azores92
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Posts posted by azores92
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Lol you are right we have been here before oh well nothing wrong in dreaming lol
no of course not, and it would be amazing to wake up to inches upon inches of snow but this is britain, and more specifically this is the midlands; the land of no weather!
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Unbelievable 18Z, snowfests next week, and on ecmwf, nervy look at 00Z's in morning incase it goes tits up
you know it will soon enough! come on people we have been in this trap far too often...
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v boooomits a week away= no chance!
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Just we're in the worst possible region at our latitude ON EARTH for snow, how crap is that? *downs more Prozac*
True, but then you'd be sick of the sight of it, so for it to be rare just makes it that bit more special. i can tell you after a week of persistant snow and getting effectively stranded in the austrian alps you get sick of it after a while.
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only one thing is for sure, it wont snow in telford
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Whats a hoo hah?
the sensation one gets walking on hot coals with bare feet
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yeah agree with that, these systems love to go south, dont expect another 18th Dec, not a flake for me, but a foot in southern areas
yep we all know what tends to happen is that itll stay light and patchy, and struggle to make it north of the channel
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coming down from the midlands for the qpr game. up to around 10mm of rain forecast, hopefully this doesnt tip the balance in terms of calling the game off today.
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you have to feel for GP, puts a lot of time and effort into his forecast and december thus far has been a complete write off for most! the atlantic and polar vortex has been far too strong, with a very unsettled month all in all. hopefully with the traditional run-out-of-steam that occurs in late jan or early feb, we will get our chance at some snow.
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Its NOT Autumn.
think he means autumnal weather
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yeah mark, you are quite keen on the m*dern winter. it was just a phrase coined by ian brown that really has questionable substance, as the last few years have shown, there is a lot of fluctuation in our climate over the winter months, and things change year by year.
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have to concur with my fellow stourbridgians here. was a very snowy event in december 2010, a good 20-25cm fall round these parts with everything having to shut down. i remember the derby game with wolves was called off and rightly so. kinda wish theyd do the same with the boxing day game in london now, as it's gonna be carnage!
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I feel its going to be a môdern winter, with raging zonality and just the odd northerly toppler,
looks like 4 dry days coming up, then wednesday horrendous, dont expect I will get lucky and rain all night
optimism mark, plenty of time yet for things to change
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Good grief that sounds terrifying. Thank goodness you're okay!
Bish
i know, a real near death experience i feel! the roads down wassell grove way(dont know if you are familiar with the area) are a death trap in the cold weather.
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driving up to birmingham on the country roads yesterday morning was a dreadful mistake. on the junction near hagley golf course was an awful black ice patch which obviously went unnoticed by me. i tried to brake leading up to the junction but obviously couldnt stop. put the handbrake on in panic and went straight out into the junction. thank god nothing was coming as i wouldve crashed or worse still lost my life. take extra care on those ungritted roads.
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expect mild, be pleasently surprised when it turns cold. never trust any cold weather beyond 72 let alone 100 hours imo, the dreaded shortwave can appear from nowhere! we have to accept we live in such a location that the atlantic can strike at anytime, not like further south and east, where the continent can bask in a heatwave or wade their way through feet of snow. gawsh christmastime in an alpine village must be magical.
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Yep looks like a major downgrade now though. However by all means are we not going into a full zonal, mild endless outlook. The long range signals dont support this and as FI shows, southerly tracking lows with cold air over the top via Easterly/Northerly winds at times could bring frequent risk of snowfalls, if probably never amounting to an awful lot.
Thankfully next Saturday now looks snow free for my travel home to Stourbridge. Though cant say for certain yet!
dont think it ever looked overly promising. as usual, the models got carried away but it takes a strong eastery with embedded troughs for the snow to reach here. just a very chilly week in prospect.
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When will people learn regarding model output relating to potent easterlies. I have been on this forum since 2005 and have seen countless easterlies watered down by the models at short notice. It's not our normal weather and models struggle. Best to wait until 48 hours and then to concentrate on fax charts to be honest - would save a lot of let downs.
agree totally, 9/10 this will happen with easterlies. we live on an island where our prevailing wind direction is south westerly, and we are on the edge of the atlantic; the source of mildness. we have to accept this is almost certainly going to be the case, and not get our hopes up!
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42mm of rainfall recorded in stourbridge town here today. unsurprising really, was a large swathe of puddles travelling to kidderminster earlier. tomorrow is touch and go, potential for further rainfall though i suspect not nearly as much.
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had almost an inch so far here since midnight, very wet indeed!
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I reckon that that broad swathe of heavy rain, shown on all the television forecasts, will turn out to be a massive overestimation of reality...A bit like blizzards in January?
yup, had pretty much next to nowt here.
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amber warning for the midlands, although most of the action is happening in the north of our patch and up to manchester. may escape? fingers crossed
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cant believe only 53mm of rain has been recorded here, feels more like 100!
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50? shrewsbury is about 25-30 miles further north latitudewise than brum so surely not that much.
The Midlands Regional Winter Discussion
in Regional
Posted
theres a song by the hives.... hate to say i told ya so! just tke things as they come with snow. its very hard to pinpoint accuracy and pick up embedded troughs in the easterly. just wait and see.