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Severe Weather US June.


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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

A few cells going up se of Wichita along the outflow surface boundary also initiation of cells

around Dodge City Kansas and in the vicinity of Enid Oklahoma.

Latest visible satellite image looking very promising now.

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Andy Gabrielson is on the cell just east( i mean west) lol of Ponca City Oklahoma and it looks just ready to drop

a tornado.

http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/playe...son&uid=140

Edited by NL
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Posted
  • Location: West Totton, Southampton
  • Location: West Totton, Southampton

Looks like a funnel coming down on Andy Gabrielson cam now... it's getting interesting!

and then it was gone....lol

Edited by WindWatcher
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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Looks like a funnel coming down on Andy Gabrielson cam now... it's getting interesting!

and then it was gone....lol

Up and down like a brides nightie...!!!

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Posted
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Tornadoey
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL

Dave Ewoldt looks to be the only one on the storm near DDC riding the Boundary ESE. That storm should be one to watch assuming LCL's are still reasonable up there... The deviant motion should only increase low level helicity helping things out. Already showing signs of a hook forming. Also... should be noted it would pass very close to Greensburg on the storms current track (just west at present motion although it may move further east as it loses it's interaction with the boundary...

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Posted
  • Location: Aberystwyth, West Wales
  • Location: Aberystwyth, West Wales

Vortex2 on that storm as well, no live stream yet :huh:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS

640 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

NORTHWESTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

EAST CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 640 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES

NORTHWEST OF MULLINVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

MULLINVILLE...

GREENSBURG...

RURAL RESIDENCES OF EASTERN FORD...NORTHWESTERN KIOWA AND

SOUTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES.

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Posted
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Tornadoey
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL

No surprise.. but it's now been tor warned. Looks very good on base reflectivity with a nice hook. There isn't a strong couplet, but it seems to be consolodating it's rotation and the couplet it has looks to be in a ramping phase...

http://www.chasertv.com/index.php?option=c...s&Itemid=82

NIce structure on the GB Cell

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Posted
  • Location: Tiree
  • Location: Tiree
Yep really starting to kick off now, the Weather radio is Screeching away LOL

Would be Inclined to drop South on I-35 For the cells coming across from Oklahoma for an intercept around the KS/OK Border and leave the Mess around Eureka area and Independence for the Lumberjacks!

Think the 2 Supercells currently Discrete in OK Have the best chance of becoming Tornadic.

Paul S

Yep really starting to kick off now, the Weather radio is Screeching away LOL

Would be Inclined to drop South on I-35 For the cells coming across from Oklahoma for an intercept around the KS/OK Border and leave the Mess around Eureka area and Independence for the Lumberjacks!

Think the 2 Supercells currently Discrete in OK Have the best chance of becoming Tornadic.

Paul S

Yep really starting to kick off now, the Weather radio is Screeching away LOL

Would be Inclined to drop South on I-35 For the cells coming across from Oklahoma for an intercept around the KS/OK Border and leave the Mess around Eureka area and Independence for the Lumberjacks!

Think the 2 Supercells currently Discrete in OK Have the best chance of becoming Tornadic.

Paul S

Yep really starting to kick off now, the Weather radio is Screeching away LOL

Would be Inclined to drop South on I-35 For the cells coming across from Oklahoma for an intercept around the KS/OK Border and leave the Mess around Eureka area and Independence for the Lumberjacks!

Think the 2 Supercells currently Discrete in OK Have the best chance of becoming Tornadic.

Paul S

Yep really starting to kick off now, the Weather radio is Screeching away LOL

Would be Inclined to drop South on I-35 For the cells coming across from Oklahoma for an intercept around the KS/OK Border and leave the Mess around Eureka area and Independence for the Lumberjacks!

Think the 2 Supercells currently Discrete in OK Have the best chance of becoming Tornadic.

Paul S

Yep really starting to kick off now, the Weather radio is Screeching away LOL

Would be Inclined to drop South on I-35 For the cells coming across from Oklahoma for an intercept around the KS/OK Border and leave the Mess around Eureka area and Independence for the Lumberjacks!

Think the 2 Supercells currently Discrete in OK Have the best chance of becoming Tornadic.

Paul S

I didn't quite catch that can you post it again :huh:

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Have got serious Internet Probs tonight so this post will prob take another hour to upload :huh:

Nathan - Your statement has to be the Understatement of the Year!!

That is nearly as good as Beloit last year! Incredible Barberpole Supercell!

Paul S

Dodge Splitting Supercell apparantly put one Down 4WNW Of Greensburg.

Just been confirmed on the SPC Reports section

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Posted
  • Location: Aberystwyth, West Wales
  • Location: Aberystwyth, West Wales

2353 4 WNW GREENSBURG KIOWA KS 3763 9936 DTS STORM TEAM REPORTED A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN. (DDC)

:huh:

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Well i just dont know what happened yesterday...The threat of one or two big tornadoes and everything

goes pair-shaped..!! Seems that the large MCS had something to do with it, although it did kick off a few

severe storms in the outflow boundary but storms further west seemed to be building very well then as they

approached ICT they waned and withered...Good news for the American public though especially Greensburg

as a small tornado passed within a few miles.

A bit uncertainty in todays forecast so SPC have just given a slight risk for severe storms and a 5% chance of

Tornadoes for NE/central Oklahoma,SE Kansas, NW Arkansas and SW Missouri, with the highest chance around

the Ozarks where instability is greatest and Dp's at 21oC/70oF.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

http://www.stormtrack.org/forum/showpost.p...mp;postcount=12

Absolutely Beautiful LP Supercell from Yesterday about 5 Miles NW Of Greensburg, this was the Right Split that occured just South East of Dodge City (Ks)

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Yeah Paul seen that on the storm discussion thread also seen Hans Schroeder(think it was him) streaming on chasertv.com last night but it didnt look as impressive as the image as the cam was quite bright but what a barber-pole supercell..!!!!

SPC have shifted the tornado threat further west affecting northern Oklahoma and southern Kansas.

SPC AC 101241

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0741 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

VALID 101300Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TO

ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL

APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT...

...SYNOPSIS...

BROAD BELT OF 40-50KT W/WSWLY FLOW EXTENDS FROM COAST-TO-COAST TODAY

BETWEEN LARGE SCALE TROUGHING OVER CANADA AND NRN BORDER

STATES...AND SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE OVER MEXICO/SRN TX AND THE ADJACENT

GULF OF MEXICO. NRN PERIPHERY OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WILL

BECOME SUPPRESSED ACROSS THE SRN GREAT PLAINS TODAY AS A SHORT WAVE

TROUGH EJECTS NEWD FROM AZ/NM.

AT THE SFC...A COMPLEX QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE...FRACTURED IN

A NUMBER OF AREAS BY DIURNAL/EPISODIC CONVECTION...EXTENDS FROM ERN

CO FRONT RANGE SEWD TO KS/OK...AND THEN EWD TO THE LOWER OH VALLEY.

THE FRONT BECOMES A BIT MORE DIFFUSE FROM THE OH VALLEY ACROSS THE

APPALACHIANS TO THE EAST COAST.

TSTM DEVELOPMENT AND EVOLUTION ALONG/NEAR THE ENTIRE EXTENT OF THIS

FRONTAL ZONE WILL BE MODULATED BY SEVERAL COMPLEX FACTORS TODAY

INCLUDING: 1)FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHORT WAVE

TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST...AS WELL AS A WEAKER LEADING

LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE MOVING FROM MO EWD TO THE OH VALLEY...2)

PLACEMENT/LOCATION OF RESIDUAL STORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND THEIR

LOCATION WITH RESPECT TO POTENTIAL FRONTAL WAVES/ENHANCED DEEP-LAYER

ASCENT...AND 3) LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AXES/DISCONTINUITIES INCLUDING

RESIDUAL DRYLINE INFLUENCE ANALYZED ACROSS TX PNHDL/WRN OK...AND

DEEPER MOISTURE SURGE SITUATED FROM TX NWD/NEWD TO THE OZARKS.

...SRN PLAINS...

IT IS DIFFICULT TO BE TOO SPECIFIC WITH REGARD TO STORM

DEVELOPMENT/CHARACTER ACROSS THIS LARGE REGION TODAY GIVEN

COMPLEXITIES ALREADY MENTIONED. LARGE SCALE LIFT WITH THE MID/UPPER

TROUGH EJECTING FROM AZ/NM WAS ALREADY CONTRIBUTING TO ISOLATED

STORM DEVELOPMENT OVER A BROAD REGION. RECENT DEVELOPMENT WAS ALSO

INCREASING ALONG CONFLUENCE ZONE FROM TRANS-PECOS AREA NEWD ALONG

THE CAPROCK WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SURGE WAS OVERCOMING DRIER AIR

IN THE WAKE OF DRYLINE SURGE THAT OCCURRED ON TUESDAY.

STRENGTHENING BACKGROUND ASCENT ON THE LARGE SCALE WILL SUPPORT AN

INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE THROUGH THE DAY. WITH SURFACE LOW

PRESSURE FORECAST TO PERSIST ACROSS TX/OK...AND THE FRONTAL ZONE

SITUATED ACROSS THE PNHDLS AND NRN OK...EXPECT MORE VIGOROUS AND

ORGANIZED STORMS TO BECOME MOST PREVALENT NEAR THESE FEATURES AND

BOUNDARIES. STORM INTENSITY IN TX MAY BE LIMITED BY SUBSTANTIAL

CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER. A CORRIDOR OF

STRONGER SURFACE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION MAY OCCUR FROM TX PNHDL

ACROSS WRN OK...AND NEAR THE FRONT IN OK/SRN KS WHERE LATEST

SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS MORE LIMITED CLOUD COVER EXISTS THIS

MORNING.

STORMS SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED AS MID LEVEL FLOW

STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE ENTIRE WARM SECTOR THROUGH THE DAY. STORM

SCALE AND MESOSCALE INFLUENCES YET TO DEVELOP/OCCUR WILL PLAY A

SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN HOW AND WHERE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS REALIZED.

IN ADDITION TO WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND SOME TORNADO

POTENTIAL...UPSCALE ORGANIZATION INTO AN MCS OR TWO APPEARS LIKELY

FROM KS TO TX LATER TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT

HIGHER SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES MIGHT BE DEPICTED IN LATER

OUTLOOKS AS STORMS INCREASE AND ORGANIZE THROUGH LATER TODAY.

...MIDWEST/LOWER OH VALLEY...

A ZONE OF ENHANCED STORM POTENTIAL MAY BECOME ESTABLISHED FROM MO/IL

EWD ACROSS THE LOWER OH VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY. LIFT WITH THE

LOW-AMPLITUDE DISTURBANCE NOW DRIVING STORMS ACROSS SERN MO WILL

CONTINUE TO PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE RESIDUAL

FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS

ACROSS THE REGION ATTM...POCKETS OF GREATER SURFACE-BASED

DESTABILIZATION APPEAR POSSIBLE GIVEN RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND

PERSISTENT PLUME OF STEEP LAPSE RATES. EFFECTIVE FLOW AS FORECAST

WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND LINE SEGMENTS WITH HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE

POTENTIAL.

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Posted
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Tornadoey
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL
Have got serious Internet Probs tonight so this post will prob take another hour to upload :o

Nathan - Your statement has to be the Understatement of the Year!!

That is nearly as good as Beloit last year! Incredible Barberpole Supercell!

Paul S

Dodge Splitting Supercell apparantly put one Down 4WNW Of Greensburg.

Just been confirmed on the SPC Reports section

I am the master of understatement..... if you ever see me getting excited about anything storm wise, it's probably something apocalyptical.... :o

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Posted
  • Location: Aberystwyth, West Wales
  • Location: Aberystwyth, West Wales

Few reports of tornadoes on spotter network, NE off Nevada Missouri. Can't get Severestudios live streams to work though :(

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Arron

Try Chasertv.com hey might have some Streams working. They dont call it Misery for nothing :(

SPC Still having a Good Season it seems, they have just downgraded the Tor probs to 2% and then the Frikin Tornado Watch Box goes Up - Will be good when Vortex2 Finishes and they can get their Chief Forecasters back on the Ball again!

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Posted
  • Location: Aberystwyth, West Wales
  • Location: Aberystwyth, West Wales

:(

Few tornado warnings up now,

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX

604 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHWESTERN DENTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

NORTHEASTERN PARKER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

NORTHERN TARRANT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

SOUTHEASTERN WISE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 604 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS AND DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A

DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR SPRINGTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THIS

UPDATES AND REPLACES THE PREVIOUS TORNADO WARNING.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO

622 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT.

* AT 622 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

TORNADO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STOVER...OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

VERSAILLES...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
With today's outlook, where do people think would be the best place to position and why?

Extremely Tough Forecast Stew!

You either target the Derecho and get some Insane Wind and Hail Footage and total your car in the process or hang back and play the Dryline which "May" Fire further West. I personally would favour the Dryline Storms that should follow "The Mess" that will be impacting Arkansas.

So target would be East of Ardmore for me, the key to today will be finding an Outflow Boundary from that mess currently ongoing and that Boundary should be the pivotal focus for Storm Development. Any Storm that does fire will quickly become a Supercell given the Extreme Instability.

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: East Renfrewshire 180m asl
  • Location: East Renfrewshire 180m asl
http://www.stormtrack.org/forum/showpost.p...mp;postcount=12

Absolutely Beautiful LP Supercell from Yesterday about 5 Miles NW Of Greensburg, this was the Right Split that occured just South East of Dodge City (Ks)

Paul S

It was nice to be in the USA and not chasing (in a way) because i got to watch this on the weather channel, it was truly awesome! It fell apart pretty quickly however :rofl:

DFW metroplex taking a pasting :rofl:

Yeah, i also got to watch this. They had a live camera showing power flashes over the city from the straight line winds. I think gusts of 80+mph were recorded!

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Posted
  • Location: Midleton, Cork, Ireland
  • Location: Midleton, Cork, Ireland
Will be good when Vortex2 Finishes and they can get their Chief Forecasters back on the Ball again!

Vortex2 kicks off again next year and earlier mate. Will be around for all 3 (4) tours

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