South West England Cold Spell Discussion

[David-kig]

No probs - the raw data is exactly as fed into our graphics system - as you then watch on TV - - and so you're not seeing anything that's not otherwise available (online too) albeit in somewhat different format (including NAE output now through Weatheronline, etc); obviously I can't offer you everything we see from our lovely MO colleagues for obvious contractual and commercial reasons, but a helpful snapshot here or there of their expertise (rather than entire timelines etc!) is in keeping with our nowcast / forecast effort anyway. And below is how the high-resolution predictive modelling want to feed showers into Somerset and environs by 21Z this evening.... note the snow bias manifesting not far inland (Somerset Levels / Mendips) and quite beefy cells feeding in sometimes on the flow....but don't take the distribution too literally!!! A hint, however, of what is likely later.

hey ian do you think there will be many showers across the wincanton area?

[Steve_De4]

There's some absolutely lovely cloud tops to my west, visible from here in Westbury. Is nobody getting some form of "wintry mix" from them?

[Rich_Clements]

There's some absolutely lovely cloud tops to my west, visible from here in Westbury. Is nobody getting some form of "wintry mix" from them?

I too can see them to the south west but nothing here

[David-kig]

is snowing in wincanton here powerdy snow looks good

[Jayfromcardiff]

is snowing in wincanton here powerdy snow looks good

I can see some dark clouds lol outside my window maybe thats whats hitting you.

[anvilhead]

Good news Ian!

I'm watching those showers over wales movine SE, but I think they're all just dying - im not very good with soundings, but I take it all showers will be sst driven - theres no cape from what I can see without this (using http://www.meteociel.com/modeles/sondage_gfs.php - I dont think they'll be very acurate though!)

sam

[textmum]

Is there an chance of us seeing any snow this evening or in the next day or so?

[Tommyyy]

am i right in saying our next outside chance is thursday/night??

oo christmas eve how fortunate!

[Steve_De4]

is snowing in wincanton here powerdy snow looks good

That would explain the clouds I can see to my West then (okay, south west!)

[kerensa]

yes there is snow in wincanton and sticking, went shopping to yeovil this morning, that was a nightmare, like a skating rink, we had no snow last night but yeovil did, i think gritters were a bit caught out

[anvilhead]

your all going to hate me for saying this, but no one wants to be bombarded with will it snow in my area questions.. maybe look at peoples previous posts to see if your area was mentioned in discussion (not my posts, as I dont have a clue lol)

yip .. ill get my coat!

[Dartmoor_Matt]

Ian, your posts are a great source of information, thank you.

Any chance of an update as to how Dartmoor might fare tonight? The Met Office have said some wintry showers but its hard to pin down an exact forecast for up here, with the added height etc.

The weather up here is often vastly different to the weather just down off the Moor.

Perhaps you could point David Braine in this direction? :winky:

[kerensa]

getting quite heavy , nice big flakes, will take photo in min

[Jayfromcardiff]

getting quite heavy , nice big flakes, will take photo in min

Lol, sweet f all here and i bet i get nothing.

[kerensa]

Lol, sweet f all here and i bet i get nothing.

lol, all done now, it stopped but has left a covering and kids over the top as it is lol

[David-kig]

getting quite heavy , nice big flakes, will take photo in min

yay first dusting of the winter after all that thank god

[WESTERN SNOWS]

i see theres a few stray snow showers coming down from wales towards the bristol area fingers crossed i see somthing from these:rolleyes:

[Nights King]

Thanks Ian for the update. I was wondering how the showers would reach us but now i know wind veers west it makes more sense. Tomorrow looks like another knife edge scenario for us although more likely to be brief rain if it reaches us which is a shame. Lets just hope and see if there is another chance running closer to christmas before milder air takes a hold. Watched your forecast earlier and must say i thought you were rather conservative with you minimum air temperature?

Current temperature here is -2.9c with a ground temperature of -4.2.

Edited December 20, 2009 by mullender83

[BristolBlizzard]

Lol, sweet f all here and i bet i get nothing.

yes bet bristol be same :winky: :winky:

[Snowfan50]

Sleet here in barnstaple. Just wont bloody snow will it.

[kaz]

i can confirm that the shower going over me at the moment is SNOW :winky:

not settling but it is nice big flakes

kaz

[WESTERN SNOWS]

yes bet bristol be same :winky: :winky:

keep believing bristol can get some come on snow come this way your more than welcome lol:whistling:

[BristolBlizzard]

keep believing bristol can get some come on snow come this way your more than welcome lol:whistling:

[Dartmoor_Matt]

i can confirm that the shower going over me at the moment is SNOW

not settling but it is nice big flakes

kaz

Send it this way! Although, there are some dark clouds building to the NW...

[grab my graupel]

Evening everyone, will open a new thread in a few minutes