Major Hurricane Earl

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

Even with slight decreases in intensity, Earl is going to be large and powerful for a good distance yet. It's all down to the track forecast now.

Motion still towards NNW at 330 degrees.

It's going to be mighty close to Rhode island, and New York isn't what I'd think of as safe yet either. Boston could also take a hammering.

Lots of people should be moving to higher ground further inland 50 miles inland may be wet, but winds should not be more than Gale force rather than Storm or Hurricane force.

But there's a LOT of people involved

[johnholmes]

I have a question?

Understandably almost all on here are really interested in just what 'Earl' does. For the sake of a good many millions in the far east of the states let us hope it defeats the top class forecasters at the Miami Hurricane Centre and turns fairly soon NE.

Anyway to the question.

Both NOAA and UK Met along with a good many amateur hurricane watchers predicted an above normal season. This period now into late October early November is known as the classic hurricane time. Okay I'll now spit my question out at last!

Why have so many tropical storms formed so quickly in the last 5-7 days? What is it in the synoptic pattern that has caused so many factors to seem to come together to allow this? Is it 'normal' in any hurricane season for what might be 3 on the NOAA chart at the same time?

many thanks for your replies.

John

[Typhoon John]

Will interaction with the land pull Earl towards the coast?

A bit like when driving a car if you run through standing water with the passenger side you will be pulled to the left. Does land provide the extra friction which means that Earl will be pulled further West?

[MAF]

1500 update from NHC

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE EARL HEADING FOR THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH

CAROLINA...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF

MASSACHUSETTS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...30.9N 74.8W

ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA

ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/HR

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...932 MB...27.52 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS

FROM WESTPORT EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING

MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT

TO WEST OF WESTPORT...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND.

........................

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST. EARL IS NOW MOVING

TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE

NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON

FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR

THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TONIGHT...AND APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN

NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON

HURRICANE WIND SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED

TODAY...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM

THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230

MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 932 MB...27.52 INCHES.

[Cookie]

I have a question?

Understandably almost all on here are really interested in just what 'Earl' does. For the sake of a good many millions in the far east of the states let us hope it defeats the top class forecasters at the Miami Hurricane Centre and turns fairly soon NE.

Anyway to the question.

Both NOAA and UK Met along with a good many amateur hurricane watchers predicted an above normal season. This period now into late October early November is known as the classic hurricane time. Okay I'll now spit my question out at last!

Why have so many tropical storms formed so quickly in the last 5-7 days? What is it in the synoptic pattern that has caused so many factors to seem to come together to allow this? Is it 'normal' in any hurricane season for what might be 3 on the NOAA chart at the same time?

many thanks for your replies.

John

I will do my best to answer, it really was just a matter of time before things really kicked off, their was a heck of a SAL ( Saharan Air Layer -) in the Atlantic near the start of the season and this has eased off, their was also a lot of Upper level lows that where causing issues and playing havoc with these systems as they where trying to develop, especially with Bonnie and Colin. Condtions improved after a spell of quite weather at the start of August. Also im not to sure if the MJO has changed as well but im still learning with regards to that.

as for a number of storms all forming around the same time I think its pretty normal look at 2008

[Mondy]

EARL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD TODAY. IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...THE

HURRICANE SHOULD BE ENCOUNTERING THE BASE OF THE MID-LATITUDE

WESTERLIES AND EARL SHOULD THEN TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST

AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

http://www.wect.com/global/Category.asp?c=66683

[Cookie]

[Mondy]

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SATATL_FLOAT1/anim8vis.html

Kiss goodbye to the eye, thankfully.

[Cookie]

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SATATL_FLOAT1/anim8vis.html

Kiss goodbye to the eye, thankfully.

yup still going to be problematic,

[AderynCoch]

Starting to show up on the Morehead City radar (near Cape Hatteras). Earl has turned due north bang on cue: now it's time to wait for him to start moving northeastwards as he approaches the Outer Banks. Barring an unexpected left turn, it looks as though North Carolina will be spared the worst of Earl though conditions will still be pretty nasty.

Why have so many tropical storms formed so quickly in the last 5-7 days? What is it in the synoptic pattern that has caused so many factors to seem to come together to allow this? Is it 'normal' in any hurricane season for what might be 3 on the NOAA chart at the same time?

many thanks for your replies.

John

I don't think it's that unusual to have three named storms on the go in early September, even if activity is officially running above average. We're at the peak of Atlantic hurricane season now, when SSTs are at their highest and wind shear is at its lowest, so that tropical waves moving westward from West Africa stand a better chance of developing whilst being guided along the southern edge of the Azores High.

Hope that helps.

Edited September 2, 2010 by AderynCoch

[Somerset Squall]

In regards to John's post, I think I remember reading in Jeff Masters' blog that the russian heatwave somehow supressed hurricane activity? Things did seem to go bang when it ended.

Ah, here it is:

http://www.wundergro...num=1575=

This snippet from the blog here:

"So, what is causing this quiet tropical cyclone season? One possibility is that since Northern Hemisphere land areas have heated up to record temperatures this summer, this has created strong rising motion over the continents. This rising motion must be compensated by strong sinking motion over the adjacent oceans in order to conserve mass. Sinking air causes drying and an increase in stability. Another possibility is that the unusual jet stream configuration that is responsible for the Russia heat wave and record flooding in Pakistan is also bringing dry, stable air to the Northern Hemisphere's tropical cyclone breeding grounds. It is also possible that climate change is causing the reduction in tropical cyclone activity, for a variety of complex reasons. Computer simulations of a future warmer climate generally show a reduction in global number of tropical cyclones (though the strongest storms get stronger), and it is possible we are seeing a preview of that future climate. Or, this year's quietness may simply be natural variability. It will be interesting to see when the Russian heat wave breaks if vertical instability over the Atlantic increases back to normal levels. Current forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models project the Russian heat wave to break late next week."

With the instabilty returning, and the undisturbed hot waters present, things have kicked off.

Other reasons as Cookie said is the reduction in the number of upper level lows therefore less shear, decreasing SAL, and the record breakingly warm sea temperatures must come into play. This all tied in with the ITCZ shifting north is probably the reason why we are seeing a number of tropical storms forming right now.

Interesting to note that the West Pacific season has also seen four named storms in one week after prolonged quietness. Three of which formed close together and underwent Fujiwhara Interaction.

Edited September 2, 2010 by Somerset Squall

[Polar Bear]

Starting to show up on the Morehead City radar (near Cape Hatteras). Earl has turned due north bang on cue: now it's time to wait for him to start moving northeastwards as he approaches the Outer Banks. Barring an unexpected left turn, it looks as though North Carolina will be spared the worst of Earl though conditions will still be pretty nasty.

I don't think it's that unusual to have three named storms on the go in early September, even if activity is officially running above average. We're at the peak of Atlantic hurricane season now, when SSTs are at their highest and wind shear is at its lowest, so that tropical waves moving westward from West Africa stand a better chance of developing whilst being guided along the southern edge of the Azores High.

Hope that helps.

Showing up on sea swell maps and plans and then you can see how it disapates https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ww3_atlantic&dtg=2010090200∏=sgwvhtτ=012&set=SeaStateor rather forecasts to.

[Polar Bear]

its gone very quiet on this thread...is anyone out there?

its gone very quiet on this thread...is anyone out there?

oh well I will chat to myself...

advisory on NHC definately confirmed weakening to a cat 3 now....DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST. EARL IS MOVING

TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE

NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON

FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR

THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TONIGHT...AND APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN

NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT EARL HAS BEGUN TO

GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD

CONTINUE TODAY AND FRIDAY...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A

POWERFUL HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR THE OUTER BANKS.

[AderynCoch]

I'm still here... but I'll be gone shortly. Expect to see me again tomorrow morning when Earl should be moving past North Carolina.

He's back down to Category 3 as per Advisory 33A:

000

WTNT32 KNHC 021745

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

HURRICANE EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010

200 PM EDT THU SEP 02 2010

...EARL EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE OUTER BANKS AS A LARGE AND

POWERFUL HURRICANE TONIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...31.7N 75.2W

ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA

ABOUT 720 MI...1155 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR NOVA

SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH

FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO MEDWAY HARBOUR AND FROM DIGBY TO

FORT LAWRENCE.

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH

FOR NEW BRUNSWICK FROM JUST WEST OF FORT LAWRENCE WESTWARD TO THE

U.S./CANADA BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH

CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE

SOUNDS.

* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING

MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN

DELAWARE.

* NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.

* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW

JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE

CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

* THE EASTERN PORTION OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET

TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.

* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...

INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE.

* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT

JEFFERSON HARBOR.

* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO MEDWAY HARBOUR AND FROM DIGBY TO

FORT LAWRENCE.

* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM JUST WEST OF FORT LAWRENCE WESTWARD TO THE

U.S./CANADA BORDER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED

STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE

MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE

THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL

METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST. EARL IS MOVING

TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE

NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON

FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR

THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TONIGHT...AND APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN

NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT EARL HAS BEGUN TO

GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205

KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD

CONTINUE TODAY AND FRIDAY...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A

POWERFUL HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR THE OUTER BANKS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM

THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230

MILES...370 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE

WAS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

WINDS...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTH

CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN IF

THE CENTER OF EARL REMAINS OFFSHORE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE

EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THE OUTER BANKS BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-

FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO

NEW JERSEY TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS

MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN BOTH HURRICANE WARNING

AREAS AND THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY. ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE TROPICAL

STORM WARNING AREA...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH

AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL

BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED

MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN

NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2

INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER TO THE NORTH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE

MID-ATLANTIC COAST.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BAHAMAS

AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE

SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP

CURRENTS.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

Also notable is that the forecast track has shifted slightly east again. Better news for the Outer Banks.

[Sunny Android]

EARL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD TODAY. IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...THE

HURRICANE SHOULD BE ENCOUNTERING THE BASE OF THE MID-LATITUDE

WESTERLIES AND EARL SHOULD THEN TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST

AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

http://www.wect.com/...ory.asp?c=66683

This camera is already bouncing around in the wind

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

This camera is already bouncing around in the wind

whoops, yes it is a bit isn't it....

Do we know roughly how far away from the eye it is?

[Iceberg]

Earl is definately weakening, but I think this is really expected given that it's going closer to land, which is reducing and affecting inflow, outflow etc.

However it's winds away from the centre arn't really going down, only the high winds in the eye wall, however even saying that a CAT 2 or CAT 3 eyewall is still incredibly damaging.

the next 12 hrs is critical as we watch the eye from Doppler, sat however and see whether it varying even by a 10-20 miles off the NHC course, which only keeps the eye offshore by around 30 miles, every wobble is critical now.

[Sunny Android]

whoops, yes it is a bit isn't it....

Do we know roughly how far away from the eye it is?

About 200 miles, It's at Wilmington, North Carolina

Edited September 2, 2010 by Sunny Android

[Iceberg]

We can watch the eye approach really well from the latest doppler at Moorhead.

If your looking on the sat images, then if the eye is east of 75W then that's good, west of 75W then that's very bad, if it stays on the 75W line then it's bang on track.

Even a movement of .1 either way is important.

Edited September 2, 2010 by Iceberg

[Polar Bear]

Earl is definately weakening, but I think this is really expected given that it's going closer to land, which is reducing and affecting inflow, outflow etc.

However it's winds away from the centre arn't really going down, only the high winds in the eye wall, however even saying that a CAT 2 or CAT 3 eyewall is still incredibly damaging.

the next 12 hrs is critical as we watch the eye from Doppler, sat however and see whether it varying even by a 10-20 miles off the NHC course, which only keeps the eye offshore by around 30 miles, every wobble is critical now.

ok fair enough..makes sense. So it is case now that it is more likely a cat 2 or 3. Seems to be obeyimg all forecasts so far...

[Gray-Wolf]

Is it me or is the NHC 'Floater loop' showing it running west of the next fcst point?

[Paranoid]

Seems to be running ever so slightly to the west of 75W.

Also is it me or is the eye re-emerging?

Edited September 2, 2010 by Paranoid

[Polar Bear]

Seems to be running ever so slightly to the west of 75W.

Also is it me or is the eye re-emerging?

Hello

in response to what you were asking on tracking I couldnt find the fcst tracks only these and am not sure which z run to use but having stared at it for ages and the floater with refs it seemed to be ever so slightly west but a little south too? I am probably wrong and looking at the wrong things, but wasso intrigued wanted to have a look.. please feel free to tell me I am way off mark and should just read posts!

As to the eye...hmm yep I have zoomed in as much as I can and well I would tend to maybe thing it lloks that way.See what the next loop shows .....might make things clearer

http://www.ssd.noaa....lt/t2/vis-l.jpg

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 74.8W AT 02/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB

EYE DIAMETER 25 NM

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.

64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.

50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.

34 KT.......200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.

12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 320NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 74.8W AT 02/1500Z

AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 74.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.5N 75.0W

MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.

50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.

34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N 73.5W

MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.

50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.

34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N 70.8W

MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.

50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.

34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 44.0N 67.0W

MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.

34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 53.5N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 100NW.

Edited September 2, 2010 by Polar Bear

[mrpsb]

Could just be another wobble or my eyes being crooked but I'm sure it's starting to nudge a little east now on the loop.

Edited September 2, 2010 by mrpsb

[dunkster]

No idea where to post this so sorry if not appropriate, but some of you may/may not find this of interest;

Radarmatic

http://radarmatic.tumblr.com/