South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 12/02/14 19z ------->

[Nights King]

An early "uncertain" warning out for snow..

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1393545600

Only just inside our region but mulls must stand a chance?

 

I'd like to think so but it is not really our region lets hope for some major upgrade closer to the time after all it is literally our last hope to see real snow this winter!

[jtay]

What the Dickens? It was absolutely lovely earlier.

 

Now blowy and chucking it down.

[gottolovethisweather]

An early "uncertain" warning out for snow..

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1393545600

Only just inside our region but mulls must stand a chance?

 

A classic North of the M4 corridor job. Oh no, its like I've been transported back through time to that old era of zonal dross and mildness come Winter, no wait, wasn't that the infamous 2013/14 Winter.

I'd like to think so but it is not really our region lets hope for some major upgrade closer to the time after all it is literally our last hope to see real snow this winter!

 

And you've still had more snow than anyone else in the region, bar Dartmoor. You lucky blighter, you.

[Andy Bown]

A proper April showers type afternoon now, almost every cloud is a sharp shower with large blue sky breaks in between.

[karlos1983]

Saturday afternoon/evening looks more favourable for snow going by the latest output for our region does it not??

 

 

Straw anyone .........

Edited February 26, 2014 by karlos1983

[offerman]

Andy, do you think our area could see a few flakes Friday/Saturday/Monday.?

Nice charts Karlos, thanks for that.

[Frosty_wsm]

I'd like to think so but it is not really our region lets hope for some major upgrade closer to the time after all it is literally our last hope to see real snow this winter!

I wouldn't take any warnings or forecast as gospel yet, the met have no idea how this lp will track yet, the BBC weather presenters have made it very clear in the forecasts that they are very uncertain about Friday so all up for grabs still if it's wintery weather your after.

[Nights King]

A classic North of the M4 corridor job. Oh no, its like I've been transported back through time to that old era of zonal dross and mildness come Winter, no wait, wasn't that the infamous 2013/14 Winter.

 

And you've still had more snow than anyone else in the region, bar Dartmoor. You lucky blighter, you.

 

Your correct that my home has indeed seen more snow as would be expected but I was at work both days so didn't actually really see it and same could happen this Friday - sunday as I'm working which would be sod's law.  So naturally I would prefer a county wide event so I see it even at work.

Edited February 26, 2014 by mullender83

[gottolovethisweather]

Your correct that my home has indeed seen more snow as would be expected but I was at work both days so didn't actually really see it and same could happen this Friday - sunday as I'm working which would be sod's law.  So naturally I would prefer a county wide event so I see it even at work.

 

Perhaps we ought to organise a get together with AJ and go up to Leicester, where's the higher ground around there, those damn ex-Midlanders knicking our snow, we can't have that. The mere thought of a Channel Low leaves me somewhat excited though, it has to be said. Whatever happens come Friday, as others have stated, the first week of Spring could offer some more chances. I simply don't like the idea of yet more rain though. Good luck with it all, all of you anyhows.

Edited February 26, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[A.J]

Perhaps we ought to organise a get together with AJ and go up to Leicester, where's the higher ground around there, those damn ex-Midlanders knicking our snow, we can't have that. The mere thought of a Channel Low leaves me somewhat excited though, it has to be said. Whatever happens come Friday, as others have stated, the first week of Spring could offer some more chances. I simply don't like the idea of yet more rain though. Good luck with it all, all of you anyhows.

hop in the van mate ....early start tomorrow though, bright eyed and bushy tailed for 6:30am...lol

[Andy Bown]

Andy, do you think our area could see a few flakes Friday/Saturday/Monday.?

Friday depends on the LOWs track, if it's 100 miles further South than currently forecast then we have a decent chance - it may well be a nowcast day depending on temps, dewpoints and intensity of precip - even that Friday 2 weeks ago (14th Feb) had some wet snow in the heaviest bursts even when it was meant to be turning milder. I would laugh my socks off if it does snow on Friday as it's my birthday and would be remarkable coincidence given the awful winter! My fear is another washout heavy rain event.

 

As for the other days I have no idea!

[gottolovethisweather]

hop in the van mate ....early start tomorrow though, bright eyed and bushy tailed for 6:30am...lol

 

Oh I forgot, I've got to see a certain someone about a certain something, Thanks anyway.  Don't forget your toothbrush camera, though!

Edited February 27, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

Friday depends on the LOWs track, if it's 100 miles further South than currently forecast then we have a decent chance - it may well be a nowcast day depending on temps, dewpoints and intensity of precip - even that Friday 2 weeks ago (14th Feb) had some wet snow in the heaviest bursts even when it was meant to be turning milder. I would laugh my socks off if it does snow on Friday as it's my birthday and would be remarkable coincidence given the awful winter! My fear is another washout heavy rain event.

 

As for the other days I have no idea!

 

Happy Birthday anyway, whatever happens and maybe the day after might be a white one, certainly a few chances coming up.

[kernowman]

Pretty awful out there at the moment, rain coming in sideways.

[Cyclonic]

Estofex got a warning out for southern areas, bay of biscay

 

http://estofex.org/

 

Lots of rain on radar

 

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

 

Hope your all keeping well, been some nice weather here, daffodils are out and today had that pleasant Spring feel to it.

[knocker]

Fine morning with a couple of oktas of Cu.

 

Temp 8,5C

 

Wind W 15mph

 

The precise movement of the low this evening still in some doubt and a few miles north or south will alter things a tad. At the moment looking at rain in these parts with a possiblity of rain, sleet of even some snow in central areas. Personally I favour rain

[Rich_Clements]

Stunning sunshine after overnight rain, a rather chilly wind

[Nights King]

Looking more like boring rain now  

[Mapantz]

Another 7.8mm of rain overnight.

Currently 10℃ with some sunny spells. Lots of cumulus bubbling up again.

[Whiteout74]

Looking more like boring rain now  

 

Really, have you seen Ian's latest Tweet?

[Nights King]

Really, have you seen Ian's latest Tweet?

 

South wales and forest of dean isn't really the southwest.

[gottolovethisweather]

Whatever your own opinion might be as to whether we get the snow or not, a lot of this region is still currently covered by a watch according to the media forecasts I saw this morning. If Mulls is happy to write it off, then I guess we should let him and we'll keep the snow to ourselves.  Have you been transported back from the future Mulls, as this is still an uncertain forecast even for those in the know.

[offerman]

Andy and Mullender,

 

Just found this:

 

Looks much better now!!

[gottolovethisweather]

The most appropriate assessment probably comes courtesy of the UKMO and it reads as follows for this region.

 

Today:

 

A good deal of fine weather around to start the day, just an isolated shower. However, as the day progresses, showers will become more widespread, some heavy with the risk of hail and thunder. Breezy at times, especially around coasts. Maximum Temperature 9 °C.

 

Tonight:

 

Showers in the east this evening, then rain is expected to spread from the west, heavy at times. Possibly becoming very windy through the early hours especially in the west. Minimum Temperature 1 °C.

 

Friday:

 

Outbreaks of showery rain at times through the day, occasionally heavy, eventually easing away by evening. Gales in the west during the morning, possibly severe in exposure. Maximum Temperature 8 °C.

 

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

 

Outbreaks of rain on Saturday, heavy at times, snow on hills. Drier and brighter Sunday, but rain will spread from the southwest overnight, clearing northeastwards on Monday morning, showers following.

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Clearly a lot going on and yet again no immediate respite from the deluges.

Edited February 27, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[Mapantz]

I've just had a bit of a downpour with hail mixed in. The builders are building a new chimney at the moment, they're having to cover it up during the showers, the radar looks none to special for them.