July 2014 CET Forecasts

[Roger J Smith]

Never too early to start thinking about next month ...

 

CET averages and extremes

 

 

 

25.2 ... 29th, 1948, warmest daily mean

 

 

19.7 ... 2006 (warmest July)

19.5 ... 1983 (2nd warmest)

18.8 ... 1783 (3rd warmest)

18.7 ... 1976, 1852 (tied 4th warmest)

18.6 ... 1995 (6th warmest)

18.3 ... 2013 mean (tied 9th warmest)

 

16.7 ... average for 1981-2010, and for 2001-13.

16.5 ... average for 1971-2000

 

16.1 ... average for 1961-1990, also for 1901-2000 and 1701-1800

 

16.0 ... average for all years 1659-2013

15.8 ... average for 1801-1900

15.6 ... average for 1659-1700

 

14.0 ... 1965 CET (tied 11th coldest)

13.6 ... 1879 (4th coldest)

13.5 ... 1695,1802 (tied 2nd coldest)

13.4 ... 1816 (coldest July)

 

 

8.7 ... 20th (1836) coldest daily mean

______________________________________________________________

 

Enter your forecast by the 30th to avoid penalties, or by 3rd of July to qualify.

 

 

[Polar Gael]

18.0C for me please.

[simshady]

17.1 please

[CongletonHeat]

16.9

[leehws]

17.6

[Milhouse]

July is often the month that makes or breaks a summer with it being the warmest time of year. I will go for average at 16.7c

[NeilN]

17.7c

[Bobd29]

17.4 please

[Weather26]

16.7 for me but with it being the month that decides whether it ends up a decent Summer or yet another rubbish one, that figure could go up or down for me.

[Lettucing Gutted]

My heart hopes for a Dickensian 13C but my head says to expect the warmest July on record... soooo 20C 

Edited June 21, 2014 by Craig Evans

[Captain Shortwave]

17.4C for me, it looks like we will start on a pretty average westerly type pattern, so some warm dry weather coupled with cooler unsettled spells. I do think we will see a five day spell of decent weather sometime from mid-month which will push us into the warmer than average category again.

[Norrance]

17.8C for me please.

[March Blizzard]

Sod it, I'll go for a warm 17.7C. Above average temperatures are being as stubborn as a mule.

[damianslaw]

Will we see a break in the long line of above average CET months? I think our chances are higher that this will happen this month than any other so far this year.. however, I will go conservative and say 16.6 a near average month. Could be one of two halves, first half unsettled and cool, drier and warmer second half. Certainly can't see a 2013 repeat, nor a 2012 repeat. A half decent July, but hardly anything exceptional, indeed I don't want to say it, but I think we have had our lengthiest driest sunniest settled spell of the year.

[summer blizzard]

16.7C for me.

[Stationary Front]

16.8 for me please

[Summer Sun]

17.6c for me please

[Blade]

18,1ºc it will start bad but it probably change after 10 july

[Dancerwithwings]

17.5 for me please.... 1.0c above the average for 1971-2000.

Edited June 29, 2014 by Dancerwithwings

[virtualsphere]

16.1C please.

[cheeky_monkey]

Very much akin to July 2000..so what ever the cet for that month was ill take that please.

[Methuselah]

17.4 please...

[matty007]

17.2 please. 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

17.0C, unsettled autumnal first week, then settling down around 10th, from around 12th mostly hot and sunny

[Roger J Smith]

Very much akin to July 2000..so what ever the cet for that month was ill take that please.

 

That was 15.5.

 

My entry = 18.1 C

Edited June 28, 2014 by Roger J Smith