Frank Trough

The bulk of that ppn is a fair way west, i'll give it that (more so than last night). It is also, to my eye, moving nn/e rather than n/e? interesting. Maybe it will develop further east later on? after all, it is only 4:30pm.

updated met office warnings reflect the latest GFS runs - warnings slightly further northwest now to include oxon! i can't believe we'll be lucky two nights in a row. looking at the -5 line it looks knife-edge again. Watch and wait, i reckon.... i really should be posting in the south east section i think... 13:30 forecast should be interesting if anyone can watch it (i can't due to still being able to get to work today).

ha ha ha! No, it's true - until last night i had a max of 3cm on Monday which melted in the afternoon. Last night the shield was definitely broken (although he is 4 miles away from me!). It is rubbish here for showery easterly or northerly regimes and it seems only frontal snow really falls. I believe 1991 was good but i didn't live here then. I lived here 5 years and seen two snow events (last night) and some really wet stuff two years ago that melted instantly.

that looks rather good for this neck of the woods. This is totally at odds with the BBC this morning - they were saying Dorset, Surrey, Sussex, London. Interesting....i shall be watching this closely. Both 00z and 06z have had the precip further north and west.

there was the start of a very slight thaw here - now that heavy shower has moved on i expect there to be a more meaningful thaw. Latest GFS output looks interesting for tomorrow. Slighty at odds with the BBC which didn't really give us much chance. GFS has the precip further north and west. something to keep an eye on. finally, i'm very happy with this cold spell! What a great winter so far....

pretty incredible. it was raining lightly at 8:15 when i got to work - last 45 mins we've had very heavy snow. All from that little area of precip that intensified as it moved north. I'm not exagerating when i say it's added another inch on top of what we had. edit...easing up now and skies brightening. might be it for us today.

incredible scenes in south oxfordshire! that little shower has intensified and we have very very heavy snow again now! roads snowing over again now! look out to the north of here.

well, the Abingdon snow shield was breached last night! 5 inches (ish) and snowing lightly again now from that little rogue area of precip on the radar. Great stuff, i thought we had missed out. I wonder if that band will get far enough north for me tonight?

i've only seen the met office one so that cheers me up and gives me hope! actually, i can see the edge of what you mean now. fingers crossed!

thing is, where is the precip going to come from? to me, the front looks fragmented, weakening and missing us west (even for me at this stage). should we see it pepping up, then? I don't see anything for tonight at this stage, and probably rain tomorrow for me!

the rate it's going the band of precipitation will be non existant by the time it departs Hampshire!

yes, i mentioned that earlier. I can only assume it is going to pep up when it hits the colder air - but i'm not sure. The rain band is also very slow moving, which could be a plus if you are somewhere with a favourable set up at the time the precip arrives (if it does).

This Evening and Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with rain spreading north later in the evening and overnight and turning to snow across some northern parts of the region, especially Oxfordshire. Minimum temperature -2 °C. i'm pretty pleased with that latest update from the meto for me, too. However, this is clearly going to be a case of watching the radar - or in my case, going to bed and hoping to wake up to snow.

So i think the west midlands one will be even better, not so good an update for the southeast maxs here 7C tomorrow with snow turning to rain, best to be in oxfordshire if you are in the SE region i would think. that's definitely true i think, although i have a suspicion i am a little too far south and east. I wouldn't be surprised if the Ridgeway gets a covering due to its increased height. North west Oxon might do ok though.

The trailing arm of the front (i.e. not the bit running up the western side of Wales and into the Irish sea) looks to be a fairly weak affair at the moment. There isn't that much precipitation. Is this progged to pep up as it crosses the channel/collides with the cold air? otherwise i don't see much of an event at all to be honest.

anyone see the 1330 bbc forecast? on BBC breakfast they were still giving us a chance, although the more i've looked the more marginal it is. i notice Oxon is still included in the met office warning for tonight. I think timing is the crucial factor for me... i'm never sure in exactly which thread i belong...central southern or south east! Met office class us as southeast but to be honest i just don't buy that! especially given what happened on Monday!

yes, possibly some transient wet snow but i think we're the wrong side of marginal for tonight - and i don't buy it at present for Friday either. Nothing to add to the paltry 3cm on monday that melted by 4pm!

i fear you won't be. it always looked to be very marginal for us and i'm afraid i think we've now slipped over the edge. It'll be rain for us (possibly after a little wet snow to start). seems incredible to say it but this has been a bit of a non event for my location! 3 cm snow on monday which had melted by 4pm. A few showers yesterday during the day (which were sleety) and then even last night Wantage (about 4 miles west of here) got a couple of cms and yet nothing in Drayton. Quite simply, this has been an enormous let down! fair play to everyone else though - it's my own fault for living here!

not just the coast, let me tell you. 3 cm here max. Rubbish.

i would dream of having six cm - it would be a palace to us. 3cm max. actually, since i last looked there is maybe just a hint of the precip pepping up a touch to the southeast of us....

it seems quite incredible when you hear the snow depths being reported from other geographic locations all round England and yet, there is no denying it, it's been poor here. I would say we have a maximum of 3cm (that's from just looking out my office window) and that is being generous probably. The precip to the east and coming out of France appears to be dying a death so i don't really see the situation improving. The Isle of Wight has got more than here!!!! it can't be so.......but it is! I pray that somehow we manage to tap into something later in the week when/if the cold air returns and coincides with some precip.

yes, i remain to be convinced about this for our area. to my relatively untrained eye i don't see an awful lot more pushing into this area...raining in Kent/Suffolk now as well apparently.

is there anybody else from south oxon/berks alive out there? Decent snow falling here now for about an hour. slight thaw and the snow isn't settling where it is wet....just wondering how much more to come? ..i only see a narrow ban of moderate snow, the rest being light stuff. The remainder of the stuff coming out of France needs to pep up a bit too.

hmmmmm. i'm not sure for my location at all, now. That main band of moderate precipitation has made alot more northerly progress that it has westerly. i'm not confident at all. relatively speaking, we've had very little snow here. i'd say max of 3cm.

i'm watching and waiting....... not at reading levels yet but it is now certainly trying at least - pavement is now white as opposed to grey!