March CET

[Nick L]

3.5C: Tricky Dicky

4.6C: Mackerel Sky

4.7C: Adam Jones 416

4.9C: Kentish Man

5.3C: Dartmoor Mat

5.5C: Memories of 63

5.7C: Morfius

5.8C: Summer Blizzard

5.8C: The Pit

5.9C: Russ L.F.C.

6.1C: Tomb Raider Legend

6.5C: High Ground Birningham

7.8C: Optimus Prime

8.0C: Snow Storm 1

8.0C: Mike W

For those unaware..

The average March CET is 6.3C..

The coldest March on record occured in 1785, with a CET of 1.2C, 5.1C below todays average.

The hottest March on record occured in 1957 with a CET of 9.2C, 2.9C above todays average.

Personally, despite whether my final punt is abve or below average, i would like to see a cold March, i am unable to tan until April.

Is that 71-00 or 61-90?

[snowray]

4.5c please

[osmposm]

Is that 71-00 or 61-90?

6.3 was the March mean for 1971-2000. The mean for 1961-1990 was just 5.7, making March the month that warmed most markedly. See here: http://www.personal.dundee.ac.uk/~taharley...av_temperat.htm

The ten year running mean is even higher, at 6.7(2). So I feel that March 2009 will be a particularly interesting month to watch if we are looking for continuing signs of a somewhat cooler regime.

Ossie

[Nick L]

6.3 was the March mean for 1971-2000. The mean for 1961-1990 was just 5.7, making March the month that warmed most markedly. See here: http://www.personal.dundee.ac.uk/~taharley...av_temperat.htm

The ten year running mean is even higher, at 6.7(2). So I feel that March 2009 will be a particularly interesting month to watch if we are looking for continuing signs of a somewhat cooler regime.

Ossie

Thanks for that link, now I don't need to keep asking!

In that case, I shall predict the continuation of the cool-cold months at 5.6c.

[Cheese Rice]

4.9c im expecting a cold start to march with a similar start to the cold snap of february but no where near as long about 9 days with a lot more snow around because the sun is stronger and this will create more beefy heavy snow showers bringng connective snow bringing longer spells of heavy snow, then things will calm down with high pressure centered to the east of the UK feeding in cool/cold continental air then a NW airflow bringing typical spring weather sunshie and showers apart from the showers will be wintry with to all levels with snow at times.

[James M]

6.5°C

Edited February 19, 2009 by James M

[TonyH]

Not many above average predictions yet.

I will say back to mild at 7.2c.

[Fozfoster]

5.2 for me please, MMW!!

[J10]

I'll put an early bid in at 6.0c.

[Timbo]

I think March will produce more record breaking snow falls, more especially in the East / South East early and again later in the month, mid month will produce some very cold days and exceptional severe overnight frosts, be warned this mild spell is not the end of our winter.I know March is not a winter month, but this year the potential is soo high i feel it will be better than the 3 winter month put together.

My prediction is 3.2 CET.

[Don]

Too early to give a CET estimate for March, but at the moment I have a feeling that it could well be a mild one as I feel the current run of average to below average months could be about to come to an end.

Hope I'm very wrong........

Edited February 19, 2009 by Don

[simon mcfc]

I think we are going to have a heatwave so i'll say 19.6c

[osmposm]

I think we are going to have a heatwave so i'll say 19.6c :lol:

Perhaps you're just taking the p**s, Simon - that's within a whisker of the hottest (high summer) month ever recorded, July 2006!

But if on the other hand you just don't know what the CET av we're trying to guess consists of, have a look here http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/ , and here http://www.personal.dundee.ac.uk/~taharley...av_temperat.htm . Basically it's the month's average for the mean daily temperature - i.e. halfway between the day's minimum and maximum - for the central area of England.

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

I think i will go for 6.7 ta!

Edited February 20, 2009 by RAIN RAIN RAIN

[SP1986]

I'd go for 5.9C so marginally (0.4C) below average.

[Polar Gael]

6.9C for me please.

[casparjack]

5.4c please

[Snowly does it]

The trend since June of last year would give a range of 4.7 to 6.4 favouring the mid 5s

At this stage I do not see the UK breaking out of the cycle so I am going for

5.5

However, I reserve the right to change it nearer month end if the pattern I expect shifts (frosty continental, but mild days with interest form the North and East early in the month)

[BarnetBlizzard]

5.1 for me

[SteveB]

5.6c please

[snowingman]

oh dear.. 5.8C so cold...................again

[PB22]

7.3C

[shuggee]

4.9ºC

[Norrance]

5.0C for me. Continuing the cool theme [even if it has been missing this week] B)

[Thundery wintry showers]

I'll probably revise this on the last day or two of February, but for now I feel that March is going to be a mild one. I don't think we've seen the last of the white stuff this year- maybe the odd cold snap in March and April- but I have a feeling that for the most part, it's going to be a dry mild March like those of 1997 and 2000, with the only real question mark being whether or not sunshine significantly exceeds the average.

Therefore, I say 7.4C.