Storm Risk Saturday 11th May 2013

[Cheshire Freeze]

Another storm burst into life as it pushed east of here. Now into N Staffs

[Chris.R]

typical aigh.

[Cheshire Freeze]

typical aigh.

 

Typical of the last few years, aye.

[Convective]

Not doing bad here today. Roll on the next one! 

This one looks quite good actually!

Edited May 11, 2013 by Convective

[Chris.R]

Typical of the last few years, aye.

 

Yep, same here. 

Not doing bad here today. Roll on the next one! 

This one looks quite good actually!

You're bloody lucky you know! If only this was a north westerly! 

[Convective]

Yep, same here. 

You're bloody lucky you know! If only this was a north westerly! 

 

Hmm, not too sure! First day of this we have had since last June! Its that stretch of Irish Sea between here and the Mersey that kills it! To be fair I am surprised that the Irish Sea on the other side of us (eastern Ireland) hasn't killed it all today! It usually does!

[Staffordshire]

Looks like something tasty building that should hit between worcester and brum on its current track

[Chris.R]

Short lived hail shower here just before, turned to light rain and stopped just as soon as it had started.

[samadamsuk]

Crack of thunder and hail here in cirencester

[Paul]

Some storms and potent cells kicking off across the Midlands currently.

 

[Convective]

Woooop! More mammatus! :D

 

 

[liambailey09]

Been inside at work all day, just had a look at the radar and a nice cell passed just north of me mid afternoon which would have been nice to see, even if it wasn't directly over head. Not a bad day overall for some in the midlands and south east. 

[Methuselah]

No thunder here...

[Bluebreezer54]

Picking up sferics on my trusty old am radio.....being battered again by a very squally shower. 2nd time in the last hour.

[Eye to the sky]

Really intense shower just passed through here with a mixture of hail and really large raindrops.Beautiful rainbow now with a temperature of just 5 degrees.

[SnowJoke]

Storm just skirted to south of MK in the last 20 mins, heard 15 or so deep rumbles and saw some distant lightning. Appears to be heading over Luton way.

[TheToastPeople]

Just seen some 5 + bolts of lightning to the south of bedford towards luton and some stonking good hail! Best hail i have seen kempston for years! This summer is going to be interesting...

[Panayiotis]

Hi Im really interested in convection and trying to forecast thunderstorms but I need some help.. :L

The thing I wanted to ask is what the coloured lines over SW Wales mean on the first chart, I say they because the other models show some interest in that region:

 

PPN amounts are high for the region:

 

Lapse rates:

 

This chart caught my eye because (if im not mistaken) it shows circulation over the same area:

Any help on what they mean and what conditions they would bring for that region would greatly appreciated!

Thanks.

Edited May 11, 2013 by Panayiotis

[Coast]

Yay!!! nice to see the storms turned up for a few people and about in the right place as well!

[Stuart]

Look like LI have moved a bit more south for wed so maybe i not going see anything but will still change