Major Hurricane Earl

[Polar Bear]

Could just be another wobble or my eyes being crooked but I'm sure it's starting to nudge a little east now on the loop.

Edit: it's just wobble

no i was thinking that so we are both either both got wobbles and crooked eyes.....

[Cookie]

[Polar Bear]

No idea where to post this so sorry if not appropriate, but some of you may/may not find this of interest;

Radarmatic

http://radarmatic.tumblr.com/

cheersies alas I cant use it as "Radarmatic requires HTML 5, which Internet Explorer doesn’t support " boo hoo.

[Cookie]

No idea where to post this so sorry if not appropriate, but some of you may/may not find this of interest;

Radarmatic

http://radarmatic.tumblr.com/

nice one mate

[dunkster]

nice one mate

No worries. It was a 'saw this and thought of you' kind of thing. If anyone whos a bit more regular knows a better place to post it if it would be of help then feel free.

[Cookie]

No worries. It was a 'saw this and thought of you' kind of thing. If anyone whos a bit more regular knows a better place to post it if it would be of help then feel free.

if you or anyone else has some links I have a place for them here, so if u want to add yours

[dunkster]

if you or anyone else has some links I have a place for them here, so if u want to add yours

http://forum.netweat...urricane-links/

Ah, thats what I was looking for, thanks.

[Cookie]

cool webcam

http://www.wect.com/global/Category.asp?c=66683

[NL]

Jason Foster is streaming live on Chaser TV.com from a beach somewhere in NC he also has audio so all can hear the wind blow..!! (and updates from the NWS.)

http://www.chasertv....ason-foster.php

Edited September 2, 2010 by NL

[Mondy]

its gone very quiet on this thread...is anyone out there?

Still here. Although like most others with a passing interest, more than likely we're reading/watching flhurricane.com or easternwx bulletin board or the many more sites dedicated to Earl.

'NW is left behind in these situations..

Edited September 2, 2010 by Mondy

[Marcus_surfer]

Nice little cam here, about to go dark. looks windy on the North Carolina coast: http://www.wect.com/global/Category.asp?c=66683

[Iceberg]

Well Earl is in a pretty sorry state now, I am not sure I completely agree with the drop to 90kts, As per the vortex message below confirmed winds where upto 118 straight after they released this and I think that 100kts was probably more realistic.

The big eye is a problem as well Circular at 55nm and cloudy, with only the NE eye wall with any strong sustained winds.

So it looks like the timing of the ERC and land interaction has really taken the puff away.

Earl is still on the track of the NHC (well done for them for this as it was difficult).

However any real damage to the east coast must now be minimial.

DATA FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE THIS EVENING SHOW THAT EARL HAS

CONTINUED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...AS THE PRESSURE HAS RISEN TO 951 MB.

THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WIND WAS 111 KT...HOWEVER THE HIGHEST

SURFACE WIND MEASURED RECENTLY BY THE SFMR WAS 84 KT...AND DROPSONDE

DATA ARE CONSISTENT WITH SURFACE WINDS IN THE 80 TO 90 KT RANGE.

BASED ON A BLEND OF THESE DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 90

KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE AIRCRAFT DATA ALONG WITH MICROWAVE

IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE OLD INNER EYEWALL HAS DISSIPATED...AND A

LARGER 50 N MI WIDE EYE IS NOW REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT AND VISIBLE

IN RADAR IMAGERY FROM MOREHEAD CITY.

URNT12 KNHC 030333

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL072010

A. 03/03:02:50Z

B. 33 deg 51 min N

074 deg 31 min W

C. 700 mb 2692 m

D. 73 kt

E. 124 deg 29 nm

F. 206 deg 102 kt

G. 126 deg 39 nm

H. 953 mb

I. 12 C / 3048 m

J. 17 C / 3047 m

K. 14 C / NA

L. OPEN WEST

M. C55

N. 12345 / 07

O. 0.02 / 1 nm

P. AF301 1507A EARL OB 19

MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 118 KT NE QUAD 03:13:40Z

[MAF]

this mornings report from NHC

...CENTER OF EARL NOW EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS...TROPICAL

STORM CONDITIONS AFFECTING THE OUTER BANKS...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...34.6N 74.3W

ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA

ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST. EARL IS MOVING

TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN

FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ARE EXPECTED IN THE

NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL

WILL PASS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS DURING THE NEXT FEW

HOURS...AND WILL APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.

DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE

THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH

HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-

SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING

THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED REMAIN A LARGE

HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR THE OUTER BANKS AND APPROACHES

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM

THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO

205 MILES...335 KM. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT HATTERAS

NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED SIX-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 56 MPH...

90 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 66 MPH...107 KM/HR.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE

HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

[AderynCoch]

North Carolina has certainly dodged a bullet here: it now looks as though nowhere along the Outer Banks will even receive hurricane-force winds (even Hatteras has only reported gusts up to 66mph). A slight change in the track and Earl could have been another Hugo.

All eyes on New England/New Brunswick/Nova Scotia now. Earl has weakened below Category 3 earlier than forecast, but a lot of his potency from now on will depend on increasing forward speed.

[AderynCoch]

Very little change on the 5am EDT update, save for the southernmost warnings being discontinued:

000

WTNT32 KNHC 030855

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 36

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010

500 AM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010

...CENTER OF EARL PASSES EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...35.3N 74.0W

ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA

ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

[BornFromTheVoid]

From newscientist.com

Stunning image of Hurricane Earl.

[Iceberg]

I'll post in here but only because I can't be bothered to post in each thread.

I am nicknaming today "storm death day". Earl is really going down the pan(thankfully), Gaston died and Fiona looks to die today.

Maybe time to take a breather before things kick off again in a few days time.

[Polar Bear]

I'll post in here but only because I can't be bothered to post in each thread.

I am nicknaming today "storm death day". Earl is really going down the pan(thankfully), Gaston died and Fiona looks to die today.

Maybe time to take a breather before things kick off again in a few days time.

Just looks a little wet in the outbanks....a typical British Summer ! Wave height out 2 miles is I think somewhere recorded at 14ft...cant remember which site as they all took soooo long to load.

http://www.outerbankswebcams.com/

and this taken at their time 7am at the field research facility in Duck. NC.

Edited September 3, 2010 by Polar Bear

[AderynCoch]

Down to Category 1. One last throw of the dice for Earl now.

[knocker]

Synoptic chart and track 031200z. The other is tropical storm Fiona.

Edited September 3, 2010 by weather ship

[Cookie]

I'll post in here but only because I can't be bothered to post in each thread.

I am nicknaming today "storm death day". Earl is really going down the pan(thankfully), Gaston died and Fiona looks to die today.

Maybe time to take a breather before things kick off again in a few days time.

I wouldn't right either of them off yet.

[Cookie]

[butler_son]

All this hurricane hunting is really put into sharp perspective when you're out here. I stayed with my friend's cousin in Long Beach NY just over a week ago. It's difficult to think that they have a tropical storm warning out, and their basement apartment that they put us up in could easily be flooded as they are less than 100 yards from the coast. Currently I'm with that person's aunt and she's been phoning down to them. Suddenly it all seems different. Suddenly, this picture I took when there doesn't seem so cool to have taken a picture of anymore: http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?pid=5465505&l=a38f6e8467&id=591331836

On Monday, I was in Boston MA. It seems weird to me that it could be battered by this storm. Much as I have always loved following hurricanes, it just seems a little different now. Fortunately it'll only be the really outer bands of rain that I feel tomorrow in Montreal QC, if at all. I just hope everyone can have their thoughts with the friendly folks who I met in Long Beach last week in the hope that this system does not affect them.

[summer blizzard]

Earl has made landfall as a strong Tropical Storm and is now undergoing extra-tropical transition.

[Typhoon John]

NYC a possibility?

The idea of a hurricane there really interests me from a weather point of view although clearly it would cause huge damage, which is not good.

You'll think I'm blowing my own trumpet here but a good call I think, setup looked right.

Closest and strongest since Gaston (2004) i think.

Interesting coincidence that Gaston (2010) is following the storm.