North West Regional Discussion 3 June 2020 onwards

[Spah1]

just unbelievable how this band has come down from the north skipped past Lancashire then decided to push East under me. 

[Backtrack]

Well I’m eating my own words again. Everywhere white as I woke up. Fantastic. 

[trickydicky]

If I had £10 for every frontal snow event that missed me to the south over the last few snowless years I’d have at least... £40 or £50. 

[Backtrack]

It’s still snowing here moderately! However.. drip drip drip

[Mark_p]

Delighted that it's still here I thought it would have probably have turned to rain when I eventually fell asleep hah.

[cheshire snow]

5 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

It’s still snowing here moderately! However.. drip drip drip

Yes unfortunately the drip drip no worries though models showing another event overnight And another on Thursday all this as a starter before the main course this is going to be a January to remember 

C.S

[Backtrack]

1 minute ago, cheshire snow said:

Yes unfortunately the drip drip no worries though models showing another event overnight And another on Thursday all this as a starter before the main course this is going to be a January to remember 

C.S

I hope so mate! That would be great. The little one is absolutely buzzing this morning. This hopefully just a taster. But it’s unusual we get 5 hours of constant snow. If it was a bit colder, 3-4’ by now for sure. But seems it needed the huge flakes to lay down a base covering first

[The Northern Ramper]

Well to miss two snow events inside 24 hours by a few miles north and south is a real jaffa cakeser.

[severe snowstorm]

Manchester Airport forecast indicating chance of snow again overnight.

[wrightc23]

Appears to have stopped here for now. That's the most snow I've seen in many years.

[dodge]

Well for once the hilly parts of the region to the east missed the snow invite as the frontal band hit the buffers just at the M60 westbound...glad I didn't stay up for that.  Good to see those out west got their wintry falls.  Cold week coming up.

[Winter Hill]

8 minutes ago, Ramp said:

Well to miss two snow events inside 24 hours by a few miles north and south is a real jaffa cakeser.

Snap 

Must have missed me by a couple of miles.. unbelievable

[Backtrack]

Weird, met office video forecast shows no PPN signal for right now, shows dryness across the region. Their modelling suggests the front will backbuild around 9-10am and rejuvenate to bring heavy snow back for a couple of hours before dissipating. Won’t happen, no energy... 

 

GFS shows a feature moving in from the east to affect all parts by tomorrow morning. What’s it on? That’s unlikely too...

[damianslaw]

Major bust for Cumbria, not one snowflake here, the front decided to pivot away from us as it hit the coast. Very unfortunate on this occasion. Not sure why it did this. 

[severe snowstorm]

Just now, Backtrack said:

Weird, met office video forecast shows no PPN signal for right now, shows dryness across the region. Their modelling suggests the front will backbuild around 9-10am and rejuvenate to bring heavy snow back for a couple of hours before dissipating. Won’t happen, no energy... 

 

GFS shows a feature moving in from the east to affect all parts by tomorrow morning. What’s it on? That’s unlikely too...

Metoffice have a poor track record of nowcasting in recent times. It's like they don't check the radar etc to verify current model predictions are correct. It's rather odd.

[iand61]

well after spending most of the last 20 hours either too far south, east or north of anything falling from the sky I’ve got my shovel available to borrow if any of you lucky people need snow shifting

never mind there is a chance of something from the east later today although no doubt the mighty Pennines will stop that dead in its tracks and give Yorkshire a covering instead

[Weather-history]

11 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

Major bust for Cumbria, not one snowflake here, the front decided to pivot away from us as it hit the coast. Very unfortunate on this occasion. Not sure why it did this. 

Referring back to that December 2000 snowfall, 20 years ago this morning as well, it started here about the same time of the day and the SW parts of Greater Manchester did better than the hilly NE although back then they did get snow, this time they got next to nothing. 

Edited December 28, 2020 by Weather-history

[cheshire snow]

4 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

Weird, met office video forecast shows no PPN signal for right now, shows dryness across the region. Their modelling suggests the front will backbuild around 9-10am and rejuvenate to bring heavy snow back for a couple of hours before dissipating. Won’t happen, no energy... 

 

GFS shows a feature moving in from the east to affect all parts by tomorrow morning. What’s it on? That’s unlikely too...

Ref tomorrow morning 

This has been picked up from the ECM as well posted on it last night snow showers in a line roughly from Hull to Stoke likely at this stage to effect Eastern and Southern areas of the region.

OK enough for now going to go and play in the snow before it thaws

C.S

[Weather-history]

3 minutes ago, Dexter said:

Metoffice have a poor track record of nowcasting in recent times. It's like they don't check the radar etc to verify current model predictions are correct. It's rather odd.

The Met Office text forecast this morning was a shocker. They don't seem to be nimble on their feet with this. That's twice this month I think. 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

8 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

Major bust for Cumbria, not one snowflake here, the front decided to pivot away from us as it hit the coast. Very unfortunate on this occasion. Not sure why it did this. 

not bad damian, comparing it to 2000, event wise! synoptically different though

[Day 10]

21 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Yes unfortunately the drip drip no worries though models showing another event overnight And another on Thursday all this as a starter before the main course this is going to be a January to remember 

C.S

Raging blizzard outside can't open my front door.....

 

In all seriousness good to see snow for some who struggle to get it, wet snow fell here but didn't stick, not surprised as it was always going to be very marginal at the coast in this kind of setup.

Similar theme rest of the week, some will get snow some won't. Longer term still looks very good indeed, this could shape up to be the best January for many years. Pretty sure we will all see the white stuff in the coming weeks. Good charts in general yet again, not sure why some are being so dismissive.

Nice pics mate

[Kasim Awan]

26 minutes ago, Dexter said:

Manchester Airport forecast indicating chance of snow again overnight.

Agree. We need to watch this one esp those closer to the Pennines Oldham etc possible candidates atm.

[Deep Snow please]

And here comes the sun to start the thawing job on yesterday's haul. Thankfully enough of it that it'll have it's work cut out. 

 

Looks like the NW Forecast thinks we might have another bit of a shot overnight tonight as well!!! Remarkable. 

[damianslaw]

9 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

not bad damian, comparing it to 2000, event wise! synoptically different though

I jinxed it by comparing it to then. Looking at current synoptic, the centre of the low is over N Wales right now, and I can see how the front has wrapped itself within the centre on an anti-clockwise rotation, ended up elongation on a NW-SE axis, having started on NE-SW axis, then swung N-S axis, broke up here as it hit the coast then rotated NW-SE away from us. Not your average frontal feature.

[Deep Snow please]

Southerner thread has now decided most of us live in the Midlands, just popping back here for some sanity. 

 

On the brightside this and actual snow event for the 2020/21 winter so I can probably wipe my sig.