South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 12/02/14 19z ------->

[Nights King]

Whatever your own opinion might be as to whether we get the snow or not, a lot of this region is still currently covered by a watch according to the media forecasts I saw this morning. If Mulls is happy to write it off, then I guess we should let him and we'll keep the snow to ourselves.  Have you been transported back from the future Mulls, as this is still an uncertain forecast even for those in the know.

 

I have not written it off and I feel slightly better seeing we are now in the warning area, next question is what is the timing of this is it going to be before 8am in the morning?

 

Warning matrix is still very uncertain it says impact high but likelihood very low currently.

[knocker]

Certainly as far as Cornwall is concerned there is little change from earlier after their update. Rain by early evening clearing in the early hours.

[gottolovethisweather]

I have not written it off

 

So your words "Looking more like boring rain now" isn't classed as writing off your own snow hopes.  

 

It truly has been a pants Winter for snow for nearly all of the UK but at least you've witnessed some and yet again you and our chums at Dartmoor are under a favourable risk, good luck with it all as it may well be another 8 to 9 months before we see something similar.

 

Yours sincerely,

 

the gottolovethisweather chap, who always keeps his glass half full.

Edited February 27, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[lfcdude]

Met Office Storms â€@metofficestorms  11s

Yellow warning area for snow tomorrow has been updated. Details here: http://bit.ly/Weatherwarnings 

 

Covers all of Wiltshire apart from very south... and some into Somerset 

W

Edited February 27, 2014 by lfcdude

[Nights King]

So your words "Looking more like boring rain now" aren't classed as writing off your own hopes for snow.  

 

It truly has been a pants Winter for snow for nearly all of the UK but at least you've witnessed some and yet again you and our chums at Dartmoor are under a favourable risk, good luck with it all as it may well be another 8 to 9 months before we see something similar.

 

We have the whole of spring to search yet

 

I just need the snow to start laying before work at 8am so I can build a snowman if it falls at all.

[knocker]

Fleetwood have the low at 06 in an interesting position. I can see where this could give snow on the higher ground in the northerly quadrant.

[gottolovethisweather]

We have the whole of spring to search yet

 

I just need the snow to start laying before work at 8am so I can build a snowman if it falls at all.

 

That's the spirit, think positive and positive things might occur, believe in the negative and negative things will often follow, that's what life teaches me, I believe, anyhow.

 

Enough of my philosophical claptrap, bring on the rain snow for us desperate folk (me included), please Mother Nature.

Edited February 27, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

Fleetwood have the low at 06 in an interesting position. I can see where this could give snow on the higher ground in the northerly quadrant.

 

And this is only opportunity number one, with others likely to follow in its wake. It sadly could be a very wet period and equally windy at times for those need it least.

Edited February 27, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[ARTDEMOLE]

Nice to see a snow warning for this area.. Hope  at 150 meters it will be high enough.. Temperature now  9.3c and cloudy with some sunshine.

[Nights King]

Nice to see a snow warning for this area.. Hope  at 150 meters it will be high enough.. Temperature now  9.3c and cloudy with some sunshine.

 

Sorry to say but the snowline is going to be exactly 153 metres so only way you can build a snowman is on the roof of your house 

[Andy Bown]

Quite apart from the very low snow risk tomorrow, the rain last night took February's total beyond 200mm.

 

Had you told me on Nov 27th that 3 months later I would be sat here on Feb 27th having had 3 winter months in excess of 200mm rainfall I would have laughed! It is ridiculous, staggering and memorable!

 

But what a stunning day again today, plenty of pleasant sunshine and clean convective skies bringing sharp showers for the 3rd day in a row!

[ARTDEMOLE]

Sorry to say but the snowline is going to be exactly 153 metres so only way you can build a snowman is on the roof of your house 

I Should Have put  an edit  in.I am at 153 meters...

[jtay]

Thunder in these here parts... heading towards Romsey by the looks of it.

[knocker]

Looks ontrack

 

[SteveB]

Missed all the showers here, after what looked a promising BBC forecast this morning.

 

Still, a lovely day with long sunny spells

[Andy Bown]

Thunder in these here parts... heading towards Romsey by the looks of it.

I have been watching the CBs moving from my W to my S and now to the SE over the last hour or so without anything falling here - the edge of the anvils literally overhead and the sun now creeping out as the final anvil begins to move away. The NW radar detector shows active lightning between Salisbury and Southampton.

 

There must have been some heavy hail in some places as white could be seen falling out of the clouds.

[TropicThunder]

Hail, thunder and lightning here, albeit brief. 

[chris55]

Been kind of out the weather loop these last few days, very busy, haven't even seen a tv forecast!! So to see some snow potential in the forecast is a nice surprise! Not badly placed either by the look of it.

 

A yellow snow warning on the last day of winter, oh the irony lol.

[jtay]

I have been watching the CBs moving from my W to my S and now to the SE over the last hour or so without anything falling here - the edge of the anvils literally overhead and the sun now creeping out as the final anvil begins to move away. The NW radar detector shows active lightning between Salisbury and Southampton.

 

There must have been some heavy hail in some places as white could be seen falling out of the clouds.

 

Missed all the excitement unfortunately and any photo ops. Been stuck on a conf call since 2pm, plus it's bin day so assumed that was the cause of all the rumbling

[karlos1983]

Had 1 very heavy hail shower in Ferndown (work) and one moderate hail shower, no Thunder or Lightning though.

 

I now have recorded a total of 620.5mm of rain this winter(so far), just over 24 inches. 67 rain days and 22 dry days, most of which were in early December and February.

 

6 poxy air frosts

Edited February 27, 2014 by karlos1983

[dancing daisy]

Lots of excited talk on the playground about snow this afternoon. Any chance?

Sorry for the 'is it going to snow IMBY' post but I've not managed to see a forecast or properly geek out either as been busy helping to look after a 3 week old baby, a knackered daughter, a sick mum and teach a class full of primary school kids, with added observations, meetings and PTA thrown in. Just call me superwoman! Lol

We just had very heavy sleet which turned into hail. I work on the levels by the way, so more wet stuff is the last thing that we need.

Edited February 27, 2014 by dancing daisy

[festivalking]

Not sure this transient snow event will happen. Most certainly a nowcasting type of scenario looking at this map. The 12z might be different.

 

Edited February 27, 2014 by festivalking

[jtay]

Lots of excited talk on the playground about snow this afternoon. Any chance? 

 

Were all the kids reading the Express?

[lettice]

Heavy hail here and a rumble of thunder about 1-45pm today

Just raining since.

[gottolovethisweather]

Lots of excited talk on the playground about snow this afternoon. Any chance?

Sorry for the 'is it going to snow IMBY' post but I've not managed to see a forecast or properly geek out either as been busy helping to look after a 3 week old baby, a knackered daughter, a sick mum and teach a class full of primary school kids, with added observations, meetings and PTA thrown in. Just call me superwoman! Lol

We just had very heavy sleet which turned into hail. I work on the levels by the way, so more wet stuff is the last thing that we need.

 

Superwoman, its a 50/50 chance I reckon, more especially for those with added elevation. A few more opportunities thereafter in the coming days too.

Not sure this transient snow event will happen. Most certainly a nowcasting type of scenario looking at this map. The 12z might be different.

 

 

Yes, I noticed the GFS wasn't so keen either, but a few more runs still needed yet.

Edited February 27, 2014 by gottolovethisweather