Winter Model Discussion 12Z 22/1/13 onwards.

[Ice Day]

She's going under!!!

[Panayiotis]

She's going under!!!

She sure is!We need that shortwave just to the east of America to develop and move those heights north!

Edited January 26, 2013 by Panayiotis

[Southender]

No good. Far too flat, with the PV fired up.

[Snowman.]

Goodbye USA....

[-uksnow-]

No good. Far too flat, with the PV fired up.

Not true, this is a fine run so far, following the theme of the 12z, only poor if you're expecting -30 and 10ft snow next week!

[Panayiotis]

No good. Far too flat, with the PV fired up.

Its actually better than the 12z at this stage and look where that ended! Dont call off a run before it ends!

[Snowman.]

Its actually better than the 12z at this stage and look where that ended! Dont call off a run before it ends!

The 12z Ending was a fine run at the end.

Very little PV.

Here we go!!!

[Cheshire Freeze]

Up she goes.....again on 6th

[Ice Day]

Hello there, what's this at 276?

[Snowman.]

HOLY COW!

PUB RUN STRUCK!

[Southender]

Its actually better than the 12z at this stage and look where that ended! Dont call off a run before it ends!

I wasn't.

I was talking about the early undercut you was referring to. And it not leading to anything.

FI Is a beaut!

[Ice Day]

I think this type of eye candy is going to become more prevalent over the next new days!

[bluearmy]

I do like a bit of consistency pre T300. Wonder if the sunday runs can keep hold of the baton.

[Snowman.]

Look at the Uppers!

[SHM040519]

Stupid question. What is fi??

[Southender]

Look at the Uppers!

Get that block a smidge further west and we would be laughing.

[Katiewombat]

HOLY COW!

PUB RUN STRUCK!

Please explain so us not model readers aren't left guessing.

Kx

Note to self when the thread boring in summer learn to read models

[Panayiotis]

Stupid question. What is fi??

Fantasy Island, nothing stupid about the question, term used when talking about unreliable timeframes eg +192hrs

[Grimsby Snow Lover]

Stupid question. What is fi??

Fantasy Island...small chance of verifying

[Panayiotis]

Please explain so us not model readers aren't left guessing.

Kx

Note to self when the thread boring in summer learn to read models

Shows heights ridging north towards Greenland, which gives us the northerly and therefore cold uppers start to flood south over us. Edited January 26, 2013 by Panayiotis

[Katiewombat]

Shows heights ridging north towards Greenland, which gives us the northerly and cold uppers.

:-) my intuition might be right then.

Kx

[Panayiotis]

The 12z Ending was a fine run at the end.

So does this run!? Edited January 26, 2013 by Panayiotis

[phil nw.]

It`s looking more and more likely that we will start the new month in a colder north westerly pattern as shown in the ens outputs and if the Atlantic ridging shows it`s hand like in this run a potent northerly is quite possible.

Still too much of that Canadian vortex showing so the Greenland heights topple.Get rid of some of that and we are in a whole better position-this may come in time as the vortex continues to look fragmented.

[Seavision]

Stupid question. What is fi??

FI = Forecast Indeterminate

[Panayiotis]

FI = Forecast Indeterminate

Sorry but thats wrong, it stands for fantasy island