kumquat
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Posts posted by kumquat
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Typical torrential downpours on the one evening I want to do a BBQ before the footie!
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13 hours ago, jtay said:
Ha. Just remembered that I said I'd fix the coffee machine, so it'll have to wait.
Might watch a bit of the though.
Damn us men and our "days off..." Just had a great week off. Pond building, gardening, homemade curries and cider.
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57 minutes ago, Wiltshire_snow_lover said:
Anyone higher up got snow? very sleety shower here
-6 air aloft. Wouldn't be surprised when that squally front came through if you have some altitude.
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Oh Jupiter! I pray for you to give us rain for the new pond. I hear a few spit spots! Radar looks promising.
But please let us have a gloriously warm, sunny spring after the pond is filled.
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Sounds horrendous out there but the nearest station for wind gusts says 30mph (yesterday was 36mph). Food bin got blown down the road levels.
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Strangely humid southerly breeze. Warm in the sun. Nice.
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28 minutes ago, SteveB said:
Vicious squall line just passed over dropping plenty of rain in a short time.
Woke me up!!
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2 hours ago, Glenosnow said:
An overnight low of -2.2°C and steadily risen to 2.4°C and slowly rising......dewpoint currently -4.8°C and 60%RH.......No snow even though radar said different.....super dry air evaporated it.
Oh well peeps onwards to spring eh......unless we can get one last gasp wintry hurrah......nah....Time to get bbq and firepit ready .
Amazed seeing these low minus dew points with over zero degrees air temps. And they're rapidly dropping! Looks like Scotland is taking all the snow. Good luck to them.
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Rain pepping up in the Channel lol. Couldn't make it up. Good old warm(ish), dense RAIN
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41 minutes ago, Wiltshireweatherwatcher said:
That’s been well watered down and backs up what the models are now showing.
Interesting it’s taken a few days before the Met lessened down the chance of an easterly set up reestablishing itself.
I think that’s pretty much it for our part of the world for this winter. Any further snowfall likely to be transient or confined to higher ground.
I wish we could see their models. To me, it's the missing link between us amateurs and the "professionals." I understand monetizing proprietary code but there's no transparency.
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3 minutes ago, offerman said:
I have a question about evaporative snow.
how does the snow reach the ground in places like Norway and Sweden where they will have extremely low Due points and dry air as in Germany too?
is it because we are an island or something?
I thought having a large landmass would make it harder for snow to reach the ground and actually generates now because it’s just land where is the sea can provide moisture for the snow that theoretically you would think would come more inland not always fizzle out from the west or the east.
There's a good conversation here:
But it's a very difficult conversation to be had when discussing it over a variable geographic region.
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Aaaaannnnnddddd it's sleet. More rain and ice pellets.
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Naaah it's turned to snow in Winterbourne 1+ meter above stoke gifford level
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Just now, kumquat said:
Interesting, 1.1C ground temp, -3 Dew, air aloft must be warm now. Yep sleety rain here now.
Could be the freezing rain hazard now for some spots?
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Interesting, 1.1C ground temp, -3 Dew, air aloft must be warm now. Yep sleety rain here now.
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1 minute ago, Bristle boy said:
Rain here now, maybe sleety.
Warm front blues.
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2 minutes ago, Man Without Beard said:
Is there a problem with the radar? Showing widespread snow even here, but reality is completely dry!
Sublimation seems the keyword for this spell. It's been a good chemistry lesson.
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1 minute ago, Andy Bown said:
There was a decent flurry while we were walking near Battlesbury Hill.
However the best sight was a frozen flood where the water level had seemingly receded underneath after freezing on top around tree trunks.
Great photos. There have been some great shots taken over the past week of absurd-looking cold anomalies. Ice spikes and super red sunrises.
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3 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:
This winter has been such a let down. It just makes me laugh how sooo many people thought this winter was going to be historical. Just shows we had about 4 SSW? None of them made great impact apart from the east and Scotland. Such a shame I’ll prob book Finland or Iceland next winter for a few days
I definitely agree re: snow, but there's no denying this has been a decent cold spell.
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3 minutes ago, wiltshire weather said:
Still nothing this far east but I live in hope!
Met office have updated their long range outlook and pretty much have removed talk of cold until beginning of March, and even that they've toned down the wording for.
Thursday 18 Feb - Saturday 27 Feb
This period begins with temperatures much milder than recent, with temperatures returning to around or slightly above average for most, with some mild spells being seen in the south and west. There remains a small chance to return to wider colder conditions for the weekend, but the likelihood is low. The UK looks to be split broadly northwest to southeast in terms of the general weather types with the west and northwest more likely to see wet conditions with strong winds at times, and the east and south east more likely to remain drier, fine, and settled. Under these settled conditions we may see temperatures falling back to average or below, and with increased incidence of overnight frost and fog. Any snowfall most likely becoming restricted to the Scottish mountains.
Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Sat 13 Feb 2021
Saturday 27 Feb - Saturday 13 Mar
Into late February there is a signal for higher than average pressure to sit close to or over the UK, with likely drier and more settled conditions prevailing. Temperatures likely to return back to around, if not below, average with a greater chance of cold spells during this time, bringing an increased threat of widespread frost and a very uncertain chance of snow. Towards mid-March there are signs of returning to a more unsettled period, with milder interludes more likely once more.
Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Sat 13 Feb 2021
Next time when I'm shot down in the MAD thread for suggesting that the SE gets the best types of ALL weather, I'm gonna hold my ground.
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Waiting for the last Swan Song
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Next Saturday still looking decent for a Barbie.
Might take a leaf out of Night's King's book and mow the lawn.
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2 minutes ago, Shaftesburydelightski said:
Light and powdery and starting to stick on all surfaces, being blown around in the wind.
Temperature -0.3 still.
Pleasant surprise just need a few more hours please!
What? That's not fair!
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Classic decaying occluded front, followed by warm front. Surely that stuff in the channel will be sleet/rain. Can we hang on to cold air for a few more flakes?
Edit 2m temp 1C, Dew -3C
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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 08 Feb 2021 Onward
in Regional
Posted
"Sometimes weird stuff happens around here ... there was a waterspout last August, and a mini-twister this April (though could have been a dust devil). Could be some orographic effect related to the narrowing of the channel or the Black Mountains? Dunno."
yep, orographics and temp differentials over the Bristol Channel. A proper micro-climate worthy of detailed study.