[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards]

Things beginning to look interesting. Look at the development starting on the Kent coast. Little cell developing near Lydd

[Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

You can basically say bye bye to any convective potential until maybe possibly the end of the month

So midweek then? I'd imagine there will be storms embedded in the rain up the Eastern side Tomorrow.

[Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards]

8 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

Sorry, this won’t be happening. 

I called a bust at 20:43

You might want to check the radar now.

[Southeast and East Anglia weather discussion]

Logs on, waiting for posts about storm shield and other such conjecture. I think this plume destabilising, so those west of Kent are still in with a shout. Look here..

https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;r=0;t=3;s=201;o=0;b=;n=0;y=50.8337;x=0.2856;z=5;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;ts=0;

[Southeast and East Anglia weather discussion]

Just come back from Steve's part of the world, playing football indoors thankfully at Fawkham (the back of Brands Hatch). Torrential rain for an hour. Roads from Fawkham to Longfield like a stream. Longfield (just down the hill from New Ash Green) was flooded. That line of convection just South of the Thames has been there for about 2 hours.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

1 minute ago, kold weather said:

There isn't going to be much more than we already have. If its not doing the job now, its not going to do it full stop. Sorry mate, I did warn people that I was in the screw zone...and by extension you are as well.

Remember, 1cm and I take a trip in my birthday suit into the streets!

Mate please give it a rest.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Just now, Mark said:

It looks too far east. Tell me that's not the case?? 

ITS NOT THE CASE.

It's not going to be like this all night in here?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Light flakes fluttering in the lampost in Bexleyheath.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

I think I'll add screw zone to my "up the snorter" list! Give it time for gawds sake!

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

1 minute ago, nick sussex said:

Not sure what all the panic is about.

The radar clearly shows the band making northwards progress. 

A few drama Llama's in here Nick.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

I think people are getting ahead of themselves. This is in no way going to be near 2010. South Downs could get a moderate dump. The Estuary will not fire tonight or tomorrow. Please, nobody mention snow-shields either. That one gets right up my snorter!!

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

3 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

I was one of those predicting a cold Jan...I make no bones and hold my hands up.

Based on the evidence presented earlier in the month, why wouldn't you have predicted it? It's hardly been warm. Unless you're psychic, how would anyone know it wouldn't turn out as cold as you expected? It's not a competition on here is it?

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

Just now, nn2013 said:

I actually don't buy it. 

You don't have to, it's free

[Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?]

Just now, feb1991blizzard said:

Yes, once a good few GEFS in the mid range start to trend up, it never goes back the other way again, rarely within 200 and never within 144.

So, you're basing this on historical ensemble behaviours? OK. Nothing scientific? I think I'll wait for this evening runs before I comment. No denying that the models in the 7+ day range have trended away from the very cold based on the latest runs though.

[Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?]

Just now, feb1991blizzard said:

We've been here many times, and i think we know the outcome by now once these downgrades start.

Do you? Could you enlighten me please?

[Model output discussion - 7th January onwards]

ECM192 is a great chart. Look at those heights building. It's only going to get colder from that point. Good charts this evening.

[Model output discussion - 7th January onwards]

And, it all looks to be playing out in deep mid-winter. An ever increasing colder output is being firmed up on now. Still outside the reliable, but looking good for cold weather/snow aficionado's.

[Super Typhoon JEBI]

I'd be interested in anyone's thoughts on this. My daughter is due into Osaka Wednesday at 6pm. Whilst it would have blown through by then, is it strong enough to cause widespread damage? It certainly looks like it could based on current parameters.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards]

Still going here. Heavy rain. Lightening overhead then should have woken Bexleyheath

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards]

I've just been woken by an approaching storm from the South West. Looking pretty dark in that direction

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards]

You lot crack me up. Storm shields a plenty. Not here in Bexleyheath. Two storms so far. The last one was a cracker!

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards]

Tropical blobs of rain in Bexleyheath now. The atmosphere is about to go pop I think

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards]

Agreed, 2018 has delivered the goods so far. Snow, plumes, storms, serious heat. Classic stuff. Just no hurricane's please in autumn.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards]

1 minute ago, c00ps said:

I was driving past your way yesterday and it registered 36oC though nothing officially recorded that hot.

Yesterday was unbelievably hot and humid. It doesn't feel as oppressive today though. Just perfect!

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards]

Utterly glorious summers day here in Bexleyheath. Hot, not a cloud in the sky. It can go like this all summer if it wants.