Blizzard_of_Oz

T.W.S. were you home for this 1? You just have to watch this it's brilliant.

Nothing to report in Hertford tonight but earlier today around 6.30p.m. we had a almighty powefull wind which lasted 5 seconds, it lifted the sun umbrella into the air and lots of other things in the sheltered garden got blown around, strange because before that it was calm but I could here the thunder in the distance over Harlow?

Sleet and snow in Hertford but its not settling (yet)? Edit: Very heavy snow now settling.

The links are not working but thankyou for your update Tim so just a slim chance for Herts?

Its raining here but its not the main band and I think it will continue to be rain later.

And a glory, glory snow hunter. lol I think some parts of Herts. will see some snow but not in my location East Herts.

You must have been drinking again when you wake up sober you may find its a seagull sitting on a shovel, take another look.

No Im not a market trader just a customer, I like St. Albans market ours is crap. Snowman its very marginal for me but you never know.

May well be but I think it will be rain in Hertford, Im in St. Albans every Wednesday on market day.

Are you expecting snow in St. Albans Saint.

Its exactly what TEITS said a couple of days ago so yes I agree but they may be a few surprises for a little while in this set up.

The Met. Office have updated again., this is crazy more changes than Imelda Marcos changing her shoes. :o http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/ee/ee_forecast_warnings.html

But the areas on the NW side would still have snow and thats me and you Teits so I wouldn't be too dispondant. The latest NAE actualy ties in with updated meto warnings at 0300hrs. This correction is bad news for the midlands and better news for the home counties, lets hope it doesn't go any further south or it will end up in the channel, but I wouldnt begrudge Hampshire / Dorset ets a snow event as its very rare for them! Re the latest forecast it is recorded from early this morning. It is exactly the same as the one on the bbc website. Expect this to update and move the precip out of wales into east mids/ central southern England. Not sure its even worth watching the country tracks forecast later!!

I have read all of your posts TEITS and indded you did predict this but didnt you post a chart saying any 1 to the NW of that would get snow or am I wrong could you explain what areas might expect snow now thankyou?

Rain in Hertford again, no chance of snow either I reckon.

They were all doubting you last week Robert, your scientific method does work then.

So in what timeframe would you call the models correct, I dont say this in a sarcastic manner I just need to know when its nailed pardon the expression?

Is that the snow event you said would be rain?

This is a post from Ian Ferguson on the model thread, make what you want of it: Yes, that reflects the current UKMO view and even those counties just north of the M4 (e.g., Glos, Oxon, parts of Berks, Bucks etc.) will probably be very marginal.... that's IF the current evolution proves trustworthy. Latest modified NAE output for Monday carries a rain signal across all of southern England but with the change to wintry PPN starting by ca. 06z in a line essentially from East Wales / Hereford across to Lincs and the Wash. The real midweek snow threat based on UKMO GM (and accepting - as the MO Ops Centre does - a continuing degree of disparity between models for the Wednesday event, albeit UKMO-GM and GFS are largely similar) manifests itself central Midlands northwards; e.g., GM suggestive of up to 25-29cm snowfall (!) into northern districts / northern Ireland whilst in southern England (SW quadrant especially) it's the hefty rainfall totals, plus some quite tight gradients, that catch the eye. So, lively weather for sure, even sans snow (and indeed many might say: have we not seen enough already!?). The UKMO 6-15d briefings now consistently offer the prospect of milder conditions developing across the south and the SIG snow risk being progressively excluded up into northern Scotland by the end of the period. I just photographed the first butterfly I've seen in 2010..... a biomarker of seasonal change afoot? We shall see.

Yes good TY could do with a little white stuff though its miserable rain here. lol

Saint if there is a sniff of snow your there everytime :lol: Hope you are well.

:lol: No snow in Hertford can we expect anything from this band KW?

Like I said earlier when you wake up sober you may see some snow.

We have done very well snow in Dec. and got about 5 inch. in January are you talking about Durham there not Cleadon Hills because thats not 20 miles from Jarra, Tynemooth had some deep snow a couple of Fridays ago though didnt they and Shields? No thats not Durham WEST Lol.

What Sea your not a Sandancer your an adopted Viking, lol