North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

[raul_sbd]

1 minute ago, Weather-history said:

Temperature has been fluctuating but it has dipped to -3.6C now

Only -0.6c here in Sale.. amazing difference being that close

[BlazeStorm]

4 hours ago, Had Worse said:

Compared with the 12z GFS, this is 5 hours earlier than this

Not far from clearing Ireland now.

Could reach us in the early hours of the morning (3/4am) if it does not decide to track south. 

Really appreciate you pointing this out. Looking promising!

[Backtrack]

2 minutes ago, BlazeStorm said:

Not far from clearing Ireland now.

Could reach us in the early hours of the morning (3/4am) if it does not decide to track south. 

Really appreciate you pointing this out. Looking promising!

You can see it’s already starting to pivot even on that still. Probably won’t even get north of Birmingham 

[SnowWatcher2]

Interesting.. Live radar vs what was predicted from the 18Z run

 

[Backtrack]

1 minute ago, SnowWatcher2 said:

Interesting.. Live radar vs what was predicted from the 18Z run

 

I’ve just been looking at that too. It looks like the northern arm of the front is modelled to die out. We don’t want it to. 

[Jayfromcardiff]

3 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

You can see it’s already starting to pivot even on that still. Probably won’t even get north of Birmingham 

I'm praying I get at least a dusting down here. Enjoyed all the snow pictures from this thread!

[SP1986]

Just now, Backtrack said:

I’ve just been looking at that too. It looks like the northern arm of the front is modelled to die out. We don’t want it to. 

I personally think it will end up in the place it was previously modelled but it will arrive quicker than modelled.

[Had Worse]

Infrared satellite images of United Kingdom and Ireland, Clouds in United Kingdom and Ireland at night and in the evening. Weather United Kingdom and Ireland, Satellite Weather United Kingdom and Ireland, Rain in United Kingdom and Ireland - SAT24.com

EN.SAT24.COM

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Infrared satellite images of United Kingdom and Ireland, Clouds in United Kingdom and Ireland at night and in the evening. Weather United Kingdom and Ireland, Satellite Weather United Kingdom and Ireland, Rain...

 

Edited January 23, 2021 by Had Worse

[BlazeStorm]

4 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

You can see it’s already starting to pivot even on that still. Probably won’t even get north of Birmingham 

Yes, did not see that either. The pivot much more noticeable on the Meteo 3hr radar! 

Will check again around midnight.

[cheshire snow]

This evenings icon lost the plot six hours of snow for cheshire and south liverpool 

C.S

[Backtrack]

11 minutes ago, SP1986 said:

I personally think it will end up in the place it was previously modelled but it will arrive quicker than modelled.

Where’s that, the moon? it’s been modelled pretty much everywhere but!

[Backtrack]

3 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

This evenings icon lost the plot six hours of snow for cheshire and south liverpool 

C.S

For tomorrow’s front?

[Backtrack]

12 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

I'm praying I get at least a dusting down here. Enjoyed all the snow pictures from this thread!

I’d say Cardiff was in a fairly decent spot! I recall a couple of red warnings for your area in the past 5 years or so. Decent little place for a proper mixed bag 

[Backtrack]

We are approaching -2C. That’s our forecast low for the night. Only, it’s almost four hours earlier than forecast. Might see -4/-5 tonight. 

[Dan B]

Just looked at the temp gauge in the greenhouse (whilst stalking an owl in the woods at the bottom of the garden, no wonder the cat wouldn't come in)

 

It's reading - 1.5°C and its generally 1.5 to 2 degrees colder outside of the greenhouse. 

 

It's lethally icy out there, skies are crystal clear

Edited January 23, 2021 by Dan B

[Snowman1973]

Good Evening all, being a complete novice looking at the radar, is it me or does it semm to pivot early over Dublin and start tracking NE may be some suprises?

[cheshire snow]

29 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

For tomorrow’s front?

Yep GFS 18z has the same track as the icon

C.S

[SnowWatcher2]

Just noticed a few snow symbols now also popping up on Met app for tomorrow...

[Geordiesnow]

Clearly the further south in the region, the risk for snow increases but looking at the radar and predictions, they seem fairly similar too me. 

Unless something develops in the Irish Sea before the front, for the vast majority it look an uneventful night.

[cheshire snow]

According to the week ahead forecast Tuesday-friday milder with spells of rain from Saturday turning colder again with PPN turning to snow.

C.S

Still uncertainty how far north the front goes tomorrow according to Nick Miller on the weather just now the northern boundary on the Graphics was over cheshire south Liverpool area.

C.S

Edited January 23, 2021 by cheshire snow

[Had Worse]

Did any one notice that there seems to be a second circulation to the top left on Sat 24 in addition to the low just to the NW of Ireland?

[WillinGlossop]

Big pivot over Ireland... will concentrate circulation over south midlands... not coming up our way... hope friends and family in Somerset and Kent get a bit of snow

[WillinGlossop]

Just now, Had Worse said:

Did any one notice that there seems to be a second circulation to the top left on Sat 24 in addition to the low just to the NW of Ireland?

Been looking at that since yesterday but not sure about the trajectory 

[Mark_p]

Yeah it's pivoting already it might even go south of Birmingham looking at it. Sliders are frustrating for our part of the world but a lot of places down south have yet to see their first snowfall. At least this wasn't as bad as the infamous 'slider gate' of a few years ago heh.

[SnowWatcher2]

n/a

Edited January 23, 2021 by SnowWatcher2