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kumquat

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Everything posted by kumquat

  1. hard to call that. Greeny is saying "no, not quite". seems positively biased towards East of Greeny, though, which can't be a bad thing. but then there's the weak heights no mans land and the low pressure over uk outcomes. score 4:2 for snow
  2. or mid-atlantic at a decent-enough latitude with lows ejected from the Canada segment NW >SE enough for us to capitalise
  3. GFS 18z is modelling a very complex 3 centre low at 42hrs, so wouldn't be surprised at changes at that range
  4. Still loving the look of that huge Siberian high out in cuckoo land:
  5. A mix as the low goes through. All sorts of wintry. Local conditions dictating local conditions.
  6. Agreed, but if the low pressure keeps transferring NW to SE into the Med area....
  7. I submit my 10 day resumé 12z FV3 240 hrs. Biggest snowstorm in the NH
  8. Question: If the vortex disappears, which way round will the water go down the plughole ?? /jk
  9. When even seemingly poor runs bring this ever closer, not too much to worry about
  10. Somebody said this yesterday but the verification stats appeared to counter this.
  11. Indeed. Almost entirely lower than -4 850 air aloft from 120hrs onwards.
  12. Overthinking it. All NWP and TC lead to cold. Perhaps for those of us in the SW or West coast of Ireland, we're marginal. But we're used to that.
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