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North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards

Deep Snow please

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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted (edited)

12z downgrades the snow for tomorrow morning ..

bulk of the snow goes thru cumbria..

good for them, another kick in the goolies for us in greater manchester etc..

esit ukmo looks better at 24 hours tho lol

gfs

gfs-0-24.png?12

ukmo

Modele UKMO - Carte prévisions

staggering there is still subtle but important differencs at TWENTY FOUR hours out!

Edited by northwestsnow
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robbo88 Enthusiast

robbo88

Posted
  • Location: Hattersley, greater manchester 160m asl.
  • Location: Hattersley, greater manchester 160m asl.
Posted
5 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

12z downgrades the snow for tomorrow morning ..

bulk of the snow goes thru cumbria..

good for them, another kick in the goolies for us in greater manchester etc..

Looks fine to me? Snow from 6am for a few hours.

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted
7 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

12z downgrades the snow for tomorrow morning ..

bulk of the snow goes thru cumbria..

good for them, another kick in the goolies for us in greater manchester etc..

esit ukmo looks better at 24 hours tho lol

gfs

gfs-0-24.png?12

ukmo

Modele UKMO - Carte prévisions

staggering there is still subtle but important differencs at TWENTY FOUR hours out!

And Cheshire/Merseyside

C.S

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Not bad at all!

This Evening and Tonight:

Starting cloudy and wet this evening, but the rain will gradually clear away with clearing skies allowing temperatures to fall sharply, giving a risk of ice. Scattered snow showers push in later, with a covering in many places by morning. Minimum temperature -1 °C.

Friday:

Friday will see a mixture of sunshine and scattered hail, sleet and snow showers, with further accumulations of snow in places. The brisk wind will make it feel especially cold. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Turning wet and windy on Saturday with some hill snow. Sunshine and blustery snow showers returning on Sunday. A few snow showers still on Monday, but plenty of bright spells.

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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
Just now, robbo88 said:

Looks fine to me? Snow from 6am for a few hours.

GFS hardly shows anything imby, you can see the subtle but important difference at just 24 hours when you zoom in, by sunday the difference is even more marked..

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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Not bad at all!

This Evening and Tonight:

Starting cloudy and wet this evening, but the rain will gradually clear away with clearing skies allowing temperatures to fall sharply, giving a risk of ice. Scattered snow showers push in later, with a covering in many places by morning. Minimum temperature -1 °C.

Friday:

Friday will see a mixture of sunshine and scattered hail, sleet and snow showers, with further accumulations of snow in places. The brisk wind will make it feel especially cold. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Turning wet and windy on Saturday with some hill snow. Sunshine and blustery snow showers returning on Sunday. A few snow showers still on Monday, but plenty of bright spells.

Evidently they dont believe misery euro4 as that thing doesnt show lying snow anywhere apart from the pennines..

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Evidently they dont believe misery euro4 as that thing doesnt show lying snow anywhere apart from the pennines..

Well i’d value the text forecast over 1 model output every day of the week. 

Edited by Chris.R
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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted (edited)

image.thumb.png.11c6767b3f61ad614c41ac59822e7ea2.png

image.thumb.png.5372b75b854f082ae9fa48739c133a60.png

image.thumb.png.85e0930eedd6f84800bae5864816177a.png

image.thumb.png.ce244cd4c24883860e3f4c977a2a1f66.png

Widespread snow Tuesday?? Looking interesting.

It only needs to shift abit further south.

Edited by pip22
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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted (edited)

If this cleared, then froze, then had snow showers, then there could be issues tomorrow.

Edited by Darren Bown
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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted

Still looking good according to GFS for Friday:

image.thumb.png.f5f25c5e5848e7ef7ea6dfb7473e9a47.png

image.thumb.png.47d6c9d1d7188299737a4d4b2d7e8cd2.png

image.thumb.png.088eeeb3383bdcfeab9198427e39787f.png

 

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SP1986 Accomplished

SP1986

Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
Posted

If I see white flakes falling tomorrow...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I'm going to buy head and shoulders. :rofl:

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted (edited)

It looks to be quite a drop in temps tonight as it’s 8c currently here, expected to be around 1-2c by 5am and not expected to rise much during the day.

Edited by Darren Bown
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itsnowjoke Veteran

itsnowjoke

Posted
  • Location: North west England/East Lancashire/Burnley
  • Location: North west England/East Lancashire/Burnley
Posted
13 minutes ago, SP1986 said:

If I see white flakes falling tomorrow...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I'm going to buy head and shoulders. :rofl:

Scrolling down your post then I thought you had passed out lol then I saw the extra bit at the bottom 

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

My view on tomorrow & the weekend.

Headline - Anything but boring!

Friday

A spell of snow to move through the region early morning, enough to give a covering just about anywhere I would imagine. I can see snow falling right down to sea level but maybe not settling near the coast, once this passes through an afternoon of sunshine and scattered snow showers, more so in the South and more like hail/sleet toward the coast by this stage.

Precipitation

AM

18-574UK.thumb.GIF.7a35d5f65dcf8740ace7d63124caac23.GIF21-574UK.thumb.GIF.89a8008bd823621cee757e68084f530c.GIF

PM

24-574UK.thumb.GIF.1ff6c10e5a837d737d896dbf9955ea70.GIF27-574UK.thumb.GIF.0bc1f9cbc27d7f7f39d842bc76d0cdaa.GIF

Temperatures - COLD

0c - 4c dropping in any showers.

18-580UK.thumb.GIF.32f616da79cfda8f4b6cbbb07169b339.GIF21-580UK.thumb.GIF.a10af38bdfc5935e15e99573d842a87f.GIF24-580UK.thumb.GIF.c8a3d724e21119e0e689e498570a336c.GIF27-580UK.thumb.GIF.ea58f06e6162f2994f6e3235d864ff03.GIF

Dewpoints

Not marginal that's for sure!

18-101UK.thumb.GIF.be8b6aa5c1c55fe613193d9047772c60.GIF21-101UK.thumb.GIF.56d519ba28cde91c8b9c23c42df6f348.GIF24-101UK.thumb.GIF.2a75884fee92fbf22cf80b540ba741bf.GIF27-101UK.thumb.GIF.aa2e8e3b2ff81baf824db918e580fd4b.GIF

850's

-7, -8, -9

18-7UK.thumb.GIF.c50a9de1be0e2f37c75dd0b27669368c.GIF21-7UK.thumb.GIF.d13a63a6570ba85433ff678bcf368d5e.GIF24-7UK.thumb.GIF.579c04e56fdc2fc6fd84dec5e1c5c2f7.GIF27-7UK.thumb.GIF.a28052dcca9a654fd5e59811189b742f.GIF

 

Saturday

A horrible day with wind & rain throughout, maybe some early transient snow on the hills. :bad:

42-574UK.thumb.GIF.eaa3ad6487e8f7c7e2594074b3786286.GIF48-574UK.thumb.GIF.009fc0f5dbf38374919e7f67f5652ea2.GIF

 

Sunday

The least marginal looking day out of the three as it stands.

Sunshine & snow showers throughout the day becoming more widespread and turning heavier by afternoon/evening! I expect a warning to appear for this too.

Precipitation

AM

69-574UK.thumb.GIF.4af510a6c60bc9b01987bded163c74ba.GIF

PM

72-574UK.thumb.GIF.fd552a5cc1b373f073bb2b1f7bb2877a.GIF75-574UK.thumb.GIF.dce1b17aee22f2cf1afd39a9b303befd.GIF78-574UK.thumb.GIF.10a3b728466e1f855385b11e62c311d1.GIF81-574UK.thumb.GIF.d478734d8a53fc0d9d3b752eba2899cf.GIF

Temperatures

Colder than Friday!

72-580UK.thumb.GIF.c5286d8942f3a9e149f96cbe19b5bfad.GIF75-580UK.thumb.GIF.c700da7f56ac3bcb1e3ef7a66da5b046.GIF78-580UK.thumb.GIF.bcc8771d9295675f9bc8a1b603a38c07.GIF81-580UK.thumb.GIF.3a2590b6c78d9ee43ccf7c64af7c65f3.GIF

Dewpoints

Can't argue with these!

72-101UK.thumb.GIF.0764fcb8f3ebdabf6087f450304e5290.GIF75-101UK.thumb.GIF.2d126dd727fec9334e58d9e2b2bd9a7f.GIF78-101UK.thumb.GIF.7e489608d9dda8d2c5e851dcf8d13128.GIF81-101UK.thumb.GIF.ca1dfbae654afc39c86dedbdf4f101fa.GIF

850's

-8, -9 and small pockets of -10's

72-7UK.thumb.GIF.b57452bea532014a5efbd5e6681fac41.GIF75-7UK.thumb.GIF.7ef72ad6997e6ed8ff99b7147ddd1236.GIF78-7UK.thumb.GIF.d8043759fa72c19c6779b86c83330bf7.GIF81-7UK.thumb.GIF.827fd965c53d6c7c2c156e07184cdb90.GIF

 

All in all plenty to be interested in if you are a cold & snow fan, as it stands tomorrow looks good for quite a few for at least another dusting, Saturday looks down right crap but then Sunday looks to end the weekend very cold with snow on the cards once again.

I hope this helps - as ever it may change as you know our weather and our luck but snow is on the cards guys & girls so good luck! :good::cold:

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Thanks Day 10 great post :)

Karyo mentioned earlier sunday looks good, lets hope it stays that way ..

:good:

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

And this is exactly why I'm getting excited as are many others on here for Mid-month onward.

The trend is growing for a very good cold spell indeed.

Look at this, mother of all blocks with brutal cold building to the East!

gfsnh-0-324.thumb.png.d32f86a05bb10bac8cb592e94b22b1ad.pnggfsnh-0-336.thumb.png.ab2531e887d6acba7c3c568b6cf935ed.pnggfsnh-0-348.thumb.png.2e7704356c76cae62fe5cb56cd44bcca.png

gfsnh-0-360.thumb.png.3306a3388e411b62c016bb6263093ff7.pnggfsnh-0-372.thumb.png.3e7d9c74a62ef0a54890155c7179805d.pnggfsnh-0-384.thumb.png.bfc1775417926d61d0b9af2317bebf24.png

gfsnh-1-384.thumb.png.a34fd732bc2779c07c437b69b5f6fbcf.png

 

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Deep Snow please Rising Star

Deep Snow please

Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Author
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Darren Bown said:

If this cleared, then froze, then had snow showers, then there could be issues tomorrow.

If my grandmother had wheels she would have been a bike

Edited by Deep Snow please
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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
13 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:

louise leer forecast didnt show any snow over cumbria tomorrow morning 

GFS takes the bulk of the precip over cumbria, ukmo/ecm i suspect are a bit more south then cumbria with the precip..

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