was surprising, as it was at odds with earlier forecasts.Brighton, judging by your location!
Most stuff in the SE region is going to see something, some of us will get a covering, others a bit more and some of us will see a single flake in the lamp post light!
Later tomorrow looked the best chance of snow showers, although better in inland West Sussex, then he said sleety showers for Friday and a dry weekend. I hope he's wrong
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For your region yes! But for the rest of the SE we are in the firing line for the first proper time this winter.
Which region are you talking about? This is the SE regional thread?
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Just saw the weather outlook by Alex Deakin on News 24.Good chance of snow on tomorrow. Then a lull in the afternoon followed by an increase in snow shower activity tomorrow night....and that's it, according to Alex Deakin. Dry for the whole country over the weekend apart from the coasts. And dry into next week as well, with no mention whatsoever of any fronts coming down from the north. But probably too far out I would say?
The forecast for the weekend and next week was disappointing if you are looking for snow. If there was a chance of fronts coming down from the north over the weekend I would have thought Alex Deakin would have mentioned the possibility, even with the provisio that there was uncertainty, rather than just saying it would be dry. Conflicts with a lot of the comments on here and in the model thread.
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A nice dusting here. Completely unexpected !!
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well we have sleety rain - that is raindrops with melting snow in them - It's a start!
We have what appears to be melting hail in Hove, but difficult to tell
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted · Edited by SussexmarkyMark
I guess it depends where in Brighton you are. Certainly felt the windchill up between the racecourse and Woodingdean this afternoon.