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Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 26th June 2012>

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Static Prevails Apprentice

Static Prevails

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire
Posted

I finished my last exam on Monday; what better way is there to celebrate than some nasty storms?

Well, I'm sure for 'normal' people there are better ways, but for me, and others on this website... tease.gif

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Bishop Brennan Seasoned

Bishop Brennan

Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL
Posted

Dewpoints are continuing to rise everywhere. Now 17.8 according to our local weather station, and still rising. It feels incredibly sticky out there right now.

In fact, continuing our Blackadder theme from earlier today: this is the stickiest situation since Sticky the stick insect got stuck on a sticky stick! biggrin.png

Bish

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Don`t usually get `em,but feel a "stormy" headache coming on! Really muggy and close feeling here in north Kent atm.

Lets hope we`re all not disappointed wherever we are tonight. smile.png

Was just popping on to say that...humidity feels as if it's really driven up in the past hour. It's been cloudy all day however so anything homegrown today is out of the question IMO, but for a random CZ or trough magically appearing.

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anything-but Enthusiast

anything-but

Posted
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms,Hot `n` sunny!
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
Posted (edited)

Was just popping on to say that...

Funny that,considering we`re just a few miles apart!

Edited by anything-but
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Andy Bown Accomplished

Andy Bown

Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
Posted

Got a very very light shower where I am, probably from some elevated convection... not much but my window is getting wet. Mid level-convection is starting over the London area I believe.

Not meaning to sound pedantic, but the rain in the London area started life to the SW of Devon/Cornwall early this morning and has moved gradually E/NE

through the day so isn't anything to do with mid level convection. If anything it's a fairly weak upper trough / warm front.

Some much heavier rain showing up now over the SW approaches.

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

I Got to say, my local forecaster and the Meto aren't at all confident about any thundery activity in my region. Again, Ian has tweets suggesting activity will be further north, and PPN thinning in these parts.

We will wait and see, but I sure do hope this is one of those rare occasions when Ian F is wrong!

Meto and NMM couldn't be further apart!

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Was just popping on to say that...humidity feels as if it's really driven up in the past hour.

Cooler on the coast, but increasing inland:

Rdtlmetd.gif

post-6667-0-16307300-1340809862_thumb.jp

http://www.netweathe...rrent;type=maxd

post-6667-0-10633100-1340809989_thumb.jp

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Cooler on the coast, but increasing inland:

Rdtlmetd.gif

post-6667-0-16307300-1340809862_thumb.jp

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=current;type=maxd

Where's the Western half of the UK?

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Where's the Western half of the UK?

Here!!! (Its not a full UK Map and I have no equivalent at that scale!!)

Reurmetd.gif

http://www.skystef.be/obs-temperatures.htm

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NUT Accomplished

NUT

Posted
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
Posted

Does anybody know what actually may happen tomorrow? Is it going to be 2 rain bands combining for us up here (band of rain merging with thunderstorms) or just other thundery showers brewing?

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Here!!! (Its not a full UK Map and I have no equivalent at that scale!!)

Reurmetd.gif

http://www.skystef.be/obs-temperatures.htm

Thankyou's! Dewpoints look high country wide anyway

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Robbie Garrett Seasoned

Robbie Garrett

Posted
  • Location: London, UK
  • Weather Preferences: MCC/MCS Thunderstorms
  • Location: London, UK
Posted

Not meaning to sound pedantic, but the rain in the London area started life to the SW of Devon/Cornwall early this morning and has moved gradually E/NE

through the day so isn't anything to do with mid level convection. If anything it's a fairly weak upper trough / warm front.

Some much heavier rain showing up now over the SW approaches.

No that's fine, I rather stand corrected than anything alone. It's rather horrible out there. I would have preferred a few days of heat then this to cool things down, but I guess it doesn't always happen like that.

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Weather station saying 18.6 Dewpoint here! Hopefully we will get some thunder tomorrow :D How is it looking for the SW?

NMM looks very good for us.

Estofex forecast is good

Meto and Beeb forecast is crap for us!

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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

Hahaha I say that all the time up here but still do. I think the excitement of the "possibility" makes it all the more enjoyable

I agree with that. It's a bit like ' it's better to travel hopefully than to arrive'. Or something like that. :D

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maxemoo Apprentice

maxemoo

Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, stormy summers and snowy winters please.
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
Posted

I finished my last exam on Monday; what better way is there to celebrate than some nasty storms?

Well, I'm sure for 'normal' people there are better ways, but for me, and others on this website... tease.gif

Normal is boring though!!!!!!

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syed2878 Rising Star

syed2878

Posted
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
  • Weather Preferences: WINTERS WITH HEAVY DISRUPTIVE SNOWFALL AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS.
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
Posted

Hey guys 1thing i don't understand is the met forecast they don't mension any thunderstorms for the west midlands all they forecast heavy and possibley thundery rain for the higher ground and for staf's for the morning. So do they know something we don't?

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Marcus_surfer Rising Star

Marcus_surfer

Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
Posted

Looks good for southern Ireland!

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I Cumbria Marra I Seasoned

I Cumbria Marra I

Posted
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/snow winter, Warm/hot summer, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
Posted

its only about 13c here lol

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DeepSnow Community Regular

DeepSnow

Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
Posted

Looks good for southern Ireland!

Do you think we will see much tonight/tomorrow?

Cloud is thinning here and the temperature has risen to 21.1C with a dew point of 18C, not that its really going to do anything now! Seems like quite a lot in South Wales and Southern England are at risk of seeing something tonight? :)

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Marcus_surfer Rising Star

Marcus_surfer

Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
Posted

Do you think we will see much tonight/tomorrow?

Cloud is thinning here and the temperature has risen to 21.1C with a dew point of 18C, not that its really going to do anything now! Seems like quite a lot in South Wales and Southern England are at risk of seeing something tonight? :)

It looks good at the moment plenty Of activity taking shape down south and dew points looking good, might just see heavy rain but I hope we see something thundery!

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Just a small diversion (well not off topic!) I've animated the GFS CAPE charts to show some sort of progression through the next few hours:

5ecb19a24e56396040f8367490f61724.gif

In simple graphics, GFS wants us to have this:

fadaf5a75bc5822228a6ff376128bdd2.gif

It's the hours/areas in between the main 6 hours breaks that I'd like to see!

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