kumquat
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Everything posted by kumquat
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06Z ECM brings the system further south again according to posts in the Cold Hunt thread and -
Fantastic shots Snow Crystal. Beautiful cold colours!
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Sunday lunchtime also not without interest on Icon 6z
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Be nice to also catch the back end of the pivot like this!
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Small "trigger low" at 126 on the GFS 6z??
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Yeah Icon looks like another non-event for us on the 18Z. Not gonna give up but neither will I get my hopes up. DPs and 850's only just getting snow in the extreme north of our region as it stands. Better for the south the further east you go:
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Looks like a good angle of attack. Dewpoints marginal for the far south west.
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The Severn area looks like a heatsink on the radar
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Just rain in Filton
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Yep - nearly halfway through the rain band now and it looks a high ground affair even to the north of us in Wales. Cotswolds might get lucky later.
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That's late afternoon today, yes?? Oh I see, still good if the forecast can hold till then
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6Z GFS(P) puts us into an easterly at day 10 with snow showers coming onshore. Something to build on for the mid-term
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Good call but if the 528 dam line stays to the South of us, with uppers in place, could be heavy snow.
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Would'nt be surprised to see a little surprise this week bb.
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I'd take that. Seems pretty messy. Marginal springs to mind.
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Azores Low FTW Beyond Biscay - Electric Boogaloo Part deux
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(Over recent output from various models) Russian / Siberian High starts backing west at 120 hours, providing a proxy block through Europe on the Canadian vortex attack across the Atlantic. Low pressure "sink"; substantial but regionally marginal opportunities for the white stuff. Link-ups to its NW (Scandi) via Arctic High Pressure gain in amplitude over repeated bursts. I know things keep getting put back but I agree with those seeing a mid Feb finale for this season.
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Cold Fracking Shenanigans
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Pretty happy with the output up to day 5. Cold filtering south and potentially* exciting runners coming through. Regardless of region, some interesting model and weather watching coming up - starting tonight.
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I think we'll take anything we can get. Interesting week ahead. Love looking out for those surprises
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FV3 gets flabby later 168 but that Sib High signal is building.
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GFS both og and para seem to have much better 850s across the board. Hope so, but sceptical.
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Biscay Low a la met office?
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Newfoundland low different yet again @78hrs on 18z FV3. It's now a dumbell (again).
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Synoptics, though. Out at that range Siberian High is starting to backfill the colder uppers / and surface cold.
