SussexmarkyMark
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Posts posted by SussexmarkyMark
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Perhaps the 'enthusiasts' should have spent over 11 hours on the A23 between Crawley and Brighton on Monday night, like I did, and they might be a little less enthusiastic about disruptive snow. It's certainly changed my view of snow and has increased my longing for some spring warmth considerably. Still only 5c today and well below average unfortunately.
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Anyone around the brighton area who has this snow settling??
Settling on cars, and wooden table, in Queens Park area. Also out towards Woodingdean it's settling slightly on the grass. Not settling on footpaths or roads that I have seen though.
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Queens Park, Brighton, about 15:30 yesterday when snow was falling quite heavily. Frozen lake in foreground and about 8cm of lying snow.
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A rather bleak Brighton/Hove seafront. Snow almost to the waters edge (Pillars from old West Pier)
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latest NAE showing the heaviest of tomorrows snow heading straight up the North Sea . . . . . you just couldn't make it up
Looks like straight into Kent and Sussex to me
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Just back from a bracing walk along the prom in Brighton/Hove. Horizontal snow in a bitter SE wind. Mini snowdrifts on the beach up against the promenade wall. I would post a picture, but can't work out how to ! Snow now ceased, and about 8cm in garden (slightly away from the promenade and up a hill)
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SussexMark- the upper level steering winds are not condusive for snow showers moving west that far on tues + weds-
Thanks Steve. I'd gathered than from your post. Was just surprised the 'experts' hadn't worked that one out less than 24 hours ago. Thanks for all your useful updates, by the way.
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in the mid term follow the UKMO model & watch the GFS track back- theres a chance of some snow crossing the region tues eve again but it may slide down the east of the region into central & East kent........
Looking ahead- friday may be our next chance........................
S
So I'm guessing all the heavy snow showers 'pushing well inland' for Tuesday and Wednsday across the SE region - as described on yesterday's BBC Countryfile forecast - have been cancelled ? If that's the case, it's a pretty poor showing from the BBC forecasters. Not much point doing a weekly forecast if they can't get day two right
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The MetO have updated there warnings for East Anglia http://www.metoffice...t_warnings.html
It's updated for icy roads, not snow, I think
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Well temp still going up here now currently 4.2 dewpoint -0.4
That seems very high. Are you recording close to a building with possible ambient heat ? I currently have 1.4, which is quite similar to the official reading at Shoreham at 1pm which is 1.6.
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Well not on Sunday but I drove up the downs yesterday and its a magnificent sight, just makes you sad you don't see it when you look out of the window! Its very noticeable the way altitude makes a difference as where I am theres none and just a mile away and up a hill theres probably still 5cm laying!
Indeed, although not entirely due to altititude, more due to proximity to the sea. When the heaviest of the snow was falling on Saturday night, the wind was very strong from the SSE and mixing in a lot of less cold air off the sea, so no lying snow on the seafront, whereas other low lying areas about a mile from the sea (for example Moulscoombe) had snow right down to sea level. The upcoming event I think would be of snow right down to the coast, as the mixing in of the air over the sea will not occur in the same way, but alas at present the trajectory does not look too great for this far SE. Having said that, however, there are already showers showing on the radar much further south, so, who knows :unsure:
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Pretty sure my location is doomed again! Haha oh well, hope everyone enjoys the snow and everyone be safe!
Doomed 'again' ? Did you travel around Brighton at all on Sunday ? Tobogganing going on in Stanmer Park, Wild Park, East Brighton Park (upper sections), Woodingdean, Hollingbury, Race Hill, and about 6 inches of snow on Devils Dyke and Ditchling Beacon. Still there now on the Dyke and the Beacon if you want to go for a snowy walk
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grief can you not interpolate that Mark?
Not really, sorry. Struggle with the colours, (blues, pinks, whatever they are) so have to save then to desktop and get a friend to tell me which are rain and which are snow, so the full set would help, then could work out if it stays as snow or turns to rain. That's a daltonist for you unfortunately
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Do you have the chart in the middle of those two ? The first is 18:00 to 00:00 then the second is 06:00 to 12:00. It misses out the crucial six hours overnight. ThanksNAE +36
+48
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Not sure if I'm supposed to post a screen-print, so apologies if not. Heaviest rain crossing the Sussex coast, and moving towards the NE. No lightening here in the last 15 mins though, despite the intensity of the rain (which has now started to diminish anyway).
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Extremely heavy rain here now... but no more lightening it seems
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Lots of lightening and torrential rain now in Brighton. Lost satellite tv signal. Mind you, the lightening is probably more interesting than Sunday night tv anyway !
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It's not a heatwave.. I wish people wouldn't call it a heatwave whenever they see a 30C on the chart, there's a set definition for heatwave and we get 30C so often that it's silly to call anything hot a heatwave
For my area it's something like 2 days of 32C and minima of 20C I think and I doubt that anywhere outside of London will reach 30C.This week is looking like a good week though, possibly a 32C on Monday and 30C tomorrow here, then a week of slightly cooler weather in the lower 20s but still some sunshine but let's not forget the average for London is 23C so it's only average really.. I just hope we can get a sustained hot spell soon!
Well if the met office call it a 'heatwave', is it not reasonable that everyone else can ?
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Well GFS and ECM are hovering and signs are that June may not go to plan. However Summer is June July and August so plenty of time yet.
Whilst summer lasts three months, the summer forecast mentions the first part of summer being favoured for the best weather:
"Within the summer, we expect the core of the hot and settled weather to occur during June and July, particularly June which we think will be very pleasant with high pressure in charge across much of western Europe and the UK."
If this is the core of the hot weather ( a three day warm snap), then I dread to think what they are expecting August to be like !
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But he wasn't congratulating the forecast, he was commenting on the availability of a bit more technical information and detail.
Point taken. I probably I should have 'quoted' the whole thread, rather than just the one contributor. The point I was trying to make, obviously unsuccessfully, is that you can put as much technical detail in a forecast as you want, but it matters not one jot if the forecast turns out to be inaccurate, particularly if you are going to use headlines like 'Hot and Dry Summer - Shades of 1976'. It's a big risk.
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So just to clarify, if on June 1st it's not blazingly hot then you would consider the forecast to be a dud and the technical, more detailed items on netweather not to be worth it?!
Not at all. I just think it's very dangerous to congratulate someone (or group of people) for a seasonal forecast before it has actually happened. The technical aspect was very reasoned and logical, but it doesn't guarantee success. All I meant was that current indications are that the first half of June MAY have the high pressure much further west than the seasonal forecast was suggesting, but only time will tell and then we can all make our judgement.
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The biggest problem I have with PWS is that they never explain why they think we will have a record breaking august (last years quote!) and this apparant middle of a heatwave! But it's a problem across the board, I wish the met office would have a more technical bit I'n the website too. Thank god for Netweather!!!
I hope that comment doesn't come back to bite you. Don't forget NetWeather are forecating a hot and sunny summer akin to 1976, and we're only seven days away now and GFS is not looking that promising for next week. Fingers very tightly crossed !
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my view is that this extra thread will only work if any posts to it are copied across at the same time to the normal model thread. whether that is technically possible - no idea. btw, i was invited but just missed off the list by OON.
Well from the little I know about the software that runs these forums, that would be technically very difficult. Would rely on you all copying and pasting everything and I can't see that happening.
I really just don't like the 'feel' of it. Netweather provide two main 'services' as I see it. A weather forecasting service that keeps visitors to the site up to date on what they should expect short-term and long-term (seasonal forecasts) and then separately a forum for people to discuss the weather in all its forms. But now there is this hybrid where you can watch some members discussing matters, but can not comment, without going into a second-class area. I've always hated scenarios when certain people are treated second best to others, particularly when it is the ones that shout loudest that win over those that prefer to stay a bit quieter. If you look at the posts that some of the elite members have been posting over the last week about amazing easterlies from mid-January, it really shows that they know little more than those of us who prefer to be a little more circumspect
I think I'm should give it a miss for a while, as I can see it will start to irritate me quite quickly
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I see you have a gatecrasher at the elite party. A Bluearmy has started posting and he doesn't appear on the guest list.
It's all very weird - you have two parallel threads now, discussing the same thing. A them and an us. It's very irritating having to flit back and forth between the two. It seems to have been a knee-jerk reaction to a busy period on the original thread though our exceptional December, but now we have a less exceptional period of weather, the parallel thread seems superfluous.
Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat
in Regional
Posted
And an inky black sky to the west, as the rain starts to fall