South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards

[jtay]

A bit of cloud has just rolled in for the sunset.

Zoom in for the starling show...

Off to see Royal Blood at the BIC tonight. It's going to be a bit nippy walking up West Cliff with no coat on, I reckon.

[Dorsetbred]

1 hour ago, jtay said:

A bit of cloud has just rolled in for the sunset.

Zoom in for the starling show...

Off to see Royal Blood at the BIC tonight. It's going to be a bit nippy walking up West Cliff with no coat on, I reckon.

Hell yeah, wanna borrow a jacket?

 

[Mapantz]

According to the forecast, the wind is supposed to be gusting to 20mph. It's currently gusting to 0.

[khodds]

Anyone else suffering from model fatigue?! I know Karlos must be! I’m not as bad as some years but it’s still sucked me in.. it’s just getting it down to T0 now.. seems like we are still chasing dreams. Praying that we do get to see some of that white stuff soon before I actually go insane 

[Nights King]

26 minutes ago, khodds said:

Anyone else suffering from model fatigue?! I know Karlos must be! I’m not as bad as some years but it’s still sucked me in.. it’s just getting it down to T0 now.. seems like we are still chasing dreams. Praying that we do get to see some of that white stuff soon before I actually go insane 

Yes it feels like a never ending saga well at least 5 years... We never seem to get any closer to actual snow. 

[matt111]

30 minutes ago, khodds said:

Anyone else suffering from model fatigue?! I know Karlos must be! I’m not as bad as some years but it’s still sucked me in.. it’s just getting it down to T0 now.. seems like we are still chasing dreams. Praying that we do get to see some of that white stuff soon before I actually go insane 

Very much so. very addictive despite the disappointment it always leaves behind. 

[Mapantz]

Temperature was falling away nicely until it started to rise again.

[matt111]

4 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Temperature was falling away nicely until it started to rise again.

Same here although it hasn't started rising, it's just stopped at 3.1°C for nearly an hour now. 

[khodds]

Going to ask this here (forgive me if it’s daft) how far in advance did forecasters have an inkling of the great snowstorms of previous decades? I know nowadays we have far more computer power and modelling systems but just wondered.. we all get false hope from watching models run to run. The most recent years (2010 etc) I seem to remember us not knowing the finer detail until it was literally falling out the sky. 

Maybe ive just answered my own question 

[Nights King]

2 minutes ago, khodds said:

Going to ask this here (forgive me if it’s daft) how far in advance did forecasters have an inkling of the great snowstorms of previous decades? I know nowadays we have far more computer power and modelling systems but just wondered.. we all get false hope from watching models run to run. The most recent years (2010 etc) I seem to remember us not knowing the finer detail until it was literally falling out the sky. 

Maybe ive just answered my own question 

I'm not sure exactly but I think they were fairly short notice. I remember the bristol channel streamer came from no where at like 6 hours notice with no weather warning until it was already on the deck...

 

[khodds]

7 minutes ago, Nights King said:

I'm not sure exactly but I think they were fairly short notice. I remember the bristol channel streamer came from no where at like 6 hours notice with no weather warning until it was already on the deck...

 

Yes I remember this. I also remember a feature that popped up and came from France and zipped along the south coast at short notice.. does anyone else remember this? 

[knocker]

Not a bad morning with some impressive Cu's floating about. Temp 7C and breezy from the NNE

And the Pembroke Dangler this morning

Edited November 29, 2017 by knocker

[knocker]

And the dangler has just produced a moderate rain and hail showers.

[Mapantz]

A ground frost this morning, but still cannot manage an air frost. A low of 0.4°C

Currently 6.1°C and sunny.

[matt111]

Only went down to 1.7°C last night so nowhere near an air frost. Sunny morning but clouded over in the last hour  5.8°C. 

[knocker]

Still in the firing line of the dangler

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/rainfall-radar#?map=Rainfall&fcTim

[Lyn-M]

Got our first air frost, just, last night with -0.4°C.  Beautiful but bitterly cold day, cloudier now.

[katemart]

1 hour ago, knocker said:

Still in the firing line of the dangler

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/rainfall-radar#?map=Rainfall&fcTim

Those showers are making it further and further south - now fizzling out around Winchester. https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar

Shame the temp's on the rise

[Mapantz]

Right on cue, the temperature starts rising! I have to say, the MetO's forecast of the minimums has been very good for here, they normally underestimate it. It looks as thought this November is going to pass without a sub-zero minimum - first time in 7 years!

[khodds]

8 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Right on cue, the temperature starts rising! I have to say, the MetO's forecast of the minimums has been very good for here, they normally underestimate it. It looks as thought this November is going to pass without a sub-zero minimum - first time in 7 years!

That’s crazy! We’ve had more frosts here this November than I seem to remember for the whole of the last one.. (if I’m remembering rightly ?)

[Mapantz]

2 minutes ago, khodds said:

That’s crazy! We’ve had more frosts here this November than I seem to remember for the whole of the last one.. (if I’m remembering rightly ?)

This time last year it was -2.9°C this year it is 3.3°C and rising.

[Dorsetbred]

53 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

This time last year it was -2.9°C this year it is 3.3°C and rising.

Interesting, it’s still falling here by 0.9C/hr.

[Mapantz]

9 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Interesting, it’s still falling here by 0.9C/hr.

It stalled at 3.3 and went back down, but stalled at 2.8. Very disappointing minimum temperatures here to say the least!

[Dorsetbred]

Seeing the temp no rise here, oh well autumn is almost at the end, not sure winter is going to do too much better though..

[matt111]

Just like last night it's been sat at 2.8°C for over an hour now.