North west regional discussion

[Had Worse]

6 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Its begging to reek of desperation in here ,I'm calling it a bust so I'll see you lot next weekend 

How long would it take with your digging equipment to take a 1000ft off the tops of the Pennines?

Edited February 24, 2018 by Had Worse

[chris78]

Come on everyone, there is a really interesting week coming up, it's not ALL about snow in your garden is it?  If it is those who live on the West Coast are setting up for allot of misery over the years.  I'd love to see snow, but I'll still enjoy this week without it. 

[Mokidugway]

5 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

How long would it take with your digging equipment to take a 1000ft off the tops of the Pennines?

It's done in strip mining in the appalachians, mountain top removal ,about 250 million metric ton,about 10 million truck loads ,a while lol

[Had Worse]

Just now, Mokidugway said:

It's done in strip mining in the appalachians, mountain top removal ,about 250 million metric ton,about 10 million truck loads ,a while lol

Thats fine, you have until Tuesday to complete the task.

[Wardlegacy]

1 hour ago, johnwirral said:

I think they should remove the model thread and replace it with the South East regional discussion....

Steve Bore and others saying that GFS is better now that its got rid of the widespread heavy snow for the NW and Midlands...

Because it is. He is right. Why wish the ushering in of mild uppers? I think you do a disservice to Steve who has given a great commentary on the models for many years and is the first to celebrate snow wherever it falls.

[karyo]

Not a great ECM from 96 hours onwards. The southeasterly sets in earlier which is not good for our shower activity and the uppers riser by the end of the week.

[SP1986]

ignore the potential milder incursion at your peril.. there's some consistency in it now to be honest.. it'll also take alot to bring in these extremely cold uppers we will get early next week back in afterwards, as it may then start the journey northward (the jet). It may still be cold though.

I think the key to satisfaction is concentrate on the near -term.. some extreme uppers of which we rarely see.. and also the snow potential on Tuesday.

[northwestsnow]

9 minutes ago, karyo said:

Not a great ECM from 96 hours onwards. The southeasterly sets in earlier which is not good for our shower activity and the uppers riser by the end of the week.

its awful.

[gearbox100]

I think it's all just too far away to call what will happen to be honest. I expect downgrades and I expect rain at some point. If we get something different then bonus. 

[Mokidugway]

4 minutes ago, gearbox100 said:

I think it's all just too far away to call what will happen to be honest. I expect downgrades and I expect rain at some point. If we get something different then bonus. 

And downgrades begin Friday , thurs 

[iand61]

All this talk of breakdowns and milder weather coming sooner than expected.

Each to their own I suppose but i’ll gladly take a week of bitter cold and snow before winter sods off for another year and we get something warmer.

that said though the Met outlook is anything but mild with upgrades in snow potential over the coming weeks.

[SP1986]

1 minute ago, iand61 said:

All this talk of breakdowns and milder weather coming sooner than expected.

Each to their own I suppose but i’ll gladly take a week of bitter cold and snow before winter sods off for another year and we get something warmer.

that said though the Met outlook is anything but mild with upgrades in snow potential over the coming weeks.

To be fair though the big 4 (models) only really picked up on this tonight and actually, in sense the Met-Office must have had some idea about a potential breakdown and they did say in their information broadcast that there may be one or two mild incursions.. they knew that already.

[Weather-history]

Latest FAX charts, that little system tracks through our region and a trough follows in the flow. Definitely look at the FAX charts, the 96hrs and 120hr FAX charts will be interesting tonight.

 

[Chris.R]

WTF my mod thread post got deleted in 30 seconds. Quite p**sed off now as it wasn’t that off topic compared to a lot of the utter tripe  in there tonight. 

[SP1986]

4 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Latest FAX charts, that little system tracks through our region and a trough follows in the flow. Definitely look at the FAX charts, the 96hrs and 120hr FAX charts will be interesting tonight.

 

interestingly that little warm sector on the right chart shows up in the temperature correspondance... Liverpool AP rises to +1C and Hawarden to +2C for a time.. however as fair as I know it has no bearing on the precipitation type which should be firmly snow.

[Day 10]

I go out for a few beers and come home to utter carnage in the MOD thread. A balanced view in here perhaps? Continuing the beers whatever the response 

[Weather-history]

I just had a look at what the Met Office are saying for Friday on their 5 day forecast for my area, it doesn't tally with what UKMO 12z shows for Friday. Not at the moment anyway. 

 

 

 

[SP1986]

3 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

I go out for a few beers and come home to utter carnage in the MOD thread. A balanced view in here perhaps? Continuing the beers whatever the response 

from someone who won't be utterly depressed if it goes pear shaped, I'd say to my more neutral standing.. a trend has probably been picked up, but when I run the potential solutions along, it suggests to me it is a milder blip, and I think a second attempted easterly/northeasterly will occur later on

[Had Worse]

6 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

WTF my mod thread post got deleted in 30 seconds. Quite p**sed off now as it wasn’t that off topic compared to a lot of the utter tripe  in there tonight. 

Is that a record.

Id contact the Guiness book of records if I were you. Could be your claim to fame.

[Had Worse]

1 minute ago, Weather-history said:

I just had a look at what the Met Office are saying for Friday on their 5 day forecast for my area, it doesn't tally with what UKMO 12z shows for Friday. Not at the moment anyway. 

 

 

 

I generally find that if they are on the fence with what the conditions will be, they put light cloud and 2C 

[Mokidugway]

10 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

WTF my mod thread post got deleted in 30 seconds. Quite p**sed off now as it wasn’t that off topic compared to a lot of the utter tripe  in there tonight. 

You learn to stop posting in there as it's a bias sh8thole 

[Weather-history]

2 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

I generally find that if they are on the fence with what the conditions will be, they put light cloud and 2C 

I just looked at London's forecast for Friday, goes for an easterly all day, no way there will an easterly all day for London based on the UKMO 12z. Anyway, we will see if changes. 

[karyo]

I posted in the MO thread 7 minutes ago and my post is still there! Woohoo! 

[Day 10]

1 minute ago, SP1986 said:

from someone who won't be utterly depressed if it goes pear shaped, I'd say to my more neutral standing.. a trend has probably been picked up, but when I run the potential solutions along, it suggests to me it is a milder blip, and I think a second attempted easterly/northeasterly will occur later on

I agree. I always take anything upto 120 seriously, anything past that can be pretty to look at at times but has to be taken with a huge pinch of salt. Not viewed charts properly (might have something to do with the beer) but not convinced the milder air would power in esp as per ECM.

Looking a great week for the region coming up and right now that's all that matters! CHEERS! 

[Snow free zone]

16 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

WTF my mod thread post got deleted in 30 seconds. Quite p**sed off now as it wasn’t that off topic compared to a lot of the utter tripe  in there tonight. 

Change your location to Watford or somewhere in Kent I'm sure it'll stick around for a while longer if you do ?