Midlands Cold Spell Discussion

[grab my graupel]

Please continue

[cold stoke]

when do you think the snow will it the midlands about 9 clock

[weather_it_will]

There are showers coming from Sheffield that seem to becoming more intense as they move south.

I think it's our next best chance of snow later tonight.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

I'm not excited about next week yet, it just always downgrades nearer the time, will end up either being marginal with some kind of mild sector or dry, always looks good but any snow potential always seems to be 4 days away, always seems to not be as cold as forecast when PPN comes along

[Shiny_Bottom_1]

Thanks Brian.

And a HNY to you fella.

Just to add more thoughts again, for Notts, Derbys, Leics, Warks and Staffs.

The band of PPN has decayed over the last few hours, however, the decay 'potentially, looks to have at least stalled for now.

For some indication, have a look in the Yorks/Lincs thread.

Notts is perhaps going to fair best from this, however Leics, if the ppn does not decay further, might also get some showers out of this.

Derbys (North) should also do ok, and showers look like they are starting to fill in, however, South Derbys are unlikely to do as well, with still some risk.

Staffs might do ok, but may be a little to far west, whilst Warks may do ok again if ppn continutes, but the further east the better.

Worcs are perhaps in a less favourable position, and whilst Northants too may also be in a similar position, the potential is slightly better.

So in terms of risk, I would say, with the highest risk of snowfall, as follows:

1. Notts - 50%

2. North Derbs -45%

3. North Staffs - 40%

4. North Leics - 35%

4. South Derbs - 35%

6. South Staffs - 30%

6. South Leics - 30%

6. North Warks - 30%

8. North Northants - 25%

9. South Northants - 20%

9. South Warks - 20%

11. Gloucs/Worcs - 15%

Radar as I say, is looking ok...well...at least holding up to some degree.

TV Forecasts are showing a brief spell for the northern parts of the region, but not so for the southern half.

METO Warnings are now downgraded to Icy Patches, so if any snow, expect it to be light.

But, as we saw today, we really just do not know what is going to happen.

[cold stoke]

There are showers coming from Sheffield that seem to becoming more intense as they move south.

I think it's our next best chance of snow later tonight.

do you that will it skoke mate

[hilldweller]

Hi again,

The snow is now in Buxton and i,m guessing it will be in the Stoke area in about 30-45 mins going by how quick it is moving on the radar.

Cheers,

Keviwal

[cold stoke]

Hi again,

The snow is now in Buxton and i,m guessing it will be in the Stoke area in about 30-45 mins going by how quick it is moving on the radar.

Cheers,

how bad is it snowing mate

Keviwal

[Serendipity]

Guess what!!!

It's raining here again....

[hilldweller]

Hi again,

Its fairly fine and powdey but the full extent of the fron isn't over us yet.

Looking at the radar ( as we know is not always 100% correct) i,m guessing it will be moderate rather than heavy.

If it changes i will let you know.

Cheers,

keviwal

[weather_it_will]

METO Warnings are now downgraded to Icy Patches, so if any snow, expect it to be light.

Meto warning still says upto 3cm possible for my area tonight.

I am not expecting it to be right though.

[windysnow1]

Good evening all

this is my first post this winter.

What is going on with the weather!!! Im on the south derbys/north west leics border and we seem to have a permanent snow shield around me!!!

Im seriously thinking of setting up Snow Lovers Anomynous!!!

Im interested to know why you think south derbys will miss out tonight?

Taken advice form Andy Leics I have a 15 pack of strongbow for tonight!!!

Thanks Brian.

And a HNY to you fella.

Just to add more thoughts again, for Notts, Derbys, Leics, Warks and Staffs.

The band of PPN has decayed over the last few hours, however, the decay 'potentially, looks to have at least stalled for now.

For some indication, have a look in the Yorks/Lincs thread.

Notts is perhaps going to fair best from this, however Leics, if the ppn does not decay further, might also get some showers out of this.

Derbys (North) should also do ok, and showers look like they are starting to fill in, however, South Derbys are unlikely to do as well, with still some risk.

Staffs might do ok, but may be a little to far west, whilst Warks may do ok again if ppn continutes, but the further east the better.

Worcs are perhaps in a less favourable position, and whilst Northants too may also be in a similar position, the potential is slightly better.

So in terms of risk, I would say, with the highest risk of snowfall, as follows:

1. Notts - 50%

2. North Derbs -45%

3. North Staffs - 40%

4. North Leics - 35%

4. South Derbs - 35%

6. South Staffs - 30%

6. South Leics - 30%

6. North Warks - 30%

8. North Northants - 25%

9. South Northants - 20%

9. South Warks - 20%

11. Gloucs/Worcs - 15%

Radar as I say, is looking ok...well...at least holding up to some degree.

TV Forecasts are showing a brief spell for the northern parts of the region, but not so for the southern half.

METO Warnings are now downgraded to Icy Patches, so if any snow, expect it to be light.

But, as we saw today, we really just do not know what is going to happen.

[hilldweller]

Hi again,

it is now snowing quite hard, not sure how long it will last

Cheers,

keviwal

[butler_son]

There are showers coming from Sheffield that seem to becoming more intense as they move south.

I think it's our next best chance of snow later tonight.

See, I've been looking at this and I reckon some southern parts of the Midlands are gonna struggle. I'm looking at the bit near Mablethorpe coming our way in Nottingham, and that's where the slight break is.

[whitestuff]

Thanks Brian.

And a HNY to you fella.

Just to add more thoughts again, for Notts, Derbys, Leics, Warks and Staffs.

The band of PPN has decayed over the last few hours, however, the decay 'potentially, looks to have at least stalled for now.

For some indication, have a look in the Yorks/Lincs thread.

Notts is perhaps going to fair best from this, however Leics, if the ppn does not decay further, might also get some showers out of this.

Derbys (North) should also do ok, and showers look like they are starting to fill in, however, South Derbys are unlikely to do as well, with still some risk.

Staffs might do ok, but may be a little to far west, whilst Warks may do ok again if ppn continutes, but the further east the better.

Worcs are perhaps in a less favourable position, and whilst Northants too may also be in a similar position, the potential is slightly better.

So in terms of risk, I would say, with the highest risk of snowfall, as follows:

1. Notts - 50%

2. North Derbs -45%

3. North Staffs - 40%

4. North Leics - 35%

4. South Derbs - 35%

6. South Staffs - 30%

6. South Leics - 30%

6. North Warks - 30%

8. North Northants - 25%

9. South Northants - 20%

9. South Warks - 20%

11. Gloucs/Worcs - 15%

Radar as I say, is looking ok...well...at least holding up to some degree.

TV Forecasts are showing a brief spell for the northern parts of the region, but not so for the southern half.

METO Warnings are now downgraded to Icy Patches, so if any snow, expect it to be light.

But, as we saw today, we really just do not know what is going to happen.

Nothing for the West Midlands then?

[beccaboo]

I really hope that snow hits us, but I agree, we seem to have a permanent snow sheild down here!!!

[echobase]

Good evening all

this is my first post this winter.

What is going on with the weather!!! Im on the south derbys/north west leics border and we seem to have a permanent snow shield around me!!!

Im seriously thinking of setting up Snow Lovers Anomynous!!!

Im interested to know why you think south derbys will miss out tonight?

Taken advice form Andy Leics I have a 15 pack of strongbow for tonight!!!

A 15 pack`s rather overdoing it!! You`ll be p****d before the front comes in!!

[whitestuff]

Does anyone know a site where I can get a fairly local temperature reading from. The nearest I have found on meto is coleshill and that's a bit of a way from me.

[Shiny_Bottom_1]

Good evening all

this is my first post this winter.

What is going on with the weather!!! Im on the south derbys/north west leics border and we seem to have a permanent snow shield around me!!!

Im seriously thinking of setting up Snow Lovers Anomynous!!!

Im interested to know why you think south derbys will miss out tonight?

Taken advice form Andy Leics I have a 15 pack of strongbow for tonight!!!

Well, going by your location description, you are either in the likes of Chellaston, Melbourne, Ticknall, Weston/Aston or the likes.

We have been quite unlucky so far, but we have had the odd shower here an there.

Not sure why we have missed out so far, but against some of the other counties/locations in the Midlands, our elevation is not too great. Add on our distance in Easterlies, being slightly to far east on a CG streamer, and having the pennies/peaks on a Northerly, its just a case of...well...location.

We could get something, but I would not currently say anything more than 1-2cm max.

Nothing for the West Midlands then?

Sorry. Forgot the slight small area of the West Midlands I would go for 30% for there as well.

Does anyone know a site where I can get a fairly local temperature reading from. The nearest I have found on meto is coleshill and that's a bit of a way from me.

Tyoe in your postcode on the NW frontpage, and it shouldsave this as your location - gives you current temps.

Alternatively, xc weather is ok too.

[weather_it_will]

Does anyone know a site where I can get a fairly local temperature reading from. The nearest I have found on meto is coleshill and that's a bit of a way from me.

link sent to you.

[windysnow1]

hi

all ready had three!!!

thanks shiny ...............im in overseal, all I want is 2cm (i know how the wife feels!!) that enough for me and my little boy to go sledging at local golf course.

I am thinking really positive tonight!!!! Just want one day sledging before going back to work!!

cheers

[weather_it_will]

Just been a shower here...it was rain.

Could be another shower soon as more heading this way from Stratford.

Dewpoint is 0.7°C temp 1.7°C

Marginal for snow, but the night is young and temps will fall further.

[beccaboo]

Temp here is 1.6 dewpoint 1.1 with 8mph winds from the north.

please snow, please please!!!!!!!!!

[A.J]

'Ere, what happened to me snow??.....Left home at 9am for a 10 hour round trip to Devon, I get back, and someone's nicked it!...My monies on Andy, he's a thieving so-and-so and desperate for snow!

[cold stoke]

that front is breaking up