METO UK Further Outlook 16 Day To 30 Forecast

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 28 Sep 2012 to Friday 12 Oct 2012:

Indications are that the end of September and the beginning of October are likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with outbreaks of rain affecting many parts. This rain is likely to be heaviest and most persistent across western areas of the UK, with the east most favoured to see some drier, brighter interludes. Winds may also be strong at times, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures, on the whole are likely to be close to or slightly below average.

Updated: 1231 on Thu 13 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[AWD]

UK Outlook for Friday 28 Sep 2012 to Friday 12 Oct 2012:

Indications are that the end of September and the beginning of October are likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with outbreaks of rain affecting many parts. This rain is likely to be heaviest and most persistent across western areas of the UK, with the east most favoured to see some drier, brighter interludes. Winds may also be strong at times, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures, on the whole are likely to be close to or slightly below average.

Updated: 1231 on Thu 13 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk

/uk_forecast_weather.html

That forecast pretty much describes the 06z GFS FI too.

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Saturday 29 Sep 2012 to Saturday 13 Oct 2012:

Indications are that the end of September and the beginning of October are likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with outbreaks of rain affecting many parts. This rain is likely to be heaviest and most persistent across western areas of the UK, with the east and southeast most favoured to see some drier, brighter interludes. Winds may also be strong at times, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures are likely to be below or well below average, especially by day.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/?tab=regionalForecast

[Don]

UK Outlook for Saturday 29 Sep 2012 to Saturday 13 Oct 2012:

Temperatures are likely to be below or well below average, especially by day.

http://www.metoffice...egionalForecast

Interesting, although I would prefer to see this forecast for late November/early December or better still late December/early January rather than late September/early October!

Edited September 14, 2012 by Don

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 30 Sep 2012 to Sunday 14 Oct 2012:

Indications are that the end of September and the first half of October are likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with outbreaks of rain affecting many parts. This rain is likely to be heaviest and most persistent across western areas of the UK, with the east and southeast most favoured to see some drier, brighter interludes. Winds may also be strong at times, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures are likely to be generally below or well below average, especially by day.

Updated: 1233 on Sat 15 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[SnowObsessor90]

I was going to hold back from saying this and maybe I still should but it'll be very interesting to see whether the Met stick with this cool and unsettled outlook over the next few days as the models seem to be starting to show hints of a trend away from it at the minute.

Whether this is just simply a matter of the TS messing with the models who knows but we'll see.

Edited September 15, 2012 by Anonymous21

[johnholmes]

the anomaly charts all support their idea indeed I've just been writing rough notes and put this-how it will validate remains to be seen?

Noaa

Very similar to last few days but both ridge in west and trough over uk area have been moved ridge 6-7 deg from last issue and trough looks about same amount WEST the –ve area uk area is shown much larger(-120 compared to -60) to last issue-its centre is also moved a bit nne?

Trough over states seems in about same position-one in far west also seems about same place etc

Looking at the 8-14 noaa and the consistency with all 3, and the slight retrogression, it seems unlikely that any pattern change is going to occur before the start of October, how far into it is impossible to say-eductaed guess suggests not before 3/10 and more probably 7/10 assuming it does occur. That does not mean that the weather will stay the same-that is dependent on the position of ridge-trough in the uk part of the chart??

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 1 Oct 2012 to Monday 15 Oct 2012:

Indications are that the first half of October is likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with spells of rain as well as some drier and brighter periods. Winds may also be strong at times, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures are likely to be generally below or well below average, especially by day.

Updated: 1204 on Sun 16 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 2 Oct 2012 to Tuesday 16 Oct 2012:

Some signs of settled conditions over parts of the UK at the start of October. However, in the main, indications are that the first half of October is likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with spells of rain as well as some drier and brighter periods. Winds may also be strong at times, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures are likely to be generally below or perhaps well below average, especially by day.

Updated: 1243 on Mon 17 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 3 Oct 2012 to Wednesday 17 Oct 2012:

Some signs of settled conditions over parts of the UK at the start of October. However, in the main, indications are that the first half of October is likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with spells of rain as well as some drier and brighter periods. Winds may also be strong at times, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures are likely to be generally below or perhaps well below average, especially by day.

Updated: 1201 on Tue 18 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 4 Oct 2012 to Thursday 18 Oct 2012:

Some signs of settled conditions over parts of the UK early in October. However, in the main, indications are that the first half of October is likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with spells of rain as well as some drier and brighter periods. Winds may also be strong at times, particularly across the north and west. Temperatures are likely to be generally below or perhaps well below average, especially by day.

Updated: 1141 on Wed 19 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 5 Oct 2012 to Friday 19 Oct 2012:

In the main, indications are that this period of October is likely to be characterised by mainly unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with showers or longer spells of rain, but also some drier and brighter periods. Winds may also be strong at times. Temperatures are likely to be generally below or perhaps well below average, especially by day underneath cloud and rain.

Updated: 1235 on Thu 20 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 6 Oct 2012 to Saturday 20 Oct 2012:

In the main, indications are that this period of October is likely to be characterised by fairly typically unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with showers or longer spells of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with perhaps some longer drier and brighter periods towards the south. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to or a little below average, with some chilly nights likely, and some wintry showers possible for parts of Scotland at times.

Updated: 1231 on Fri 21 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Saturday 6 Oct 2012 to Saturday 20 Oct 2012:

In the main, indications are that this period of October is likely to be characterised by fairly typically unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with showers or longer spells of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with perhaps some longer drier and brighter periods towards the south. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to or a little below average, with some chilly nights likely, and some wintry showers possible for parts of Scotland at times.

Updated: 1231 on Fri 21 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Interesting the first word of snow for parts of Scotland at times in that outlook today

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 7 Oct 2012 to Sunday 21 Oct 2012:

In the main, indications are that this period of October is likely to be characterised by fairly typically unsettled conditions across much of the UK, with showers or longer spells of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with perhaps some longer drier and brighter periods towards the south. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to or a little below average, with some chilly nights likely, and some wintry showers possible for parts of Scotland at times.

Updated: 1259 on Sat 22 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Edited September 22, 2012 by Stuart

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 8 Oct 2012 to Monday 22 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly typically autumnal weather across much of the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with the best of any longer dry and bright periods more likely to be towards the south and southeast. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to or a little below average, with some chilly nights likely, and some wintry showers possible for parts of Scotland at times.

Updated: 1300 on Sun 23 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[SnowObsessor90]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 9 Oct 2012 to Tuesday 23 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly typically autumnal weather across much of the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with the best of any longer dry and bright periods more likely to be towards the south and southeast. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to or a little below average, with some chilly nights likely, and some wintry showers possible for parts of Scotland at times.

Issued at: 0332 on Mon 24 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Edited September 24, 2012 by Anonymous21

[AWD]

I see they have ditched the idea of well below average temps now then!

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 10 Oct 2012 to Wednesday 24 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly typically autumnal weather across much of the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with the best of any longer dry and bright periods more likely to be towards the south and southeast. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to or a little below average, with some chilly nights likely, and some wintry showers possible for parts of Scotland at times.

Updated: 1233 on Tue 25 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[johnholmes]

not sure where Stuart is so dropping this in here for him

UK Outlook for Thursday 11 Oct 2012 to Thursday 25 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly typically autumnal weather across much of the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with the best of any longer dry and bright periods more likely to be towards the south and east. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to average, or perhaps a little below at first with some chilly nights possible, and some wintry showers for upland parts of Scotland at times.

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 11 Oct 2012 to Thursday 25 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly typically autumnal weather across much of the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with the best of any longer dry and bright periods more likely to be towards the south and east. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to average, or perhaps a little below at first with some chilly nights possible and some wintry showers for upland parts of Scotland at times.

Updated: 1129 on Thu 27 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 13 Oct 2012 to Saturday 27 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly typically autumnal weather across much of the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with the best of any longer dry and bright periods more likely to be towards the south and east. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to average, or perhaps a little below at first with some chilly nights possible and some wintry showers for upland parts of Scotland at times.

Updated: 1241 on Fri 28 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Sunday 14 Oct 2012 to Sunday 28 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly typically autumnal weather across much of the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. The most unsettled weather will tend to be in the north and west, with the best of any longer dry and bright periods more likely to be towards the south and east. Winds may also be strong at times, chiefly in the north of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to average, or perhaps a little below at first with some chilly nights possible and some wintry showers for upland parts of Scotland at times.

Updated: 1239 on Sat 29 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 15 Oct 2012 to Monday 29 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly mixed autumnal weather across the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. Rainfall amounts in the south in particular are more likely to be above average than below. There are hints that some northwestern parts of the UK may be drier than normal for late October. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to average, or perhaps a little below at times with some chilly nights possible and some wintry showers for upland parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1237 on Sun 30 Sep 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 16 Oct 2012 to Tuesday 30 Oct 2012:

Indications are that this period of October is likely to see fairly mixed autumnal weather across the UK. There will be some dry and bright periods, interspersed with showers or longer periods of rain. Rainfall amounts in the south in particular are more likely to be above average than below. There are hints that some northwestern parts of the UK may be drier than normal for late October. Temperatures are likely to be generally close to average, or perhaps a little below at times with some chilly nights possible and some wintry showers for upland parts of Scotland.

Updated: 1245 on Mon 1 Oct 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html