Bristawl Si

I hope you are proved correct. It's just that forecast a few mins ago seemed to indicate main snowband to move north for tomorrow eve, through the midlands. Bristol, SE Wales on the edge.

But that was on the edge of the main snowband that is forecast to move north through the midlands. hopefully it could still change.

Shame it's not a 100 miles south or so; that would be good for all of us and prolong the snowy spell. I'm a little unconvinced at the mo that we in the West will get much snow. Just watched the weather on news24 and there's snow for SE england tonite and monday morn, but our part of the chart is a definite downgrade compared to an earlier forecast an hour ago. Then heavier snow for SE tomorrow adfternoon/eve but then moves north. I think it's NOT looking too good for West country and wales IMO. :lol:

Michael, things will be marginal right up to the last minute IMO. Tomorrow night looks our favoured time, but whether we get a dusting or dumping is anyone's guess!

Cold, cloudy, but dry here, in north bristol

Yeah! And the models looked more favourable for us only a day or so ago.

Yeah!

Noticed on the Model Output Discussion that everyone is concentrating on the end of the week. What's the score re. monday and tuesday for BTL?

Beginning to think this has got a bit marginal, whereas 24 hrs ago i would've said "Very much game on!" for BTL.

And it has!!...if you believe the 12z GFS. Looks v.marginal now for our neck of the woods and only a 1-day affair

Doesn't surprise me at all Yeti for the 71-90 period. In Bristol 78-87 were fantastic years for snow. the early 70s were v.poor though. and what about this statement from the met office link you posted "In most places, January is the month with most days of both snow lying and snow falling." Now that will surprise most NW members! I think it was Fri eve that i said on another NW thread that for BTL, late Dec/January were our best months for snow in my younger days and this met office link seems to back it up. Some members poo-pooed that on Fri!! Even in the 'poor' years of my younger days BTL could expect 3 to 4 days of falling or lying snow. you couldn't say that of the last 15 years!!

Looking out my back garden, i can see some pretty beefy clouds in the distance; probably across 'the bridge' into s.wales. Could be heading this way.

The Atlantic is certainly back in bristol after its extended holiday and it feels lovely! Fresh air! It'll be nice to return my central heating timer to morning and evening again! Fairly mild here and very windy. A couple of weeks of this will be fine, before a return to cold and hopefully snow next time!

Ah! That's what it is! Been white here in north bristol for last 2 hours. Thick freezing fog and a white deposit all over everything. not snow, but damp ice crystals. Rime frost is it? weird; never seen it before. It's almost like something's falling from the sky!

Snow fluuries here in north bristol, at the mo. Wasn't expecting them to get this far west this after.

looks like south bristol missed out then michael. we had a dusting here in north btl. It was still snowing at 7 o'clock, but stopped at around 7.30am.

Surprised this morn. Light covering of snow in north bristol; still snowing very lightly. I presume the snow band moved more south westwards than thought last night. BBC weather should take a long hard look at itself this morn, after last night's news 24 forecast at 6:58pm last night!

No snow here in North Bristol now or at anytime today, in fact it feels slightly less cold than of late.

Absolutely stunning and beautiful photos, Mr.D!

My take on the weather of the last 20 years here in Bristol is that generally late summer/autumn has been 'longer' than in my childhood and early 20s i.e. warmth lasting past what i once knew as 'end of summer' ; winters have been 'shorter', mild, v.little snow. The period 78 -87 produced some great winters, with plenty of snow. However, the 70s mainly had mild, wet winters. I've read press archives going back 100 years+ into the 1800s and there were definitely more snow events in my neck of the woods. In fact, one aspect of our winter weather that has but all disappeared is the 'winter channel low'. This used to turn up in southern england at least once in most winters and a number of press articles indicate it turned up at least 3 times some winters giving us southerners raging blizzards! It does appear that there's been a change in the last 20 years, but could it just be part of a global cycle? Maybe we will gradually return to a more snowy winter environment in the coming years.