South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[Leon1]

 

[Andy Bown]

Variable old day, lurching from bright sunny spells to downright gloomy and drizzly then repeat. 11c breached for the first time since 23rd December.

[Wiltshireweatherwatcher]

52 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

 

This will be a good test for the GFS-P. Second run I think that it’s stuck to its guns and kept the snowfall to the south. We can but hope.

[CheesepuffScott]

Cloudy with drizzle at times, although we had a brief spell of hazy sunshine earlier. Mild with a high of 13.4°C at: 12:32

Currently 10.4°C

[Mapantz]

4 hours ago, Rich_Clements said:

I would be interested to know how you get on with that.

Early impressions are excellent. Camera is insane, especially the 10x optical zoom.

[kumquat]

48 minutes ago, bathweatherwatcher said:

This will be a good test for the GFS-P. Second run I think that it’s stuck to its guns and kept the snowfall to the south. We can but hope.

I've noticed that the para tends to have a lot more ppn in general than the GFS Op, regardless of synoptics. Hope it's right.

[Jayfromcardiff]

31 minutes ago, kumquat said:

I've noticed that the para tends to have a lot more ppn in general than the GFS Op, regardless of synoptics. Hope it's right.

ECM is further South! Hopefully we can all get in on the snow action.

[Wiltshireweatherwatcher]

12 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

ECM is further South! Hopefully we can all get in on the snow action.

You look well set for this weekend Jay. Wales looks in for an absolute pasting according to the latest ECM run.

[Jayfromcardiff]

9 minutes ago, bathweatherwatcher said:

You look well set for this weekend Jay. Wales looks in for an absolute pasting according to the latest ECM run.

I'm just under 100m in Caerphilly so should fair better than I used to in Cardiff. I'm still not confident of the snow though until I see it fall.

[SilverWolf]

Very IMBY post, sorry. Snow accumulation end Sunday - where’s all the Stroudies! 

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, SilverWolf said:

Very IMBY post, sorry. Snow accumulation end Sunday - where’s all the Stroudies! 

Looks decent for you! 

[SilverWolf]

4 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Looks decent for you! 

It does... we kind of did alright last weekend here, especially in the hills. I was putting a fence up in Minchinhampton (quite high up) on Tuesday that still had 3 inches of snow on the grass first thing in the morning.. 

Edited January 28, 2021 by SilverWolf

[Leon1]

3 minutes ago, SilverWolf said:

Very IMBY post, sorry. Snow accumulation end Sunday - where’s all the Stroudies! 

That is so close to me! Looking good anyway though for those who get it 

This would be like early December 2017 when I could see the snowline a few miles from my house. 

[MP-R]

Thoroughly rank out there at the moment. Warm too at 10C.

Fingers crosses for corrections south of this weekend’s snow.

[SilverWolf]

8 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

That is so close to me! Looking good anyway though for those who get it 

This would be like early December 2017 when I could see the snowline a few miles from my house. 

It may well move south a bit as well...there is talk of it stalling earlier than last weekends and moving south again. I guess that’s why the amounts are quite high in certain areas at the moment. ‘Course it could rain in the whole region! 

[Wiltshireweatherwatcher]

1 minute ago, MP-R said:

Thoroughly rank out there at the moment. Warm too at 10C.

Fingers crosses for corrections south of this weekend’s snow.

Euro4 has it a little further South. I don’t hear much about this model these days so assume it’s not taken seriously anymore.

[MP-R]

6 minutes ago, bathweatherwatcher said:

Euro4 has it a little further South. I don’t hear much about this model these days so assume it’s not taken seriously anymore.

I think perhaps because it’s not favourable for the midlands lol. This year is the winter of the midlands northwards so far.

[alex12]

How much further south for us all to be in the game?

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, MP-R said:

I think perhaps because it’s not favourable for the midlands lol. This year is the winter of the midlands northwards so far.

I think it'll correct southwards a bit more.

[Wiltshireweatherwatcher]

7 minutes ago, MP-R said:

I think perhaps because it’s not favourable for the midlands lol. This year is the winter of the midlands northwards so far.

The sooner this current weather set up ends the better. Signs are that is going to happen next month.

Just been posted in MOD thread UKV is a little further South as well. 

[CheesepuffScott]

Wet and mild. 10.1°C

[Adrian Major]

1 hour ago, SilverWolf said:

Very IMBY post, sorry. Snow accumulation end Sunday - where’s all the Stroudies! 

Here! I will take that!

[SilverWolf]

1 hour ago, MP-R said:

I think perhaps because it’s not favourable for the midlands lol. This year is the winter of the midlands northwards so far.

Sorry if you’ve not had any snow, really, but to be fair I’m in the south west and I’ve had 4 days of falling and lying snow (3 were a bit crap admittedly), and more frosts than last winter. Not to mention 2 thunder events since mid December, hailstorms and crazy monsoon rain leading to flash flooding. And were only really halfway through winter.... 

This has been the most interesting winter weather wise for over a decade for me, and I don’t live in the Midlands! 

Edited January 28, 2021 by SilverWolf

[Don]

1 hour ago, bathweatherwatcher said:

The sooner this current weather set up ends the better. Signs are that is going to happen next month.

Just been posted in MOD thread UKV is a little further South as well. 

Looks like currently my location will narrowly miss out this weekend for snow with places further to the north and towards London more in the game.  A bit like last Sunday in fact, which would be frustrating!  Still, time for things to change and exact positioning not nailed yet.

Edited January 28, 2021 by Don

[Richard Fisher]

Looking good for our region this weekend if things go our way the West Country could get a pasting, perhaps Sunday night our best shot.

 

Edited January 28, 2021 by Richard Fisher