Meto Uk Further Outlook

[london-snow]

UK Outlook for Friday 30 Nov 2012 to Sunday 9 Dec 2012:

A mixture of sunshine and wintry showers at first. The showers mostly affecting eastern areas, with the west tending to see the best of the drier conditions. The heaviest showers will be towards the northeast, falling as snow over higher ground. Windy at times, with the risk of gales in exposure. It will be rather cold with a risk of overnight frost and icy patches. Becoming cold as we continue into December, with widespread overnight frosts. Further wintry showers, especially in the north and east, where accumulations over high ground are likely with snow perhaps falling to low levels. Also the potential for some more widespread outbreaks of rain, sleet and hill snow, especially towards the southwest.

Updated: 1156 on Sun 25 Nov 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Sounds like a battleground type of situation setting up towards the end of their forecast. In that situation there is plenty a chance for massive snow events to take place of which the eastern side of the country will be most the favored.

[Summer Sun]

Indeed Gavin, though West is best for rain!

It is as the shocking scenes of the past week have shown

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

Sounds like a battleground type of situation setting up towards the end of their forecast. In that situation there is plenty a chance for massive snow events to take place of which the eastern side of the country will be most the favored.

That sounds like a slider situation to me with the LP being pushed under the block

BFTP

Edited November 25, 2012 by BLAST FROM THE PAST

[UV-RAY]

That sounds like a slider situation to me with the LP being pushed under the block

BFTP

Agreed, could be interesting for Southern Counties come the first week of December. Also NE areas will do well from this set up come next weekend.

[Ian Brown]

Sounds like a battleground type of situation setting up towards the end of their forecast. In that situation there is plenty a chance for massive snow events to take place of which the eastern side of the country will be most the favored.

Not necessarily because in these set-ups the fronts don't always make it to the 'East'.

Clearly the METO see the potential for lowering of heights to the SW as some sort of Northern block is in place.

[georgiedre]

Hopefully these lows sliding under the hp will mean area such as mine getting some falls of snow... I.e wales ,n ireland and some parts of sw england.. hopefully everyone will get some of the whitestuff.

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Dec 2012 to Monday 10 Dec 2012:

Wintry showers are expected to affect some eastern areas on Saturday with snow on hills, possibly to low levels in the north. Elsewhere, largely dry and fine, but cold with the risk of frost, icy patches and overnight freezing fog. By Sunday, rain may spread into the far west, preceded by snow, mainly over higher ground. There is a lot of uncertainty for the remainder of the period but it is likely that northern and eastern areas remain cold with wintry showers for some. Elsewhere, it will probably become milder, at least for a time, but also more unsettled, with rain and hill snow accompanied by stronger winds. Later in the period, colder but drier conditions may become re-established across the UK, with frost and icy patches for many.

Updated: 1107 on Mon 26 Nov 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[shedhead]

An understandably rather wooly update there, with only a heatwave seemingly missing, but given the huge amount of uncertainty as close as T+120hrs it looks a sensible line to take.

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Sunday 2 Dec 2012 to Tuesday 11 Dec 2012:

Through Sunday, wintry showers are likely to affect some eastern parts but largely dry and sunny elsewhere. Later on Sunday and into Monday, rain may spread into western areas, preceded by some sleet or snow, mainly over higher ground. Rather cold with a frost and ice risk in many areas. There is greater uncertainty in the remainder of the period but it is likely northern and eastern areas remain cold with further wintry showers at times. Elsewhere, becoming milder for a time but also more unsettled and windy with heavy rain in places. Towards the end of the period, it is most likely that unsettled and cold conditions become established across Britain with snow possible, particularly over northern hills, although milder spells are possible in the south and west.

Updated: 1114 on Tue 27 Nov 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Monday 3 Dec 2012 to Wednesday 12 Dec 2012:

The weather looks likely to be rather unsettled and cold during the first half of December. A band of rain will move east across the UK on Monday, and this may be heavy in places. There is a chance of snow as this rain runs into cold air lying across the British Isles, with this most likely over high ground. After this, the weather will probably stay unsettled with further showers or longer spells of rain, mainly in the west and northwest, but also affecting central and eastern parts at times. Some snow is possible, particularly over northern hills. It will be windy at times with a chance of gales. Temperatures will be rather cold, although some milder spells are possible in the south and west.

Updated: 1125 on Wed 28 Nov 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[UV-RAY]

UK Outlook for Monday 3 Dec 2012 to Wednesday 12 Dec 2012:

The weather looks likely to be rather unsettled and cold during the first half of December. A band of rain will move east across the UK on Monday, and this may be heavy in places. There is a chance of snow as this rain runs into cold air lying across the British Isles, with this most likely over high ground. After this, the weather will probably stay unsettled with further showers or longer spells of rain, mainly in the west and northwest, but also affecting central and eastern parts at times. Some snow is possible, particularly over northern hills. It will be windy at times with a chance of gales. Temperatures will be rather cold, although some milder spells are possible in the south and west.

Updated: 1125 on Wed 28 Nov 2012

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

So all in all rather average December weather.

[carinthian]

I think the wording of this latest forecast for next week is open to change. Note the phrases " chance of snow "& " snow is possible". Always difficult to forecast against a developing cold block near to the British Isles. Changes in the forecast are probable with-in the time scale of the next 72 hours. There is no doubt that a frontal trough will try to make headway later in the weekend with a fall of pressure again .. The predicted angle of the jet will make the projected progress of the front difficult to calculate post 72 hours.

C

[Weathizard]

That update did make me giggle, Snow, rain, gales, cold, mild all mentioned in one paragraph? Think they have about as much idea as we do!

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 4 Dec 2012 to Thursday 13 Dec 2012:

Low pressure will probably remain across or close to the British Isles through much of the forecast period. As a result, the weather looks likely to stay rather unsettled and cold during the first half of December. Showers or longer spells of rain will affect many areas with a risk of some heavy rain in places. Snow is probable over high ground, especially in the north, and it may fall to lower levels at times. It will be windy at times with a chance of gales in exposed western and southwestern areas. As the wind will mainly be from the north or northwest, temperatures will be generally rather cold, with some frosty nights likely, although there may be some milder weather in the south for a time.

Updated: 1142 on Thu 29 Nov 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 5 Dec 2012 to Friday 14 Dec 2012:

The period should start breezy and cold, with widespread night-time frost, some ice and freezing fog. Sunshine and wintry showers are likely in the north and east where some snow is likely. Southern, central and western parts should be drier, although some rain, sleet and hill snow is possible for a time. The middle weekend will probably see winds ease in a drier but nevertheless cold interlude, with wintry showers dying out and an increased risk of freezing fog patches. Conditions becoming very uncertain to end the period, with colder-than-average weather likely to prevail, with frost and freezing fog more prevalent. Some wintry precipitation is likely, more so in the north and east, while the south and west are most likely to see rainfall, strong winds and milder interludes.

Updated: 1327 on Fri 30 Nov 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Thursday 6 Dec 2012 to Saturday 15 Dec 2012:

The period should start cold, with widespread night-time frost, some ice and freezing fog. Sunshine and wintry showers are likely in the north and east where some snow is likely. Southern, central and western parts should be drier, although rain, sleet and hill snow is possible for a time. The middle weekend will probably start rather cold and unsettled with some showers, these showers wintry on hills and later to lower-levels, initially affecting the northwest and later the east and northeast. There is a trend towards the end of the period for conditions to become drier for the majority of the UK, with wintry showers probably becoming mainly confined to the north and east, while overnight frost and fog will become more prevalent generally.

Updated: 1131 on Sat 1 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Methuselah]

What a wonderfully 'late '60s' forecast that is...

[UV-RAY]

A right old wintry mix there RP, lots of interesting model watching in the short, medium and long term.

[Polar Maritime]

What a great start to Winter !

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Friday 7 Dec 2012 to Sunday 16 Dec 2012:

Rain clearing the south on on Friday, then clearer, showery conditions following. The showers mainly in the east, wintry over high ground. By Saturday, further rain and hill snow is likely to spread into the north, whilst the south remains mostly dry. Windy, with a risk of gales in the east on Friday, and north Saturday. Temperatures near or a little below average, with overnight frost still likely. Thereafter, most likely rather cold, unsettled conditions with showers, mainly in the north and west at first, then the east and northeast later. The showers wintry at times. Overnight frost and freezing fog becoming more widespread. Towards the end of the period, there is the potential for some milder interludes with rain towards the south and west, but most areas remaining cold.

Updated: 1013 on Sun 2 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Saturday 8 Dec 2012 to Monday 17 Dec 2012:

Rain and hill snow arriving in the north on Saturday, whilst the south remains mostly dry, though with the chance of a few showers in the far east. The rain and sleet will continue southwards, eventually clearing the UK later on Sunday. Windy, with a risk of gales in the north. Temperatures near or a little below average on Saturday, colder again on Sunday, with overnight frost likely. Thereafter, most likely rather cold, unsettled conditions with showers, mainly in the north and west at first, then the east and northeast later. The showers wintry at times. Overnight frost and freezing fog becoming more widespread. Towards the end of the period, there is the potential for some milder interludes with rain towards the south and west, but most areas remaining cold.

Updated: 1144 on Mon 3 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[Weathizard]

Was hoping for a better update but I suppose they are being cautious, strange though because Ian Ferguson says from 6-15 days they favour an easterly becoming established with a potent Scandi block, hmmmm

[Stuart]

UK Outlook for Sunday 9 Dec 2012 to Tuesday 18 Dec 2012:

Most areas fine and dry after a cold and frosty start on Sunday. However, milder, cloudier conditions with outbreaks of rain and drizzle are expected to gradually develop over northern and western extremes on Sunday and then spread into some other parts of the UK on Monday. During the rest of next week, some western and southwestern parts can expect further spells of rather cloudy conditions with some rain at times. Elsewhere many parts drier but tending to turn colder with an increasing risk of wintry showers developing over some eastern extremes from mid-week. Moving on into the following week, colder than average conditions with frosty nights are expected over most regions, though some milder interludes with rain likely towards the south and west.

Updated: 1204 on Tue 4 Dec 2012

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

[johnholmes]

well that should throw the model thread into deep despair, not that some are that far off already.

Edited December 4, 2012 by johnholmes

[london-snow]

Doe's not fill me with much confidence i must admit. No mention of what wind direction we may be facing although them mentioning wintry showers to the east suggests maybe a easterly but weak in nature if it dont affect south eastern england.