South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - August 19th 2012>

[john pike]

something to watch

look at that atlantic storm

looks pretty potent

to go with this

that would force that low pressure a long way south

and the jet looks to be diving south also

needs a watch

also look at the top chart

see the 528 dam line showing up north

[john pike]

also

if i were predicting for september i would be saying

some very stormy outbreaks throughout the month

wont be cold though

[john pike]

What's up dudes?!

Rain at the weekend? Boooo! I've got the next four days off, so it was bound to happen

so its your fault the weekend looks bad

[john pike]

I am available for throwing eggs and flour at all weekend if it'll make you feel better

ooooooooooo

sounds kinky

im in

what time

[john pike]

http://www.weatherbellmodels.com/weather/atcf/AL10_current.png

some interesting weather for early september

and some very confused weather forecasters

[john pike]

messy

lets see what the charts show tomorrow

gotta work tomorrow

spoilt my fun now quantum

and i just got prepared

[Biggin]

I am available for throwing eggs and flour at all weekend if it'll make you feel better

Form an orderly queue people

[Keraunic]

YAWN and stretch :o Mornin each. Chilly in Ippy right now. According to email forecast Norwich may get a T Storm tonight. YAY! Bring it on. âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡ Have a good Friday all.

[Coast]

Looks like the action starts today for us!

[Coast]

You too QS!

[chilly milly]

YAWN and stretch Mornin each. Chilly in Ippy right now. According to email forecast Norwich may get a T Storm tonight. YAY! Bring it on. âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡ Have a good Friday all.

No, Chilly is at home right now. I will however be in Coventry later.

It is dry mild and dull here at the moment. Have a good day y'all.

[Steve C]

Morning all. A day that has the feeling of rain later about it...

Quite good looking CAPE / LI charts for the north of our region tomorrow.

From the Hi Res Model for midday tomorrow.

[Steve C]

Just seen Coast's post and also looked at charts for this evening, which indicate a storm risk even then, with the passage of the front.

To be honest though, I'd much rather have a hot and thundery type of bank holiday weather than we're gonna get...

[Norfolk Sheep]

Morning lovely people The weekend has grim written all over it but I'm sure we'll all find something constructive to do With any luck I can get all the grass cut today. East is best for dry weather hehe!

[Guest archiesmummy]

Morning everyone!

Grey miserable and bit of a chill in the air....is there a bank holiday around?!

I am going to make the most of the autumnal feel to the weather and not let it get me down!

Hope you all have fun too!

[Keraunic]

Just seen Coast's post and also looked at charts for this evening, which indicate a storm risk even then, with the passage of the front.

To be honest though, I'd much rather have a hot and thundery type of bank holiday weather than we're gonna get...

It looks like Norwich may get some action this evening or early hours tomorrow morning. Gosh I do hope so. A night time storm would be brilliant and I'm back home this eve. âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡

[Snowangel-MK]

Lovely morning here - unfortunately I'm working flat out today or I would be out enjoying some fresh air before the rain arrives !

Hope you all have a lovely Bank Holiday weekend anyway - make your own sunshine x

[Norfolk Sheep]

It looks like Norwich may get some action this evening or early hours tomorrow morning. Gosh I do hope so. A night time storm would be brilliant and I'm back home this eve. âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡âš¡

Now that would be sweet Bet it's only a few distant flashes lighting up the clouds though Looks like I'll be booking a couple of places for Arizona next year!

[MrsB28]

Any chance of a storm in Thurrock today or over the weekend?

[Steve C]

Any chance of a storm in Thurrock today or over the weekend?

I'd say a low chance today and a very reasonable chance tomorrow. Here is the CAPE / Lifted Index chart from the GFS 6:00 run this morning, for 3pm tomorrow. Quite high CAPE, negative lifted index figures and very little convective inhibition (from another chart) says it's looking good to me.

And looking at the Hi Res model, it looks like this High CAPE, negative lifted index and almost no convective inhibition lasts for a lot of tomorrow too.

The Hi Res model also implies a chance of t&l this evening too. There's thunder in the English Channel currently. It remains to be seen I guess...

Edited August 24, 2012 by Steve C

[MrsB28]

I'd say a low chance today and a very reasonable chance tomorrow. Here is the CAPE / Lifted Index chart from the GFS 6:00 run this morning, for 3pm tomorrow. Quite high CAPE, negative lifted index figures and very little convective inhibition (from another chart) says it's looking good to me.

And looking at the Hi Res model, it looks like this High CAPE, negative lifted index and almost no convective inhibition lasts for a lot of tomorrow too.

The Hi Res model also implies a chance of t&l this evening too. There's thunder in the English Channel currently. It remains to be seen I guess...

Yay, that's my weekend sorted then!

[Coast]

I'd say a low chance today and a very reasonable chance tomorrow.

I think that might be the case Steve:

[Biggin]

Am liking the direction / heading of that growing system Anyone Southampton way atm ??

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Hold on South east, that rain is heavy! And getting heavier!

[Coast]

Lets hope it holds off for a while this weekend, gratuitous plug coming up but if anybody finds me, I'll buy them a pint!

http://farmfridaystreet.com/emails/beer_fest_12_2nd/