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Jeremy Shockey

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Everything posted by Jeremy Shockey

  1. Jeremy Shockey
    missed all the showers so far since 1 am .......... come on !!!
  2. Jeremy Shockey
    a few heavy graupel showers here .........not melting at all , so we have a fine dusting. ( temp 1 C , dewpoint of -3 C )
  3. Jeremy Shockey
    yes Craigers ....still moving North ....and widening nicely
  4. Jeremy Shockey
    v good explanation Scott , thanks
  5. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 12z @ t 216 There is only one word for this .... BRUTAL
  6. Jeremy Shockey
    i'll be up all night long watching both the Superbowl tonight and the lamp post in equal measure. Hoping for a snowfest and a pointsfest at the same time. a good night for no sleep i reckon.
  7. Jeremy Shockey
    mostly light graupel here too ......but beginning to settle still 1.4 C ( with a dew point of -2 c ) so we should be fine when the beefy showers arrive
  8. Jeremy Shockey
    Very light snow here in Newbald , East Yorkshire . Some more hefty showers approaching
  9. Jeremy Shockey
    back to sleet when we lost the intensity but very nice while it happened .........and that was just the hors d'oeuvres
  10. Jeremy Shockey
    Many thanks Craigers .........E Yorks deserves it
  11. Jeremy Shockey
    heavy snow here ..........settling already after 5 mins
  12. Jeremy Shockey
    1.2 c now and heavy sleet ( temp down nearly 2 c in 30 mins )
  13. Jeremy Shockey
    dont worry ....it might be a slow start for East Yorkshire with limited precipitation about on Sun. However with the -8 to -12 isotherm over us for 6 days we will get snow .....yes even for Hull and Beverley , Driff etc ! im just going to relax and enjoy the ride ( will not even watch the radar which can spoil it ....so it will be like the old days ! )
  14. Jeremy Shockey
    GEFS 6z ensembles Looking very cold until 11th at least. I would not look much beyond that date at the moment to be honest
  15. Jeremy Shockey
    i told my black Labrador .......is that ok ?
  16. Jeremy Shockey
    Slight covering in Newbald , East Yorkshire , more up top on Arras Hill. ( sleet and wet snow mix since 5 a.m. ) roll on the weekend ( hopefully )
  17. Jeremy Shockey
    Tue morning snow for Yorkshire on WRF 6z
  18. Jeremy Shockey
    incredible ensemble mean on the GFS 12 z lots of opportunity for coldies after 5th Feb ( and before then too in the next 4 days ) any mild blip lasts about only 3 days
  19. Jeremy Shockey
    At least I managed a bit of skating on frozen fields on Monday early morning ! IMG_3695.MP4
  20. Jeremy Shockey
    roll on Feb 6/7 and the possibility of something very cold from the NE or E ( that is just about the only scenario that will deliver for Hull and Beverley nowadays )
  21. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 12 z OP at 240 hours Yorkshire would be bloody cold on 5th Feb if GFS 12 z Op is correct !
  22. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 12 z Op for 6th Feb Outrageous FI from the GFS 12z Op with the -12 isotherm over the SE .....well it could happen i suppose !
  23. Jeremy Shockey
    Wolds to the west of East Yorks up towards Garrowby Hill have done ok Mike ..... but i agree lousy for Beverly , Hull , Driff and lowland areas.
  24. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 0z Ensemble mean Both sets of ensembles from ECM 0z and GFS 0z suggest a colder evolution as we start Feb ( after a 4 / 5 days milder period ) This ties in rather well with what the Met O are saying in the longer term outlook. Northerly winds perhaps into Feb ? or even a Scandi High perhaps ? .....and in the very short term ( and not to be forgotten ) snow opportunities Fri to Tue for many too. GFS 0z ensembles ( below )
  25. Jeremy Shockey
    10 degree fall in temp last night in 100 mins ...... nice
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