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September 2009 Cet

Stu_London

By Stu_London
in Winter Weather Discussion

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

I don't believe in any of the autumn-winter link rubbish. It is merely hopecasting.

  • Replies 161
  • Created
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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

14.2c to the 25th.

+0.4C

Typhoon John Enthusiast

Typhoon John

Posted
  • Location: Bethnal Green
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold
  • Location: Bethnal Green
Posted

a 14.0 finish would do nicely :whistling:

Indeed, very nicely.

damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

Looks like I am going to be much nearer the mark with my guess this month compared to recent months, my guess being 14.2 degrees, can't see it sticking at this level, perhaps 14.1 degrees but more likely 14 degrees, a near average month.

SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

14.2 to the 26th

0.5c above average.

Fozfoster Seasoned

Fozfoster

Posted
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
  • Weather Preferences: WHITE GOLD
  • Location: warwick 74m. asl
Posted

Still a cheeeeekey chance of 13.9 whistling.gif

Evening thunder Experienced

Evening thunder

Posted
  • Location: East Devon
  • Location: East Devon
Posted

Indeed, very nicely.

:unsure:

My 14.1 punt looks to be pretty close to the eventual outcome - pity I forgot to get it in on time :rolleyes:

Exactly the same with my 14.0 punt! it was bit late again...

magicpatch Contributor

magicpatch

Posted
  • Location: Croydon, Surrey
  • Location: Croydon, Surrey
Posted

My ever-so unofficial average is currently 15.6c although thats probably down to the pretty warm temps at the start of the month (recorded 26c on the 8th) and its only just started to have really cool nights here over the last week or so, although last night only dropped to 10.0c so that probably explains the warmer average down here (a bit)

Stu_London Rising Star

Stu_London

Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Author
Posted

14.2 to the 28th

14.1 looks like being the uncalebrated figure

reef Veteran

reef

Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
Posted

14.2 to the 28th

14.1 looks like being the uncalebrated figure

I wouldnt be so sure. Bear in mind today and tomorrow will still be rather warm in the CET zone. Indeed, today has a min of 12.2C and maxima have been approaching 18-21C in many areas. Tomorrow will be the same: a mild night and some warm temperatures in the south before the cold front crosses the country.

Without a climate-uk figure (it only goes to the 18th at present) theres also no way of knowing if there will be any correction. Its looking like 14.3C will be the provisional number but either way its pretty close to average.

Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted

I wouldnt be so sure. Bear in mind today and tomorrow will still be rather warm in the CET zone. Indeed, today has a min of 12.2C and maxima have been approaching 18-21C in many areas. Tomorrow will be the same: a mild night and some warm temperatures in the south before the cold front crosses the country.

Without a climate-uk figure (it only goes to the 18th at present) theres also no way of knowing if there will be any correction. Its looking like 14.3C will be the provisional number but either way its pretty close to average.

Yes, the CET is still creeping up, so I agree that 14.3C is where we will probably be at the end of today. That may get adjusted downwards slightly. Anyway, it's looking likely that September will be slightly above average, but at least it hasn't been incredibly warm like those of 1999 and more especially 2006. Still, would have rather had a cooler September! Does anyone have the link to the Hadley CET tracker as I can't find it these days on the METO website? Cheers.

SP1986 Accomplished

SP1986

Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
Posted

My own unofficial figure looks like being 14.7C so pretty much within the confines of the figure that is expected. Whereas the CET zone general saw relatively high temperatures by day and relatively low temperature by night, the opposite was true for here.

p.s. What is the 10 year average figure for September?

reef Veteran

reef

Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
Posted

Yes, the CET is still creeping up, so I agree that 14.3C is where we will probably be at the end of today. That may get adjusted downwards slightly. Anyway, it's looking likely that September will be slightly above average, but at least it hasn't been incredibly warm like those of 1999 and more especially 2006. Still, would have rather had a cooler September! Does anyone have the link to the Hadley CET tracker as I can't find it these days on the METO website? Cheers.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Still no update for today.

My own unofficial figure looks like being 14.7C so pretty much within the confines of the figure that is expected. Whereas the CET zone general saw relatively high temperatures by day and relatively low temperature by night, the opposite was true for here.

p.s. What is the 10 year average figure for September?

The 10 year average (1999-2008) is 14.7C.

The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Must have dropped lower than they expected so they checking everything. Should have gone up slightly as the last few days have been very mild.

ukmoose Newbie

ukmoose

Posted
  • Location: Buckingham
  • Location: Buckingham
Posted

The last few days have been pretty warm and one or two cooler nights have been more than offset recently by several very warm nights. I would guess a rise if anything over the last few days. Then there is the mandatory downwards correction (I still don't understand this) so should be between 14.1 and 14.3?

stewfox Accomplished

stewfox

Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
Posted

Its looking like 14.3C will be the provisional number but either way its pretty close to average.

I guessed 14.4c so maybe I should have light a bonfire last night

ps Out of interest as we past midnight it is of course then October so was the last 'night' for September CET last night mellow.gif

ie How does the 'CET people' count the change over ?

Thundery wintry showers Accomplished

Thundery wintry showers

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted

I guessed 14.5C, so regardless of whether the outturn is 14.2, 14.3 or 14.4 I will be quite happy with my guess.

Philip Eden hasn't been updating the CET at www.climate-uk.com recently- that site often gives a big clue regarding what sort of correction is likely. I am thinking a final outcome of 14.2 or 14.3 looks likely, overall quite typical for recent Septembers really.

Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted

Despite wanting a cooler September, I am happy with my CET guess of 14.3C. However, I was late entering this month, so I have been subjected to penalty points! :lol: Nevermind.....

Stu_London Rising Star

Stu_London

Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Author
Posted

Must have dropped lower than they expected so they checking everything. Should have gone up slightly as the last few days have been very mild.

Daily CET

23rd - 13.9C

24th - 12.5C

25th - 12.3C

26th - 14.0C

27th - 13.4C

Bit difficult to get the CET to rise when it comes in below the rolling average - not exactly very mild either.

Bear in mind you need a day to come in around 17C to raise the CET by 0.1C at this time of the month

Rob Rookie

Rob

Posted
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent
  • Location: Maidstone, Kent
Posted

another above average month, i wonder what october will have for us?

Mr Maunder Apprentice

Mr Maunder

Posted
  • Location: W Kent/E Sussex border (T Wells) 139m ASL
  • Location: W Kent/E Sussex border (T Wells) 139m ASL
Posted

Climate-uk.com has now been updated and Philip Eden shows the September average as 14.2c.

MM

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