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Jeremy Shockey

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Everything posted by Jeremy Shockey

  1. Jeremy Shockey
    GEFS 06 z ensemble mean. very good mean and likely staying cold until 11th Jan at least
  2. Jeremy Shockey
    Still 0 c at Market Weighton (with Dew point of -0.1 ) at 10.30 when I was expecting 2 or 3 c , so maybe better conditions for snow later as showers come in off the North Sea
  3. Jeremy Shockey
    Hi CW , good to hear you. I will be heading up to Garrowby Hill later this evening thats for sure. i wouldnt be surprised if the road from Malton to Thixendale gets a few cm later too , regards JS
  4. Jeremy Shockey
    Arome 18z still interested in snow tomorrow night for parts of our region
  5. Jeremy Shockey
    agreed Scott and wouldn't rule out some beefy snow showers coming back in from the East to parts of Yorkshire as the low pivots Monday evening perhaps Harmonie 6z precipitation
  6. Jeremy Shockey
    I've noticed that Euro 4 has really gone downhill in accuracy since its "upgrade" a couple of years ago . For some reason it now overestimates snow potential whereas in the past it would underestimate it.
  7. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 0z ensemble mean Great ensemble mean this morning from ECM 0z. It continues to look very cold in the medium term
  8. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 0z ensemble mean A very impressive ensemble mean this morning from ECM 0z. It just gets colder !
  9. Jeremy Shockey
    GEFS 0z ensembles 2M temps Lovely cold mean all the way. Happy Christmas to one and all.
  10. Jeremy Shockey
    Lovely up on the Wolds this lunchtime
  11. Jeremy Shockey
    snowing now in North Newbald
  12. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 12 z ensemble mean A really good mean and trending colder in the medium term. . And the Op was warmer than the mean all the way from 28th onwards. Good times ahead for coldies
  13. Jeremy Shockey
    Christmas Eve 6pm Christmas Eve 9pm Our new friend Harmonie 06 z brings some snow showers for Eastern counties tomorrow evening. Very festive !
  14. Jeremy Shockey
    Harmonie 6z precipitation Looking good for the Wolds , Moors and a few other parts of Yorkshire for some snow showers on Christmas Eve
  15. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 12z ensemble mean Op was not an outlier. Still not bad , plenty to excited about
  16. Jeremy Shockey
    Euro4 12z Maybe East Yorkshire can get lucky on Christmas Eve Very hopeful over the next 10 days Lee ........28th Dec until 4th Jan will bring plenty of opportunity for many in Yorkshire i suspect
  17. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 06 z ensembles lots of opportunity after the 27th ! ( and snow showers for the lucky few on 24th if precipitation occurs in the East )
  18. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 12 z ensembles 850 s 850's are -8 or even colder for 24th / 25th
  19. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 0z ensemble mean 850s Another improvement in the ECM 0z ensemble mean this morning after 27th , ( and 24th / 25th still looks tasty too ) GFS 0z precipitation charts Increasing snow chances for the East during Christmas Eve too
  20. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 12 z ensemble mean 850 s for Dec 24th and 25th still looking very good indeed and conducive to a few snow showers in the East....... And an improving mean in the medium term too 28th - 30th ( compared to the ECM 0z )
  21. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 12 z precipitation Christmas Eve GFS 12 z 850 s Christmas Eve Snow showers down East coasts and for others if precipitation makes it inland ( with the -8 isotherm in place for 24th Dec)
  22. Jeremy Shockey
    La météo en temps réel et prévisions météo pour la France, Observations météo, modèles numériques et logiciels météo (GFS, ECMWF, UKMO, GEM, AROME, ARPEGE, JMA) Christmas Eve has mean uppers of -7 for most of Yorkshire for all of Christmas Eve ( range -4,4 to -10 ) ...chilly Now please can we have some precipitation !!
  23. Jeremy Shockey
    GEFS 06 z ensemble mean Christmas Eve 850 s I'm still pretty interested in the " reliable " timeframe of 102 hours. That is a very good mean for Christmas Eve. Wintry showers and some snow likely for a few lucky locations if we get precipitation.
  24. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 06 z precipitation 24th Dec GFS 06 z 850 s 24th Dec The GFS 06 z still provides the possibility of a Wintry Christmas Eve for some ! ( one to watch over the coming days )
  25. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 12z Ensemble mean A very good mean for 24th and 25th. After that too much scatter but plenty to be excited about. IMO
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