London & South East Regional Discussion 16/01/13 18z------>

[Paul Sherman]

Yes that is very rare to Issue a Red Warning the day before the event, they must have new data and are very confident how this will play out now!

Never seen a Red the day before ever!

Edit: Yes I have actually, it was the Cumbria Floods a few years back and they nailed that one spot on a good 3 days beforehand!

Edited January 17, 2013 by Paul Sherman

[gremlin]

East of England about to be upgraded to a Red Warning?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?regionName=ee&tab=map&map=Warnings&fcTime=1358424000&zoom=7&lon=0.87&lat=52.30

[Jan_Bromley]

Surely it's time to put an end to the equine humour now...Sorry for being a nag!

We're just horsing around

[PureOcean]

First off, please be aware that warnings will come and go over the coming 24 hours, local geography and scenerios will change things regular.

Secondly, the south east will receive snow - without question and most likely some areas bad as always happens. However don't concentrate all your efforts on what we already know is going to happen. Look at what is happening afterward, and the trend shows more snow and an unsettled cold spell of showers for the south east for a number of days into next week, and moving on from that the long range is looking for a pro-longed cold spell, which means that the snow if it falls heavy initially on this first front could be with us for a period of time being topped up regular, particular for Kent, Essex and Anglia.

Hope that helps.

[Meggy]

They've been in my diet furlong time!!

CD

All this laughing's making me a bit hoarse!!

[john mac]

Amber warning might just edge a little bit more our way...Hopefully!

Can you just get them to push that amber warning another 2 or 3 miles into essex then i will be under it lol

[Methuselah]

We're just horsing around

In that case, neigh bother!

[bobbydog]

i'm in the amber warning now!

[hardcj]

Well they've changed the warnings in our favour and extended the yellow snow warnings till midday Sunday! Next week is looking promising also!

[Tom Jarvis]

Lol just noticed the error and changed to larger

[PureOcean]

Can you just get them to push that amber warning another 2 or 3 miles into essex then i will be under it lol

It will move over as the day tomorrow goes on, they wont move it yet as they can not be sure how much will be in the clouds left when it hits south east. If they are still heavy clouds they will move than amber!

[Brocken Spectre]

Am I allowed a few shackles on:

Complete non event for Kent

Please

(But not please if you see what I mean )

Damn phone may have posted this 5 times!!

[crazy_diamond]

Beware of yellow coloured snow!

CD

Blimey, we're back to Coast's little problem!

CD

Edited January 17, 2013 by crazy_diamond

[Jan_Bromley]

The red warning must be due to the blizzard conditions expected. What speed does the wind have to be to be considered a blizzard?

[Jo S]

I'm back what have I missed? Seems like you lot have been horseing around😄.Anyway temp here is 3.3 but still frosty where the sun hasn't hit.Im very happy as I start my new job next week (interview was a success )

Lets hope you get there then

[Buzzit]

Paul i think you should get ready to Pony up with our winnings

(yes its USA terminology but I'm trying to broaden our horizons away from the obvious...)

[Coast]

As some are now saying tomorrow into Saturday seems a good possibility for most in here now, but this looks like it could reload and bring more through the week. 12Z GFS will lead us into a new conversation later I reckon but look what the 06z had anyway!

[PureOcean]

Am I allowed a few shackles on:

Complete non event for Kent

Please

(But not please if you see what I mean )

Damn phone may have posted this 5 times!!

It is possible that it coudl be less for Kent, but it is highly unlikely as all the evidence shows that it will be gaining moisture as well enroute, so I doubt this would happen, good point though, and it is always best to edge on the base of caution, but alas I think this time they are spot on expect between 7 to 14cm in general in Kent but you in Medway will get more due to your geography.

[Brocken Spectre]

Lupie: sustained over 30mph (I think)

[Coast]

Blimey, we're back to Coast's little problem!

I think I have it under control at the moment!!! (but wait until the next model runs!!)

[Great Plum]

The red warning must be due to the blizzard conditions expected. What speed does the wind have to be to be considered a blizzard?

From Wikipedia:

To be a blizzard, a snow storm must have sustained winds or frequent gusts that are greater than or equal to 56 km/h (35 mph) with blowing or drifting snow which reduces visibility to 400 meters or a quarter mile or less and must last for a prolonged period of time — typically three hours or more

[PureOcean]

As some are now saying tomorrow into Saturday seems a good possibility for most in here now, but this looks like it could reload and bring more through the week. 12Z GFS will lead us into a new conversation later I reckon but look what the 06z had anyway!

Exactly my point earlier. Thanks for posting this.

[Paul Sherman]

Paul i think you should get ready to Pony up with our winnings

(yes its USA terminology but I'm trying to broaden our horizons away from the obvious...)

Hehe

I think some of you were tipped off and the rush of money on the stay the same or eastwards correction was an inside job!!!

[Jan_Bromley]

Lupie: sustained over 30mph (I think)

Thanks HW

From Wikipedia:

To be a blizzard, a snow storm must have sustained winds or frequent gusts that are greater than or equal to 56 km/h (35 mph) with blowing or drifting snow which reduces visibility to 400 meters or a quarter mile or less and must last for a prolonged period of time — typically three hours or more

Thanks GP

[95 Degrees]

New Met Office Warning JUST puts me in the amber area hope they are right.