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JoeShmoe

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  1. JoeShmoe
    It’s descended into parody today, unreadable garbage. Should call it the hunt for likes
  2. JoeShmoe
    Saw 20 new pages on the MAD thread, scrolled to the end and they are chasing charts 10 days away again. And in 10 days, it will be in another 10 days. ‘Twas ever thus at least with some HP it will dry out and hopefully it’s a sunny HP not a gray clag filled one
  3. JoeShmoe
    lol, the highs are high , lets hope this afternoon isnt
  4. JoeShmoe
    Please dont do it to yourselves ! .. its one run, will all change by 6pm
  5. JoeShmoe
    See a big HP system in the output which at least dries things up but they tend to stick around for ages and inevitably then sink south so that will be another 5-10 days of winter gone
  6. JoeShmoe
    To add to the futility of it all, just been out and its snowing here, and settling, albeit very light and i dont remember that being forecast (not here anyway)
  7. JoeShmoe
    yep, waiting for the first reference to 87 or 63 or 2010 in a one model cold spell shown at T+240 ! you know its coming !
  8. JoeShmoe
    Yes that’s very true, it’s a maritime climate on a separate note, glad it’s not been icy this week, and was an amazing sunset last night
  9. JoeShmoe
    And even it does split the TPV is there any evidence it will impact on the Hadley Cell, Southern European HP systems? As Tilly says remember this being a futile straw to cling to a few years back and all it did last year was ruin spring !
  10. JoeShmoe
    ECM has been pretty steadfast so far this winter, will wait for the other models to fall in line with it as they all seem to eventually
  11. JoeShmoe
    i do wonder if those who remember the 70's and 80's winters is where they get their fondness for wintry weather from. i have two teenage kids who couldnt give a stuff about snow and cold (they like warm and sunny as do i) so maybe as the years go by it just becomes a bunch of old gits reminiscing about the good old days
  12. JoeShmoe
    Would you take a later winter SSW with a 'chance' of a cold spell but also a chance of a rubbish spring? I wouldnt
  13. JoeShmoe
    Care to explain the reasoning behind this statement?
  14. JoeShmoe
    Couldn’t agree more with this. I stopped actively following all the chases to the nth degree a few years back because (as you allude to) it really is a mugs game. Instead now I just follow occasionally and only ever get interested when anything is well within 3 or 4 days out. I’ve found that way when we do see snow here ( and the east coast of Scotland where I am is more fortunate than a lot of other places) it actually feels a nice surprise . I also find following storms and warm spells equally as enjoyable
  15. JoeShmoe
    On a positive note only a few more days until the days start getting longer again, weather wise this time of year is so depressing
  16. JoeShmoe
    It’s so painful watching the models lead them all up the garden path, although to be fair the ECM didn’t (the most reliable imho) No doubt one cold gfs chart at +300 and off they will go again meantime a relatively cool and wet week looks likely and over Xmas
  17. JoeShmoe
    It also looks like an absolute nothing burger, the storm on the 22nd would be interesting weather wise though
  18. JoeShmoe
    That’s nuts / worrying for this time of year with the sun so low
  19. JoeShmoe
    and you have to think that is going to be a reason why chasing cold and snow is becoming an increasingly futile hobby - the world warms, the seas warm, the ice melts, we get less chances of cold weather - but we get warmer summers which is a bonus! Of course there is always the chance of a 2010 spell but that increasingly looks like a once in a century type event that we were fortunate to witness
  20. JoeShmoe
    i already cant wait for that, the older i get the more i dislike winter. at least the storms provide some interest else its mostly a depressing season
  21. JoeShmoe
    have to say im not sold on this teleconnection stuff, at least to hang your hat on as an outcome, its one set of variables in a complex chaos system where the overriding variable is nearly always the fact that we sit next to a ocean of warming water
  22. JoeShmoe
    Black ice everywhere too, no fun walking the dogs, need ice skates
  23. JoeShmoe
    go back to summer and a LOT of people were (understandably) very concerned about the lack of rainfall last winter/spring and the reducing rivers, water tables etc We may all not like it but a properly wet autumn and winter is actually a good thing nature wise especially as we transition to drier, warmer seasons
  24. JoeShmoe
    why?
  25. JoeShmoe
    Havent got pics of it, but remember the red warning we had in Edinburgh on Feb 28 2014, the snow that came down that afternoon was nuts in terms of how heavy it was and how much settled so fast Red and amber weather warnings across UK WWW.BBC.CO.UK BBC Weather explains what the different alerts mean after the Met Office issued a red warning in Scotland.
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