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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - October 4th 2012>

Snowangel-MK

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

I've just been looking at GFS, from the 12:00 update and it's looking like an impressive cold spell for the time of year is coming up. However I can't get too excited by a cold spell this early, except for its relative rarity.

If only it was a month later... smile.png

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shotski Seasoned

shotski

Posted
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
  • Weather Preferences: Deep cold
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
Posted

Yep a nice big greenland high turns up end of next week, just can't help feeling that its a month to early and how will winter pan out.

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80sWeather Community Regular

80sWeather

Posted
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards,Hot Thundery nights.
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL
Posted

I've just been looking at GFS, from the 12:00 update and it's looking like an impressive cold spell for the time of year is coming up. However I can't get too excited by a cold spell this early, except for its relative rarity.

If only it was a month later... smile.png

Yes agree in December that would be a snow fest.

After a rather non eventful day weather wise, a nice sunset.

post-9147-0-34532700-1350753086_thumb.jp

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

Rain further west than forecast.

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Rain further west than forecast.

Yes, I was thinking the same.

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GoonerGregg77 Newbie

GoonerGregg77

Posted
  • Location: Dagenham East
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy Drifting Snow in easterly winds, biting wind chill!
  • Location: Dagenham East
Posted

Relentless amount of Rain coming up from the south through France. Further west as mentioned.

Looking forward to this cold spell! I am a hibernater coming out I must admit.

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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted

Yep a nice big greenland high turns up end of next week, just can't help feeling that its a month to early and how will winter pan out.

I think what we have to understand is that our weather patterns are going through a different cycle Since 2007. Within this current pattern cycle November could become the New December.

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

they seem to starting to get the S word on the model tread to-nght for week after this!!!

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Mark Neal. Seasoned

Mark Neal.

Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
Posted

Just about to say the same..This is in for the night...Adn heavy...

The band of rain should be going up the far east on the UK, but instead is coming much further west...

Flooding an issue now???

post-12648-0-56060700-1350761328_thumb.j

post-12648-0-80850800-1350761384_thumb.j

Interesting, as the met office expects me to miss out on tonights rainfall , but people are mentioning further west we could get rain, could i be in for a wet night afterall? That precip is is supposed to head north, or north-eastwards. If northwards i would probably get some rain. Going to be interesting how far it advances this way... Thanks.

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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted (edited)

Interesting, as the met office expects me to miss out on tonights rainfall , but people are mentioning further west we could get rain, could i be in for a wet night afterall? That precip is is supposed to head north, or north-eastwards. If northwards i would probably get some rain. Going to be interesting how far it advances this way... Thanks.

003237Z_21OWS_EUROPE_ANALYSIS_SURFACE_00_SURFACE_SURFACE.GIF

170227Z_21OWS_EUROPE_FITL_PROG-BRIEFING_12102018.GIF

Edited by Jason T
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NO LONGER POSTING Veteran

NO LONGER POSTING

Posted
Posted

Interesting, as the met office expects me to miss out on tonights rainfall , but people are mentioning further west we could get rain, could i be in for a wet night afterall? That precip is is supposed to head north, or north-eastwards. If northwards i would probably get some rain. Going to be interesting how far it advances this way... Thanks.

If your postcode goes 0X3, then yes it's going to rain...

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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted

Raining now..

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

Hi all

If you look at the charts at present

It looks to me as if everything is be shunted too far east. The block to our east is obviously stronger than 1st thought hence the rain tonight being further west than predicted.

http://www.metbrief.com/EGRR.html#72

Have a run through these

Look at the large atlantic storm

Stall as it comes towards us. Then it heads south and should end up going below us as it weakens. I like this as to m eyes this looks like a sign of a more easterly based winter

These are my thought at present also people thinking its too early for a proper cold spell

http://www.neforum2.co.uk/ferryhillweather/bonacina.html

Remember this is much much better than that dreaded euro high. Long may that continue

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abruzzi spur Experienced

abruzzi spur

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
Posted

Raining in Reigate and has been for the last 3 hours. Beautifully Autumnal. Would go for a walk to check, but the extra extra glass of Rioja plus the lure of the fire is probably going to keep me in..... and anyway it's raining!

AS

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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted

Haha thanks dude smile.png

Posted 5 minutes ago

Bluebreezer54, on 20 October 2012 - 21:36 , said:

Checking that now. Congrats on the job btw.

Like it..BTW...By the way/or/Back to work lol

Jason T

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Mark Neal. Seasoned

Mark Neal.

Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
Posted

You were right we have had some heavy rain here, light and patchy again now, we are litterally on the edge of the band here lol

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WhiteFox Community Regular

WhiteFox

Posted
  • Location: Reading/New York/Chicago
  • Location: Reading/New York/Chicago
Posted (edited)

Raining steadily for the past few hours in Reading. NMM forecast was to be considerably further East so all models progged it wrong...

Edited by WhiteFox
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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted (edited)

It dont get much better than this for the end of October,As for November only one word springs to mind (WINTER) in all its glory.

post-2839-0-45483200-1350771376_thumb.png

As for snow fall "its showing",However we are way to far out for any gauge.Best to start snow watch 48hours out (max) from the cold hitting,Then play it down every 12.smiliz39.gifclapping.gifdrinks.gif

Edited by Jason T
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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

I read on another site that EA has a 60% chance of snow in next four weeks or so. How accurate is that? :o

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

Hi all

Run through these

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=204&code=0&mode=1

I expect everything to be further west than shown

I still go snow on or maybe before bonfire night

Nice

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Jason T Seasoned

Jason T

Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
Posted

Hi all

Run through these

http://www.meteociel...4&code=0&mode=1

I expect everything to be further west than shown

I still go snow on or maybe before bonfire night

Nice

Very nice John, I just wonder if we all have prayed a bit to hard this time.......good.gif

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