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Chris D

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Posts posted by Chris D

  1. Yes, but if it is rain...

    You going to find a real angry snowman here in Essex.

    Also found this.

    UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Jan 2013 to Wednesday 13 Feb 2013:

    Colder than average conditions are favoured across many parts of the UK, especially in the north and east. Whilst there is no strong signal for rainfall patterns through this period, drier than average conditions are more likely in the north, whereas the south may have near or even slightly above average rainfall. The frequency of snow events through this period may be more than experienced so far this winter.

    Don't often see that in a Met Office outlook!

  2. watched about Anglia wonder if the people of Norwich have got home yet!!!

    Honestly absolute chaos in Norwich today. Traffic even on main roads at a crawl. Very heavy snow shower has caused this just after midday! Bit of a nightmare travel wise to say the least. A friend who went to town in the car said it took 4 hours to get home from the city, a journey which should take 20mins. shok.gif

  3. Having just read a fascinating multi-page UKMO analysis for Fri-Sat.... we're no clearer on outcome. In summary: frontal ppn extension NE on Fri v v uncertain albeit expected almost entirely as snow accompanied by Sig windchill; extended 4km models prog 10-20cm snow Dartmoor etc with falls up NE to Mendips but detail untrusted at this range. Of greater significance perhaps is more active frontal push later Sat, more meridionally orientated as per EC, with leading edge snow at least but again easterly extent into Sun uncertain. A truly fascinating and high stakes forecast challenge all round..

    This is what makes model watching so exciting!

  4. My first ever comment on here before the 00z model,

    There is a meant to be a breakdown by next weekend the latest, I personally think the low pressure systems will undercut the high and leave us in cold air, with a new hp over the ne,I can't say for sure but let's wait and see !!

    Seemed almost right biggrin.png

    To be honest, it's pure guesswork as to whether any undercuts will take place after Wednesday! laugh.png

  5. Thing that really gets me is that when people say not looking good for the west

    West what?scotland,ireland,wales,and unless i am wrong we are the NORTH WEST and proud of it.....unless it RAINS LOL

    RANT OVER

    Looking forward to a good 18z

    EDIT

    The begining of that post is not directed at anyone in this thread,just someone today has really got on

    my wick

    I know what you mean...because most of the time on forecasts when they say west they actually mean Wales and the south west, but when they say North West, they mean W Scotland, NI and possibly Cumbria the majority of the time! I don't really see the North West of England mentioned here - oh well, they like to ignore us on national forecasts lol.

    On the odd occaison, I hear Lancashire, Gtr Manchester and Merseyside mentioned. Yes, ON THE ODD OCCASION lol.

  6. No she just said monday morning rush hour significent and disruptive snow,no graphics shown

    just carried on to say that there would be more details with Eno(who ever she is lol) at 1035

    then her face looked like a kid who just had a smacked bum

    C.S

    Wanna see the forecast now! laugh.png

    How about Merseyside and West Lancashire, I work in Skelmersdale and got stuck there in 2010, they normally do ok for snow

    Dec 2010 was nothing short of a properly extreme event. This event looks more marginal for extreme western areas...that being said, a shift of the the colder air could potentially have places such as W Lancs and Skem in the firing line. Best advice is to keep checking forecasts I suppose. Atm however, I'd say they are at low risk from disruptive snow i.e. it won't settle much or it'll be sleety/wet snow.

    Similar sort of places that got hit in Feb 2012 I suppose.

  7. She didn't look or sound happy about it sad.png

    She's not a "coldie" then!

    But seriously yeh, the amount of snow will be disruptive...I'd give a rough guess that places E of Wigan, Blackburn, Warrington (inclusive) etc. and much of Cumbria could get quite a dumping over the Mon event. Well, that's a complete guess cos it will change, but that's what often happens in these situations in my experience, but as I say this will change!

  8. Still do not like that 12Z ECM run, I think it is crap! UKM0 though fantastic, dont like the sinking high bringing in mild air, a trend that seems to have developed today,

    Well it's not the greatest for mid-term prospects is it, but then again, it looks like it latches onto the cold towards the end and maybe would lead to a more sustained cold spell.

    Tbh, I don't see the point even discussing it, it's all FI anyhow! Plus, we have piles of snow to deal with from Sunday onwards! drunk.gif

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