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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Could well be some thundery showers today as the cooler, moist air from the West meets the warmer drier air in the East.

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Maybe as cooler air move in to the Southeast

Yep, looks like anything today will be limited to Southern England/South East England.

We'll have to wait unfortunately, Stu. :(

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Not looking great indeed

Midlands has a slim chance in the form of some isolated showers running in behind the front later this afternoon. MetO Invent suggests these could merge into something heavier as the run across East Midlands into East Anglia. It is the slimmest of chances.

South of this area I would say chances are virtually zero.

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Noctilucid Newbie

Noctilucid

Posted
  • Location: Romford
  • Location: Romford
Posted (edited)

Morning (just about):)

Certainly some instabillity in some layers of the atmosphere today across the London area, judging by the extensive fields of AltoCu overhead, pretty limited potential though.

Edited by Noctilucid
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knocker Maestro

knocker

Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
Posted

Morning (just about):)

Certainly some instabillity in some layers of the atmosphere today across the London area, judging by the extensive fields of AltoCu overhead, pretty limited potential though.

I take you are talking about Ac Castellanus?

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

pretty limited potential though.

zsfclclmask.curr.1500lst.d2.png

sfcdewpt.curr.1500lst.d2.png

gfs_kili_eur15.png

gfs_lapse2_eur15.png

post-6667-0-54268100-1302520913.jpg

ukstormrisk.png

:good:

post-6667-0-54268100-1302520913_thumb.jp

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Just been outside for a swift ciggie and it does FEEL like there is potential for an isolated downpour or storm. Humidity/dew point feels up and with decent solar heating, it does feel like something could develop.

However, the limited sky I have here in C London does indicate relatively high CIN - the only clouds are at high level and even these are at a premium (to the North of London)

In respect of the charts, I am encouraged by the intrusion of cold air aloft later on, steepening lapse rates. The MetO looking at showery rain/showers, possible heavy bursts.

As with the SW/W last week, there is every chance something could happen...my feeling is that conditions are conducive, but my head is saying that I am being foolishly hopeful and am simply craving some convective action!! :cray:

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weatherobsuk Veteran

weatherobsuk

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

Getting a bit blustery on the backedge of the CF precipitation. May have heard a rumble a few mins ago but it could have been something being knocked over by the wind. Clouds heavy with it getting significantly darker as the front passed over, brightening up to the west now.

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Noctilucid Newbie

Noctilucid

Posted
  • Location: Romford
  • Location: Romford
Posted (edited)

I take you are talking about Ac Castellanus?

Was a bit too flat to call it AcCas really. :)

Its essentially been replaced with very flat cumulus now, not looking very unstable at all.

Edited by Noctilucid
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Was a bit too flat to call it AcCas really. :)

Its essentially been replaced with very flat cumulus now, not looking very unstable at all.

i had seen a band of altocumulus floccus late morning...

post-11361-0-51267900-1302530501_thumb.p

-

::shok: thats USA

post-11361-0-16546200-1302530571_thumb.p

- and ours.......

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

19.1 DgC in Gravesend currently.

Rdtlmett.gif

Rdtlmetd.gif

Still more of a long-shot than a Grand National entry!

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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted (edited)

Clouds have started building around here wouldn't be surprised if there was some odd drips of rain about as for thunder? hmmm there could be some cape up around 30 later but yeah we will have to wait and see.

Edited by Mesoscale
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

The change of airmass warm to coooool is moving in quite fast i think.. and cloudy here now ,was clear and sunny under an hr ago.

it is likely to be a fast formation of anything to, could be wrong , just a thought though.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

The change of airmass warm to coooool is moving in quite fast i think.. and cloudy here now ,was clear and sunny under an hr ago.

it is likely to be a fast formation of anything to, could be wrong , just a thought though.

Indeed, all of a sudden skies gone cloudy and quite dark over London. It was clear and sunny not less than half an hour ago!

Cloud cover is generally flat though I can see some cloud which looks slightly more convective (i.e bit more vertical)

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

something is breaking out far northwest of south east england, looking out of window i see lines of sharp bubblies...! a sign for sure,

thimk we could just kick of an odd downpour maybe a few rumbles, not sure about a full storm cell though. we shall hope and see.:drinks: off now good luck thunder lovers!!

i need a storm..

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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knocker Maestro

knocker

Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
Posted

Storms today seem to have been confined to Turkey, mainly associated with the front that moved SE across the country. You can see on the midday chart, moving west to east, recent thunderstorms along the front at Incirlik airbase, Gaziantep and Sanliurfa.

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NL Aficionado

NL

Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Posted

Nice looking cell just developing 20 mile NW of Newcastle, should just miss my location (South Shields) by 5 mile or so, at least I'll get a good look at my first decent Cb since the thunder-snow in December..!!

post-5386-0-83749000-1302533890.txt

NW 5min radar

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

haha so excited..... im i kent!

Don't get too carried away just yet! :D

sounding3.curr.1600lst.d2.png

sounding5.curr.1600lst.d2.png

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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted

some pretty dark clouds around right now.

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NL Aficionado

NL

Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Posted

More cells now developing and coming my direction, could I have my first thunderstorm of 2011..!! I can see the cells from my back garden and have some mean looking bases, almost looking like a small wall cloud..!! I'll get some shots up later.

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

That's not a bad sign for us, especially with the intrusion of colder air aloft...should help our case providing the cap can be eroded.

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Hughsey Newbie

Hughsey

Posted
  • Location: South Peterborough
  • Location: South Peterborough
Posted

wouldnt get too excited just yet, but looking better than a few hours ago. its gone very cloudy here, any chance of a thunderstorm in my area?

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