Storm & Convective Discussion - 02/07/15 Onward - Heat & Plumes

[ancientsolar]

There seems to be a torrential shower just off the Islands that the tip of cornwall faces ~ I'd imagine (though not entirely accurately) that that's where the Sferics are coming from

[samadamsuk]

Hey all. Im in cirencester ready to hit the road here. Havent seen parametwrs as good as this for a long while, but these events always have some suprises, negative for some, positive for others! good luck all, and I hope to be meeting up with you all later under a stacked plate meso! samos

[Buckster]

here they come - eyes on the sw off cornwall

 

I genuinely think you are looking wrong direction if you are looking to the stuff off Cornwall

 

I don't think thats where the decent storms will materialise from - those will pop up out of the blue later this evening and further east 

 

IMO

[Wet'n'Dry]

what's radios got to do with it

 

-. --- - .... .. -. --.

[samadamsuk]

Agree there Buckster, unless your in cornwall in which case make the most of them!

[Joe Levy]

There seems to be a torrential shower just off the Islands that the tip of cornwall faces ~ I'd imagine (though not entirely accurately) that that's where the Sferics are coming from

They're known as the Isles of Scilly

Edited July 3, 2015 by Joe Levy

[Harsh Climate]

1st sferic in north west france, it's starting

[Buckster]

GFS looks strange to me

 

makes me think I'm too far west for any storms tonight - and I'm in Essex !

[andymusic]

I genuinely think you are looking wrong direction if you are looking to the stuff off Cornwall

 

I don't think thats where the decent storms will materialise from - those will pop up out of the blue later this evening and further east 

 

IMO

am in S. E. Wales so would imagine that's where ours maybe coming from

[Bolt from the Blue]

Feeling very humid here

[Gordon Webb]

-. --- - .... .. -. --.

 

thought that was a bit of screen corruption until I realised what it was

[ancientsolar]

They're known as the Isles of Scilly

How Silly of me.. Now I kow.. I was going to call it ST Mary's airport ..

Oh well.. here we go, ~ the sparks are threatening to invade us ! Get up your digital weapons and start shooting some film!

[Wet'n'Dry]

It's not going to happen... and to make sure I have a special word for you all >>>>> HUMDINGER 

[StormChaseUK]

Got to start somewhere

[ancientsolar]

Some showers forming in the Bristol channel! ~ Pembrokshire could be in for a treat!

[ChezWeather]

NetWx-SR New run

 

 

Edited July 3, 2015 by ChezWeather

[Wet'n'Dry]

It's not going to happen... and to make sure I have a special word for you all >>>>> HUMDINGER 

 

thought that was a bit of screen corruption until I realised what it was

 

Sorry Gordon, my amateur radio operator anorak just got deployed 

[Buckster]

^^ lol

 

my prediction for tonight - "thundery" mess of showers hitting the west coast and then heading up into spine of country

 

some tasty imports from France later -but most "Kent" clippers - I'm not convinced I'll see much except from a distance here in Essex

[Chris K]

I think that can only be a positive sign sferics are showing up roughly in a line from NW France towards S Ireland. Look how fast cells become electrified. Shows destabilization is beginning to occur along the frontal boundary as it moves into the warmer, humid air mass. Hopefully means plenty of time to form storms before they reach the UK.

 

Here's hoping!   squeaky bum time it's all a case of watching the radars and skies. 

Edited July 3, 2015 by Chris K

[Homerr]

Don't like the look of those latest runs, go just to the west of me

 

Here's to hoping something still kicks it off here though, it's still very warm and humid here so fingers crossed

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

PROPER stormy skies. Got a few pre-event photos but they're on the SLR. Last time we had skies like this they had an AMAZING storm in brighton and then london - which wasn't where I was!

[Tom Montalbano]

Feel the need to enter into the lions den of Brontophiles but likely to make this Brontophobe very unpopular, anyway here goes!

I've read some comments re. the GFS charts and their take on how tonights situation is likely to develop, in respect of any

thundery ppn.

Having looked at the 06z ppn charts and latterly the 12z charts, the Channel Islands were forecast to already be experiencing some

thundery activity (at work and not able to poat any charts), a glance at the current radar returns shows this is far from the case

The GFS 12z at 21z has the Channel alive with what looks to be thundery ppn, at that time,we shall see, not long to wait now!

I know full well this situation could change very quickly, in such a dynamic, "loaded gun" scenario but I would respectfully

suggest that the GFS "take" on tonights events, is a little off track already.

Probably just wishful thinking that my journey back to the Kent/London border, after 9, may be a little less fraught than I

orginally thought.

There, Ive probably jinxed things from my own perspective and fellow members, who are also of a nervous disposition, when it comes to storms.

Anyway, whatever camp you're in I hope you have an enjoyable evening and to my fellow Brontophobes, a not too stressful one.

Regards,

Tom.

Edited July 3, 2015 by TomBR7

[UKSupercell]

Well I suppose I can't bank on rain tonight in Bucks so I bet go water the neighbours plants in a while. 

Come on mother nature, show us whatcha got! 

[Harry]

NetWx-SR New run

Well that's not so good for me - had kind of hoped anything would form south of me and move overhead...back to possibly being a breeding ground again.

More AcCas in the sky again over London including some developing jellyfish...evening jellyfish are usually good precursors to overnight storms (numerous occasions they have been spot on signalmen)

[ChezWeather]

NMM seemingly complying with the NWX-SR