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Wilxy Seasoned

Wilxy

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
Posted

Im suprised not much lightning has been detected yet hope il see some soon for the SE as im gunna track it.

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chrisbell-nottheweatherman Accomplished

chrisbell-nottheweatherman

Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
Posted

Thanks Ian for the info earlier. ATM we have quite a sheet of cloud here, but radar shows showers approaching. What is the estimated arrival time for the MCS/plume here (S. Norfolk) tomorrow morning?

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liambailey09 Rookie

liambailey09

Posted
  • Location: Stevenage, Herts
  • Location: Stevenage, Herts
Posted

Looks as though i am slightly too far west to catch any of the activity. Will have to wait and see but i think it will be more of a kent/london/thames estuary/essex thing sad.gif

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chapmanslade Community Regular

chapmanslade

Posted
  • Location: Chapmanslade, Wiltshire + Charente, France
  • Location: Chapmanslade, Wiltshire + Charente, France
Posted

Quick indeed; first bouts of (regular) lightning suddenly now lighting-up the ATDNet system in the SE quadrant of the Brest Peninsula, south of Pontivy....a foretaste for the SE of England, perhaps? We shall see.....

Ian

Can I just say how nice it is to have you posting on NetWeather - it provides us with a significant extra input into our hobby from a genuine professional and is much appreciated

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Once again can I thank Ian Fergusson for his knowledgeable input and resources tonight and wish everyone all the storms they would want! Remember, if it dosen't happen tonight, look to Tuesday!!

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Ian Fergusson Newbie

Ian Fergusson

Posted
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
Posted

My apologies Ian,

I was trying to emphasize the lack of anything thundery, they was certainly convective showers, but what with the moisture, and the heat (with CAPE) both surface based and mixed-level, along with a negative lifted index, what was the missing ingredients, something stopped the trigger from pulling.

Is it because of the pressure? With HP still more or less in-charge with pressure dropping from the South?

Please forgive me

regards

No need to apologise! The 'missing ingredient(s)' remains rather elusive but subject to considerable study..... in essence, not all CB's are thundery! But let's see what happens once the upper forcing starts to get into the act properly, versus the largely diurnal processes this afternoon / evening. Fingers-crossed for you! Cheers, Ian

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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted (edited)

ian i was just reading your weather blog i live in north watford (I say north west london because im inside the M25)

wt part was that fire? I live near garston.

Edited by Mesodiscussion
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Thundery wintry showers Accomplished

Thundery wintry showers

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted

Some intriguing cloud formations in Norwich at the moment but the main shower to the south is moving off to the east, providing just a few spots of rain. A cumulonimbus anvil is visible to the W and SW at present, with the radar still showing the main cells to the south and west.

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

New cell sprung up around Lichfield (N of Birmingham) on the Radar. Light for now.

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tooby Apprentice

tooby

Posted
  • Location: Newark ,notts
  • Location: Newark ,notts
Posted

Echoes looking promising to south west of nottingham and we are now getting a shower that has made me have to fetch the washing in. Hopefully things are starting to kick off again looking at the radar for our area.

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chrisbell-nottheweatherman Accomplished

chrisbell-nottheweatherman

Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
Posted

Once again can I thank Ian Furgesson for his knowledgeable input and resources tonight and wish everyone all the storms they would want! Remember, if it dosen't happen tonight, look to Tuesday!!

Indeed. Any professional input is valuable and appreciated.

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todd1970 Newbie

todd1970

Posted
  • Location: East Kilbride (Glasgow)
  • Location: East Kilbride (Glasgow)
Posted

Am i right in thinking the 'main event' has still to come..lots of thundery looking clouds around here atm..and just noticed some cells firing off in Northern Ireland.

Be amazing to see a night time storm. :)

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tornadomanuk Apprentice

tornadomanuk

Posted
  • Location: Chard, South Somerset
  • Location: Chard, South Somerset
Posted

Thanks Ian F for your great input (have you got another 3am start tomorrow?? lol). Good luck to all those in the 'risk' zone over the next 24hrs.

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Thundery wintry showers Accomplished

Thundery wintry showers

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted

There is clearly some high-level instability developing, since there are some sharp showers sprouting up in the Midlands area despite no solar forcing. Could be an interesting night for some if this becomes more prominent as the trough moves closer.

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chrisbell-nottheweatherman Accomplished

chrisbell-nottheweatherman

Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
Posted

Some intriguing cloud formations in Norwich at the moment but the main shower to the south is moving off to the east, providing just a few spots of rain. A cumulonimbus anvil is visible to the W and SW at present, with the radar still showing the main cells to the south and west.

I'm watching those radar echos and can see the dark clouds to my SW - possibly one and the same?

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Ian Fergusson Newbie

Ian Fergusson

Posted
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
Posted

LATEST LIGHTNING is....

That increasingly vigorous cell tracking NNE, previously mentioned by a correspondent here.... north of Banbury, Oxon. It's delivered lightning a few mins ago overhead the village of Priors Hardwick (Oxon, I assume).

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Noctilucid Newbie

Noctilucid

Posted
  • Location: Romford
  • Location: Romford
Posted (edited)

Once again can I thank Ian Furgesson for his knowledgeable input and resources tonight and wish everyone all the storms they would want! Remember, if it dosen't happen tonight, look to Tuesday!!

Ian

Can I just say how nice it is to have you posting on NetWeather - it provides us with a significant extra input into our hobby from a genuine professional and is much appreciated

Amen to that. :)

Variety of cloud types inidicating unstable mid layers, just about everyone one in the book infact. :p

Edited by jshaw
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Ian Fergusson Newbie

Ian Fergusson

Posted
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
Posted

LATEST LIGHTNING is....

That increasingly vigorous cell tracking NNE, previously mentioned by a correspondent here.... north of Banbury, Oxon. It's delivered lightning a few mins ago overhead the village of Priors Hardwick (Oxon, I assume). Plus second cell now forming just south above Deddington, near Brackley. Northampton in the firing line, perhaps?

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Thundery wintry showers Accomplished

Thundery wintry showers

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted

I'm watching those radar echos and can see the dark clouds to my SW - possibly one and the same?

I think it's very likely- it's usually possible to "see" the weather that's going on towards the SW of East Anglia from here.

On another note, as others have said the inputs of Ian Ferguson are much appreciated here.

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snow raven Seasoned

snow raven

Posted
  • Location: Barnehurst nr Bexleyheath, Kent
  • Location: Barnehurst nr Bexleyheath, Kent
Posted

Once again can I thank Ian Fergusson for his knowledgeable input and resources tonight and wish everyone all the storms they would want! Remember, if it dosen't happen tonight, look to Tuesday!!

Here here!

I have my fingers and toes crossed for some thunder later tonight/early morning, and shall keep dipping in and out this thread for updates on potential/chances good.gif

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

I swear i just heard a rumble?

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Tim B Explorer

Tim B

Posted
  • Location: Darwen, BB3
  • Location: Darwen, BB3
Posted

That tiny red blob has been just east of my postcode zoom for hours now, it must be an anaprop. That developing area of rain to the south must be real though I don't expect much to come of it, should do the gardens some good though.

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Couple of cells (Light at present) developing in Worcestershire now.

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chrisbell-nottheweatherman Accomplished

chrisbell-nottheweatherman

Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
Posted (edited)

I think it's very likely- it's usually possible to "see" the weather that's going on towards the SW of East Anglia from here.

On another note, as others have said the inputs of Ian Ferguson are much appreciated here.

TWS - what's your view re arrival time of the MCS or whatever it is tonight/tomorrow morning? Earlier on, the suggestion was around 6 am.

EDIT: looking at NW radar, I think the cell to my SW is dividing into 2.

Edited by chrisbell0033944
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