South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - 1st June onwards

[weathergeek]

Definite rumble that time!!!!⛈⛈

 

[lassie23]

12 minutes ago, weathergeek said:

I think I've just heard a rumble here and Sky box getting some interference! Also very dark and grey!

What's everyone's thoughts on the weather for next week, seeming ok-is

H x

Has anyone been brave enough to call next week yet? Longest day soon and then the days will shorten.

[Methuselah]

Hi WG...I haven't been able to get a Tesco Mobile signal here since before last weekend. I'm assuming that the glut of thunderstorms is to blame? Not that Beccles is renowned for its mobile-phone connections!

[Bogman]

Thunderstorm here.

Typical, just about to set off down t'pub.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Here are photos of the thunderstorm that went up over Bracknell/Ascot yesterday I was on break and it was a real treat to watch 

This is over the space of 30 mins :

The lightning was pretty cool of it few CG and a couple of cloud to cloud 

As it pulled south there was a lot of rotation within it and I really did try to drop something as a couple of funnels albeit small formed.. Unfortunately by this point we were running to work so couldn't get any pics

The timing could not have been better for me what a day! 

[Emz by the Thames]

14 hours ago, lassie23 said:

Has anyone been brave enough to call next week yet? Longest day soon and then the days will shorten.

I'm meant to be seeing in the solstice on a beach in Suffolk...but it's looking like it will be cloudy/possibly rainy Monday morning. 

Not doubt the sun will come out and it will be glorious the minute we put the bags in the car to come home on Wednesday - so that's the forecast - it will be dull while I'm on holiday, then sunny after 

Edited June 17, 2016 by Team Squirrel

[Allezwasps.]

that was a beaut surrey , i tracked it from maidenhead to wokingham , then got hit again about 9.30 pm.

[tomp456]

What is required to kick these storms off in the south today then? 

Am on the south coast, it doesn't feel stormy and currently thick cloud all round. 

[Emz by the Thames]

Overlap sort of warning update:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&regionName=se&fcTime=1466118000

[Neilsouth]

Thunderstorm here! - Ashford way

[Blessed Weather]

Here we go. Quite a few storms breaking out already. Slightly earlier than the high res models have been suggesting, but exactly in the forecast zone:

NMM forecast zone 17.00  Radar 11.30 

Lightening 11.35

[Lauren]

Had a couple of rumbles here.

[k66yla]

Something must be on its way as my TV signal keeps disappearing. Lovely and sunny here at the moment, shame it was'nt when I went to town earlier and got drenched.

[SenlacJack]

Thunderstorm overhead here in St Leonards-on-Sea, heavy rain for a while but eased off quite quickly.

[lassie23]

Heat wave next week

[alexisj9]

Had mostly rain, just a couple of distant rumbles, this stuff over dover doesn't want to play.

[stainesbloke]

19 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

Heat wave next week

Haha don't believe a word of it....would love one though, all this cloud is annoying the hell out of me!

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

1 hour ago, Blessed Weather said:

Here we go. Quite a few storms breaking out already. Slightly earlier than the high res models have been suggesting, but exactly in the forecast zone:

NMM forecast zone 17.00  Radar 11.30 

Lightening 11.35

Interesting that the instability seems to be along the SE-facing coastal strip, Malcolm.

Edited June 17, 2016 by chrisbell-nottheweatherman
Correcting typo.

[tomp456]

I think the heavens are going to open! 

[Blessed Weather]

28 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

Interesting that the instability seems to be along the SE-facing coastal strip, Malcolm.

From what I can see it's being caused by a small secondary area of Low Pressure in the Dover Straits that is bringing an easterly air flow to the SE-facing coastal strip. This air flow is bumping into the generally northerly flow and causing an uplift along the line of convergence (see the wind flow chart below). The chart showing the Vertical Velocity at 700 hPa confirms there is uplift along the convergence line.

GFS SLP with Low in Dover Straits  NMM Wind Direction

 

NMM Vertical Velocity

[afcone]

Well, it's a beautiful day in Gravesend.  

[stainesbloke]

Some sun breaking through here with the temperature up to a scorching 19C lol....looks like areas E and S of London seeing the heavy showers/storms today.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

On lunch at royal Ascot again today.. Same time as yesterday... 

 

Guess what..

Very nice photo for me, main cell going up with a daughter cell to the left 

 

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

1 hour ago, Blessed Weather said:

From what I can see it's being caused by a small secondary area of Low Pressure in the Dover Straits that is bringing an easterly air flow to the SE-facing coastal strip. This air flow is bumping into the generally northerly flow and causing an uplift along the line of convergence (see the wind flow chart below). The chart showing the Vertical Velocity at 700 hPa confirms there is uplift along the convergence line.

GFS SLP with Low in Dover Straits  NMM Wind Direction

 

NMM Vertical Velocity

Cheers Malcolm, I haven't been checking the data much of recent, so I was unaware of the setup.

[alexisj9]

Seems to be trying to build something here now, but still not enough umph to get passed heavy rain, as yet.