Scotland Weather discussion

[Kayemill]

A couple of last nights Sunset courtesy of my wife.

[Norrance]

A couple of interesting photos this morning of the upper Tay valley from Iain Struthers looking firstly East and then West from above Aberfeldy.

Here the sun has become hazier as light cloud builds in from the South West. 9.6C

[Northernlights]

Going to be an interesting few days coming up      Local  forecast has us dry and windy to Saturday afternoon while less than a 100 miles away torrential rain is expected. An extreme example of the rain shadow effect of the Cairngorms  Some rain is forecast overnight Saturday to Sunday. In fact today newly dug areas of garden have a dusty surface.

[SW Saltire]

That’s the Red warning issued for between Dundee and Aberdeen. Hopefully people heed advice to avoid travel in that area and surrounding areas.

Lovely day yesterday, weak sunshine coming through. Breached 11c. Wind has picked up now though and is making it feel cold.

[tiff]

16 minutes ago, SW Saltire said:

That’s the Red warning issued for between Dundee and Aberdeen. Hopefully people heed advice to avoid travel in that area and surrounding areas.

Lovely day yesterday, weak sunshine coming through. Breached 11c. Wind has picked up now though and is making it feel cold.

 

[Ravelin]

18 minutes ago, SW Saltire said:

That’s the Red warning issued for between Dundee and Aberdeen. Hopefully people heed advice to avoid travel in that area and surrounding areas.

Luckily we'll have some flexibility regards travelling back home as that's both red rain and amber wind warnings along much of our route now. Probably leave travelling until Sunday to let the clear up take place, as I'm assuming A90 will be under water in the usual places.

Off to Lochmaben in a bit for 2 nights, then  Airdrie for another couple, neither journey should be troublesome, hopefully, and both relatively short.

Edited October 18, 2023 by Ravelin

[Ross B]

Yep sadly as I posted on Sunday it had red warning wretten all over it. Hope everyone stays safe or avoids travelling if they can. We're staying in the amber area and due to travel on Friday, wil just need to see what the roads are like as we don't have much choice. 

Yesterday was lovely, early frost and Freezing fog which then descended into the glens. Drove up to Pitlochry later in the day and sections of the fields were still under water. We witnessed some farmers out harvesting the last of what they could and one tractor was well and truly stuck in deep mud. 

 

 

 

[Northernlights]

1 hour ago, SW Saltire said:

That’s the Red warning issued for between Dundee and Aberdeen. Hopefully people heed advice to avoid travel in that area and surrounding areas.

Lovely day yesterday, weak sunshine coming through. Breached 11c. Wind has picked up now though and is making it feel cold.

According to young Mr Northernlights the Angus and Aberdeenshire machinery rings were messaging on social media last night for every tractor/combine and operator  who was available today to come forward to rescue the last of the cereal and tattie harvest as with this wind ground conditions were improving.

My old college friend just south of Aberdeen is into his last tattie field with extra help yesterday and should finish today barring break downs.    He also has a team hard behind the tattie lifter cultivating ground and sowing wheat.

Seems the wind will be our feature already gusting very strongly. Young Mr Northernlights has a job today rolling in winter beans behind a sower.

[Sceptical]

Is the red warning not for Stonehaven down to Arbroath/Dundee? Still undecided on commuting tomorrow/Friday, a couple of days off work might be sensible.

Edited October 18, 2023 by Sceptical

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

SEVERE FLASH FLOODING EVENT THURSDAY 19TH >>> TUESDAY 24TH OCTOBER 2023

FIFE, DUNDEE, PERTH ETC

I have discussed the dynamics in this post 

 

 

IM VERY WORRIED FOR THE ZONE FROM FORFAR > BRECHIN > EDZELL > FETTERCAIRN

SOME DATA INCREASES TOTALS HERE ANYWHERE UPTO 200-300 MM

WORTH REALISING ITS NOT SOLELY AN EAST BASED FLOOD AS A BIT OF A REVERSED FOEHN EFFECT SEES THE REGION A TAD WEST OF @Northernlights UP TO @Halfamilefromnowhere ALSO SERIOUSLY EFFECTED
MAIN THREATS FLASH FLOODING AND SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS (SEVERE WIND GUSTS ALSO A HAZARD), I'D ADVISE CANCELLING AND AVOIDING ALL TRAVEL IDEAS FOR FRIDAY IN PARTICULAR WHICH WILL SEE THE BIGGEST RAINFALL ACCUMULATING. RAINFALL WILL BEGIN BY THURSDAY MORN, AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW STARTS TO TRANSITION TO THE NORTHEAST + EAST INTO FRIDAY THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH MASSIVE RAIN RATES AND SIGNIFICANT WAVES BEING DRAWN DIRECTLY TOWARD THE FIFE & SCOTLAND EAST COAST WITH ACCOMPANYING INCREASING WIND GUSTS

[Halfamilefromnowhere]

25 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

SEVERE FLASH FLOODING EVENT THURSDAY 19TH >>> TUESDAY 24TH OCTOBER 2023

FIFE, DUNDEE, PERTH ETC

I have discussed the dynamics in this post 

 

 

IM VERY WORRIED FOR THE ZONE FROM FORFAR > BRECHIN > EDZELL > FETTERCAIRN

SOME DATA INCREASES TOTALS HERE ANYWHERE UPTO 200-300 MM

WORTH REALISING ITS NOT SOLELY AN EAST BASED FLOOD AS A BIT OF A REVERSED FOEHN EFFECT SEES THE REGION A TAD WEST OF @Northernlights UP TO @Halfamilefromnowhere ALSO SERIOUSLY EFFECTED
MAIN THREATS FLASH FLOODING AND SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS (SEVERE WIND GUSTS ALSO A HAZARD), I'D ADVISE CANCELLING AND AVOIDING ALL TRAVEL IDEAS FOR FRIDAY IN PARTICULAR WHICH WILL SEE THE BIGGEST RAINFALL ACCUMULATING. RAINFALL WILL BEGIN BY THURSDAY MORN, AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW STARTS TO TRANSITION TO THE NORTHEAST + EAST INTO FRIDAY THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH MASSIVE RAIN RATES AND SIGNIFICANT WAVES BEING DRAWN DIRECTLY TOWARD THE FIFE & SCOTLAND EAST COAST WITH ACCOMPANYING INCREASING WIND GUSTS

Waders at the ready, thankfully we are high up but looks grim none the less. Just working out as approximately one inch rain gives around ten inches snow we would be looking at around 30-40 inches on a se severe Gale, Aberdeenshire higher parts would be looking at 80-100 inches of snow so maybe good job it is not January!

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

2 hours ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

SEVERE FLASH FLOODING EVENT THURSDAY 19TH >>> TUESDAY 24TH OCTOBER 2023

FIFE, DUNDEE, PERTH ETC

I have discussed the dynamics in this post 

 

 

IM VERY WORRIED FOR THE ZONE FROM FORFAR > BRECHIN > EDZELL > FETTERCAIRN

SOME DATA INCREASES TOTALS HERE ANYWHERE UPTO 200-300 MM

WORTH REALISING ITS NOT SOLELY AN EAST BASED FLOOD AS A BIT OF A REVERSED FOEHN EFFECT SEES THE REGION A TAD WEST OF @Northernlights UP TO @Halfamilefromnowhere ALSO SERIOUSLY EFFECTED
MAIN THREATS FLASH FLOODING AND SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS (SEVERE WIND GUSTS ALSO A HAZARD), I'D ADVISE CANCELLING AND AVOIDING ALL TRAVEL IDEAS FOR FRIDAY IN PARTICULAR WHICH WILL SEE THE BIGGEST RAINFALL ACCUMULATING. RAINFALL WILL BEGIN BY THURSDAY MORN, AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW STARTS TO TRANSITION TO THE NORTHEAST + EAST INTO FRIDAY THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH MASSIVE RAIN RATES AND SIGNIFICANT WAVES BEING DRAWN DIRECTLY TOWARD THE FIFE & SCOTLAND EAST COAST WITH ACCOMPANYING INCREASING WIND GUSTS

Important point I'd like to note as areas outside the red warning will be just as important really 

 

[Glaswegianblizzard]

Very blustery in Greenock just now, less so in Gourock. Seems exposure to the east is going to be important as this storm blows through.

[Norrance]

A blustery day here too with a strengthening ESE wind. Mostly cloudy with just a few blue patches and a couple of showers first thing. Milder than of late at 12.8C

My daughter has just told me that all trains South from Aberdeen have been cancelled from tonight. A bit premature I would think for earlier tomorrow but I suppose that they are worried because of the crash near Stonehaven a couple of years ago. She was supposed to be coming down on the train Friday afternoon as my niece is getting married in NE Fife on Saturday but is now getting a bus early tomorrow. People are travelling from all over for the wedding with a lot coming up from Somerset as that is where the groom is from so hoping not too much disruption over the next couple of days.

[DR(S)NO]

Having experienced the awful weather a few Saturdays ago… just wanted to offer a ‘ take care, be alert’ message to everyone about to be affected by this storm.

The rainfall amounts forecasted are pretty scary…. Stay safe!

[101_North]

I'm in Jersey this week and the weather today has been awful. Strong winds and relentless torrential rain but it's clearing a bit now. I know it's nothing compared to what Scotland is about to get smashed with!

Stay safe folks!

[skifreak]

I was supposed to be travelling from Fort William to London on the Sleeper tomorrow (Thursday) evening. Plug was pulled on that service early afternoon. Now on a WHL service towards Queen Street to catch tonight’s Lowlander sleeper from Glasgow, got the last cabin on it which was fortunate!  My wheels are in London and I need to be there from lunchtime Friday through the weekend, so decided to bail while the going was good in case any problems develop on the WCML later tomorrow or Friday morning!

Edited October 18, 2023 by skifreak

[Hawesy]

1 hour ago, Norrance said:

A blustery day here too with a strengthening ESE wind. Mostly cloudy with just a few blue patches and a couple of showers first thing. Milder than of late at 12.8C

My daughter has just told me that all trains South from Aberdeen have been cancelled from tonight. A bit premature I would think for earlier tomorrow but I suppose that they are worried because of the crash near Stonehaven a couple of years ago. She was supposed to be coming down on the train Friday afternoon as my niece is getting married in NE Fife on Saturday but is now getting a bus early tomorrow. People are travelling from all over for the wedding with a lot coming up from Somerset as that is where the groom is from so hoping not too much disruption over the next couple of days.

Good luck with the wedding plans!

We’re just outside the Amber zone for rain but St Andrews is inside it. All a bit academic of course, it’s going to be nasty. Stay safe!

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

North of the red warning area and oan the top of a wee hill. Good for the rain I suppose, but we just had the massive hedge oan the new hoose taken down by half as we had no view. Feeling a bit exposed now! But then it used to be that low from an examination, and the hoose has survived many a storm. Solid Aberdeenshire granite should keep it in one place!

I'm stocked up and going nowhere until it blows over.  

Edited October 18, 2023 by Scottish-Irish Skier

[Sceptical]

^^ Casually flipping through my book of "won't be into work today" excuses.

Despite waving the Met Office warnings under some jobsworth nose, he assured me "we'll all be outside tomorrow "

Aye right  

[Zerouali lives]

I suppose there's a chance that the red alert area could be expanded as we get nearer the event?

Stonehaven has a history of flooding and the river South Esk will be in full spate cascading down Glen Clova - would be quite a sight by Friday morning I'd imagine

[NorthernRab]

Matron! 

[Quinach]

Going to be a entertaining few days ahead.

Today was mainly overcast with spits of rain in the wind off and on.  Feeling milder than of late with the wind steadily increasing all day, now gusty enough to be blowing of small branches driving round Kemnay area just now.

Weather apps keep changing about how much rain will fall over the next three days - they were initially bullish about there being a pronounced dry spell during Friday before rain returning Saturday.  That certainty not there now.  That will make a difference in the flooding chances immediately round here.  With the soils relatively thin and impermeable granite/metamorphic bedrock the streams are pretty "flashy" in nature, reacting quickly to variations in rainfall - without that break on Friday real chance for some major flooding round here.  Odds on for the A944 to be closed in the usual places.

Kids not impressed with their planned cinema trip on Friday being postponed - "they always exaggerate these warnings", what cynicism at such a young age...

[Sanserit]

Decided to postpone my trip to Edinburgh until Saturday morning rather than driving south from Stonehaven through the red warning area in the dark after work on Friday. Daughter and I didn’t have any plans for that evening anyway so it makes sense.

Wind coming from NE/ENE direction and blowing between 5 and 10 mph currently. Tidied away the furniture for the winter when I got in from work so hopefully there’s nothing in danger of taking off over the next couple of days. Expecting the Dee to burst its banks as spectacularly as it did in December 2015 if the amounts of rain forecast are accurate but hoping we won’t suffer the power failures that we did as a result of Arwen.

Stay safe everyone!

[edo]

been outside to take the bins out and it is certainly blowing a hoolie, very windy and rainy which is certainly no newsflash but quite horrible to think it will be like this for a couple of days