Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[Dancerwithwings]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

For the first time in my life I’m looking at freezing cold easterly model output and thinking ‘Bring back the Atlantic!’ because that brought more snow here than the charts are showing for this easterly

it’s not just snowfall I go for, I love extremes in temps

[I remember Atlantic 252]

6 minutes ago, Andypvfc said:

Being serious though folks, what sort of temps we looking at next week. 

People in the mod thread keep going on about the BFTE in 2018, however for us, I still say 2010 was far more severe. Never forget arriving at Manchester Airport one morning and it showing -15c at 7am.

 

Would class this being modeled as a beast, -10 and lower uppers for at least 3 days, 7-9 Feb, perhaps my location normally does well, as no high ground to my East

[MattStoke]

6 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

it’s not just snowfall I go for, I love extremes in temps

Anything beats mild winter weather.

I’d have expected colder day time maximums from the GFS raw data to be honest.

[weirpig]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

Anything beats mild winter weather.

I’d have expected colder day time maximums from the GFS raw data to be honest.

Yep I think they are underdone a tad   add the windchill  prob feel around -5 

[Andypvfc]

What made 2018 worse, was Storm Emma. It got as Far as Brum and stopped. . If we are going get the same, the least it can do is give us a front that gets as far as Cheshire lol

[MattStoke]

2 minutes ago, Andypvfc said:

What made 2018 worse, was Storm Emma. It got as Far as Brum and stopped. . If we are going get the same, the least it can do is give us a front that gets as far as Cheshire lol

Really hard to get a front that comes far north enough into the cold air without just blasting through and bringing in milder air. December 2017 was the best one I’ve seen here but even then the main bulk of the snow was further south.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

6 minutes ago, Andypvfc said:

What made 2018 worse, was Storm Emma. It got as Far as Brum and stopped. . If we are going get the same, the least it can do is give us a front that gets as far as Cheshire lol

Well it made it here srorm Emma

[MattStoke]

1 hour ago, weirpig said:

Yep I think they are underdone a tad   add the windchill  prob feel around -5 

 

 

[weirpig]

6 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

 

Lol   just a slight under estimate  by me   bloody cold 

[Andypvfc]

28 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Lol   just a slight under estimate  by me   bloody cold 

Getting close to the 2010 levels lol

[sheikhy]

Orange warning for snow up north

[Dancerwithwings]

Icon as the easterly  coming in late Friday into Saturday 

And the GFS pub run for Monday is  just epIc ..WOW  especially for the east of our region

 

Edited February 1, 2021 by Dancerwithwings

[Andypvfc]

Just been reading the N/W discussion. Can I cry now before moving to the States . If only lol

[Andypvfc]

The model discussion are suddenly getting worried lol

Then just seen this? 

[DerbyshireDales]

Heavy snow just started here in Matlock. Chucking it down. 
 

And an upgrade on Metoffice 

 

 

[marksp]

yep looking good now, hopefully another 2 to 4 hours

[James M]

Wrong thread

Edited February 2, 2021 by James M

[Andypvfc]

A thing of Beauty

[MattStoke]

So close to a good snow event in Stoke today. Damn mild air aloft rushed in a bit too quickly. *Weeps*.

0’C and pouring with rain.

Edited February 2, 2021 by MattStoke

[MattStoke]

5 hours ago, Andypvfc said:

The model discussion are suddenly getting worried lol

Then just seen this? 

Hmm. Which region in particular might benefit from battleground snow events across the heart of the U.K., I wonder  

Just viewed the GFS 0z though. Looks absolutely rubbish.

Edited February 2, 2021 by MattStoke

[cyclonic happiness]

I'm a bit worried about two things really.

1. America's east coast has gone into the freezer, and that usually fires up the jet stream and blows all the systems' through the UK rapidly.

2. The GFS is wobbling, and has flipped from severe cold to mild in the late reliable and FI.

I fear this'll be another watered down spell, and that like Saturday, we'll end up with sleet before the Atlantic powers through.

I really hope I'm wrong

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 hours ago, MattStoke said:

Hmm. Which region in particular might benefit from battleground snow events across the heart of the U.K., I wonder  

Just viewed the GFS 0z though. Looks absolutely rubbish.

SW England, aye GFS gone barmy cold is off, key EC later

[MattStoke]

56 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

SW England, aye GFS gone barmy cold is off, key EC later

Hopefully it’s just overdoing the northward shift of low pressure to the south. Would still favour a cold easterly at this stage. A cold easterly and that low to the south having some influence wouldn’t necessarily be a bad thing for our region though!

[Jason74]

Until we're down to 48 hours or less, then not taking anything granted with regards to an easterly. GFS has certainly caused some doubt today.

[DIS1970]

6 hours ago, Andypvfc said:

A thing of Beauty

That'll never happen.

Edited February 2, 2021 by DIS1970