winter model output Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards

[ChartViewer]

Latest anomaly charts...caveats apply re jh's warning before

[TEITS]

Rather disappointing ensembles to +180.

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/graphe_ens3.php?x=313&ext=1&y=80&run=18&runpara=0

Please don't faint with this on topic post!!

[Ryan Dutch Weatherman]

Snow update now , i have contacted al the netwerk service from me.

I am 100 % convinced for heavy snow in nord Engeland , midlands , driftsnow en the snow will go some further south .Also Schotland ect

Every possible heavy snow 10-20 cm or more with chanse of drifting.

EXcept the main south en soutwest ,but that is unclear to me.

[chris x]

hi all just looked at nae rain/snow and has snow in s. east corner now at 48 hours this model has been good of late

[alexisj9]

Let's get back to the models please this topic is quite annoying now. I like Dutchweathermans posts, and it seems to me he has studied the models for quite a while. I also look at all the models and have seen somethings in some of the lesser ones that have happened that were not well modeled in the good ones. Also when something is difficult to understand a dutch to english translator tends to work. I'd guess sometimes the English word is not known.

[Ryan Dutch Weatherman]

The Braziliaan model until 144 [ he is still running] .

It seems by them for option for again slide lows ?

[Ryan Dutch Weatherman]

Snow update now , i have contacted al the netwerk service from me.

I am 100 % convinced for heavy snow in nord Engeland , midlands , driftsnow en the snow will go some further south .Also Schotland ect

Every possible heavy snow 10-20 cm or more with chanse of drifting.

EXcept the main south en soutwest ,but that is unclear to me.

Exuses , i forget to report that mostly is based on HIRLAM , Dutch model , but your wettermans use them frequent !

[alexisj9]

Exuses , i forget to report that mostly is based on HIRLAM , Dutch model , but your wettermans use them frequent !

Is HIRLAM for public use or just dutch met office?

[Mair Snaw]

The Winter is over its Febuary, its Summa tym x

Hmmmmm Really? i still had snow in first week of April last year, winter maybe over in your world but i still have 8 weeks of possible winter left. looking forward to my heavy snow on sunday/monday. you enjoy your summer!! lol

[Derecho]

The Winter is over its Febuary, its Summa tym x

Not yet, summer comes in April or May if the past few years are anything to go by.

On a serious note, just because we are a third of the way through February doesn't mean we can't get anymore potent cold spells. The first 20 days of March 2006 for example were great here.

Edited February 9, 2013 by Quicksilver1989

[andy100]

Hmmmmm Really? i still had snow in first week of April last year, winter maybe over in your world but i still have 8 weeks of possible winter left. looking forward to my heavy snow on sunday/monday. you enjoy your summer!! lol

Its over bro its nearly March

[Ryan Dutch Weatherman]

Is HIRLAM for public use or just dutch met office?

Some charts public , other close , but wen pay than ok.

End i like the cards from weatherbell the 850 hp charts , beaytiful man.

But than they change the upset there en i had to pay only with goldencard or visa , that i dont have .

I tried to pay them otherwise but i failed.

Strange that lot of people from Europe dont pay for the weatherbell as member . I tried at least.

You know all that is the site of master doctor Ryan Maue , i like him only from there .

They are very conservative in their also politics expression mixed with weather about climate change , thats my only problem with them.

Ok i rest some , than short wile i come something with again the Cptec en the CFS.

[andy100]

Would rather had the Atlantic from Nov pumpin in tha deep depressions with hurricane force winds, rather than 2 inch snow and most likely rain events.

Boring.

[Ryan Dutch Weatherman]

Its over bro its nearly March

Bro ?

[Ryan Dutch Weatherman]

Would rather had the Atlantic from Nov pumpin in tha deep depressions with hurricane force winds, rather than 2 inch snow and most likely rain events.

Boring.

Listen boy this is serious model discus topic , here is not wisfull thinking topic .

Mayby for you better to watch sesamstraat , dont spoil please.Dont troll.

[Mair Snaw]

Its over bro its nearly March

Firstly im not your bro!! and its closer to mid jan than it is march. if you knew anything about the UK and the weather you would know that it snows more in march than it does in december....... DOH!!!

[Mair Snaw]

Would rather had the Atlantic from Nov pumpin in tha deep depressions with hurricane force winds, rather than 2 inch snow and most likely rain events.

Boring.

My word your use of english is worse that ryans and he is dutch...... i would love to see deep depressions pumping hurricane winds at your house for the last 3 months....sorry ryan no offence ment to you by the way. sorry mods but andy100 is a joke.

Edited February 9, 2013 by bigsnow

[Paul Sherman]

What is this thread for ???

Oh yeah Model Discussion, not trolling, back stabbing, and general crud one liners, winters over it feb, oh no its march.

For the love of god please try to talk about the WEATHER MODELS! <<< There is a Clue

I fank you!

[Ryan Dutch Weatherman]

CFS persist , run after run.

Look march , wat is over ? Nothing is over until it is over.

[Mair Snaw]

Would rather had the Atlantic from Nov pumpin in tha deep depressions with hurricane force winds, rather than 2 inch snow and most likely rain events.

Boring.

any reason why my last two post removed but this still here????

[Paul Sherman]

any reason why my last two post removed but this still here????

Ooops missed that lovely On Topic Model Related Post

Cheers

[Captain Shortwave]

The world has gone mad, the only big model showing undercuts is the gfs

We have a marginal situation next week after the fun and games of Sunday to Tuesday with the Scandi high trying to push west and the Azores high trying to push north east and make contact with heights further north. Whilst most models favour the latter, just note that usually corrections are made usually in the upgrade of heights to the north east and that might tip the balance. I wonder how many days I can repeat this message before being sectioned.

Also last note I agree with Jason M about our lack of cold pooling to our East, it shows us that we had to achieve potential record breaking warmth in Eastern Europe to get any kind of high latitude block around our part of the world. It's been a funny winter and hey with RDW here we can always be positive

[Ryan Dutch Weatherman]

Ok everyone here , sleep well , in the morning a big day for the weathermodels.

Look some nice charts from the WMC Moskou model.

I will try to come back in the morning, love you UK xxx.

Edited February 9, 2013 by Ryan Dutch Weatherman

[SE Blizzards]

CFS persist , run after run.

Look march , wat is over ? Nothing is over until it is over.

You have got to love the CFS for it's continued love affair with deep cold in march!! It's been showing this time and time again and will be interesting to see how things develop.

Meanwhile... The daily express are at it again.... http://www.express.c...e-next-48-hours

Fierce 80mph arctic winds, a virtual whiteout and a foot of snow??? LOL

Edited February 9, 2013 by SE Blizzards

[Timmytour]

CFS persist , run after run.

Look march , wat is over ? Nothing is over until it is over.

Must admit...its consistency is almost ECM-like!