South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 10/01/14

[john pike]

[Snowangel-MK]

I'm sure the daily excess will be happy to oblige !

[john pike]

thanks bjaykent

 

i have that link somewhere on my favourites

 

saves me searching through all of them

[Jax]

Evening all

 

wet out again, thought we were done with the rain, oh well.  Not nice out that is for sure, reminds me of my horsey days when at a time like this I would be coming home from the stables after an afternoon hack before mucking out and sorting feed and rugging up.

[Jason T]

JP or JT, where's the best place to go and see an 850Pa archive chart for last January, just tried the Netweather archive page but no chart seems to appear.

 

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=gfs;sess=482f5be551559b42fc144c5ac424e99d

 

Here you go Chris. This link will do fax charts    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/tkfaxbraar.htm   translate page to english.

 

 

Here is a very very good link for anything weather wise ,warnings, all sorts.    http://www.metbrief.com/index.html

Edited January 12, 2014 by Jason T

[Summer of 76]

Thanks everyone, much appreciated.

 

i have just watched theCountryfile weather and you can see how the fronts slow down due to the block to the east and you could see the cold fronts catching up the warm on the animation for the week. It was mentioned the model thread but he mentioned the low at the end of the week would go much further south than shown.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Some very heavy bursts of rain heading for West London.. 

[Snowangel-MK]

Some very heavy bursts of rain heading for West London.. 

It could be worse.....

[Jason T]

Thanks everyone, much appreciated.

 

i have just watched theCountryfile weather and you can see how the fronts slow down due to the block to the east and you could see the cold fronts catching up the warm on the animation for the week. It was mentioned the model thread but he mentioned the low at the end of the week would go much further south than shown.

 

 

Could be subtle changes in model output come Thursday. I would say this week coming "Fingers crossed" could very well be an eye opener.

[Jax]

It could be worse.....

image.jpg

They get worse I swear...

 

Could be subtle changes in model output come Thursday. I would say this week coming "Fingers crossed" could very well be an eye opener.

Indeed, interesting times coming for the weather methinks.

[Jax]

It could be worse.....

image.jpg

how about a cats&dogsNADO with added fish?

[Snowangel-MK]

Just spotted this on the Welsh regional thread .....

Looks like snow is all around us .... Got me singing silly lyrics anyway lol

I want to feel it in my fingers

And feel it in my toes

Snow is all around me

And so the feeling grows

It's written on the wind

It's everywhere I know

So if you really love me

Come on and let it snow

You snow I love you, I always will

My mind's made up by the

Way that I feel

Winters just beginning,

Let there be no end

'cause on my the NW forecasts you can depend

[NO LONGER POSTING]

So me and my mate decided we wanted to get up and personal with the floods just down the road from us..

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

http://youtu.be/8Pbn517Um6k

 

This is why I don't want anymore rain...

[Jax]

Look at the Jet stream, one hop over the Atlantic and it's got us! Sorry I'm a bit bored Uggh! have just remembered Sherlock, missed 20mins

 

gfs-5-192hop.png

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=5&ech=204

dammit! is that on tonight? bugger (iPlayer again then)

Just spotted this on the Welsh regional thread .....

image.jpg

Looks like snow is all around us .... Got me singing silly lyrics anyway lol

I want to feel it in my fingers

And feel it in my toes

Snow is all around me

And so the feeling grows

It's written on the wind

It's everywhere I know

So if you really love me

Come on and let it snow

You snow I love you, I always will

My mind's made up by the

Way that I feel

Winters just beginning,

Let there be no end

'cause on my the NW forecasts you can depend

Oh dear, you just cannot help some people.

[Jason T]

MK Pic this one Bambi and Thumper  awwwwww.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hmmmmmmmmmmm Lunch

 

[Snowangel-MK]

how about a cats&dogsNADO with added fish?

A Michael Fish of course !

[Jax]

MK Pic this one Bambi and Thumper  awwwwww.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hmmmmmmmmmmm Lunch

 

Rabbit and Deer pic saved (soooooooooooooo cute)

[Jason T]

Posted 3 minutes ago

So me and my mate decided we wanted to get up and personal with the floods just down the road from us..

 

 

 

Thats why we all need Winter to hurry up and kick in, It will stop the Atlantic express so waters can drain out. Mind you the size of the block to the East,Not going anywhere soon.

Edited January 12, 2014 by Jason T

[john pike]

update for now

 

tonight

 

theres the drizzly rain first

 

almost gone

 

the warm front has some heavy rain embedded in it

 

should arrive soon and clear around 3-4 am

 

not cold but will cool down after the rain passes

chance of some icy patches likely

 

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tomorrow

 

 

a weak south westerly flow

 

looks dry and sunny until late pm

 

will be heaviest far south of the region

 

patchy north of the region

 

rain will clear around 2am ish

 

temps

 

chilly day

 

around 6-7 degrees

 

warming up when rain arrives but not by much

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

 

rain will pass through but may sick around the far east of the region for a while into the early hours

 

temps

 

 

after the rain clears

 

expect a hard frost and ice looks a problem here

 

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tuesday

 

 

a weak north west flow

 

rain

 

 

looks dry

 

temps

5-6 degrees and feeling cold

 

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tuesday night

 

a gusty south west wind

 

rain

 

starts dry but heavy gusty showers moving through

 

warm front first then cold front second

 

cold front hitting more in the daylight hours so we may e a dry slot when the first batch passes

 

not cold

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

wednesday

 

 

rain around and some heavy

 

more heavy far north of the region

 

 

temps

 

around 8-10 degrees

 

will not feel it

 

will then cool down quite quick mid-late pm when the rain clears

 

overall

 

yuk

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Surrey

LukeyG

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• Location:Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

Posted 3 minutes ago

So me and my mate decided we wanted to get up and personal with the floods just down the road from us..

 

 

 

Thats why we all need Winter to hurry up and kick in, It will stop the Atlantic express so waters can drain out. Mind you the size of the block to the East,Not going anywhere soon.

 

 

Nope and I made this point earlier in the week about this pattern being REALLY stubborn and we will see an increase in the jet etc..

[Steve C]

Just flicking through the tv channels, with very little enthusiasm for what is currently on...

 

On Sky 327 (Movies 24) a film has just started (it repeats on 328 at 10 o'clock) called '500 MPH Storm' The description says 'An energy experiment goes awry, sending huge hurricanes rampaging across North America (2013)'

 

It's bound to be pants. The question is, 'do I watch it anyway?'

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Over in the pseudo-Intellectual MAD MOD thread, Ian Ferguson has just confirmed that the low which appears in the ECM for the period around 7-8 days hence was one of the possible scenarios that Exeter saw the other day in their exclusive model (can't remember what they call it offhand).  I'm waiting for the coldies to declare that an Easterly is "nailed-on" already!

Edited January 12, 2014 by chrisbell-nottheforecaster

[SHM040519]

Over in the pseudo-Intellectual MAD MOD thread, Ian Ferguson has just confirmed that the low which appears in the ECM for the period around 7-8 days hence was one of the possible scenarios that Exeter saw the other day in their exclusive model (can't remember what they call it offhand).  I'm waiting for the coldies to declare that an Easterly is "nailed-on" already!

 

 

An easterly is nailed on! haha 

[Eskimo]

There has been 9 sporadic burglaries in and around my town over the last 48 hours. Most of them done between 12am-6am, this is a very safe town normally so this has scared us all. This is exactly why street lights need to come back on. I've always hated the way councils try to save money before the safety of their citizens. 

Edited January 12, 2014 by PerfectStorm

[john pike]

excuse my spelling on the fax update

 

the t on my key board is sticking badly

 

looking forward to the fax later

 

if that split low goes where i think that would put ecm more likely in my eyes

 

anyway more later