South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

[SilverWolf]

6 minutes ago, Rich_Clements said:

Heavy rain here at the moment must be snow on high ground

Not here! Admittedly only half way up in Stroud… was some patchy snow in the fields around Bisley earlier, and one random wall with a 2 foot drift! 

[noggin]

2 hours ago, Mapantz said:

Had 26.4mm since the rain started yesterday.

Currently laying underlay/carpet. The windows are wide open as I'm roasting! 11.1°C.

I have just changed all the bedding and am also roasting! I too have opened the window for a cool down! Still, it brings in some nice fresh air as well, which is good.

[Nights King]

1 hour ago, Rich_Clements said:

Heavy rain here at the moment must be snow on high ground

Needs to be very high ground. It's 11c here currently 

[SilverWolf]

My extremely rose tinted look at much later tonight and early (perhaps with a dose of IMBY). 
The low pressure is further south than predicted right now. It’s showing sleet/snow (admittedly high ground) in SW Ireland, and as the crow flies about 50 miles NW of me currently. Every time we get a heavy shower here the temp drops rapidly (it’s all rain atm), and does recover a bit after - beet scientific observation from ‘stepping outside’. IF the low sinks south east as it passes much later tonight, temp will prob drop sharply and quickly. Could be snow, at least over high ground, but not exclusively. 
 

My realistic take is that the temp drop will happen, but there may not be much precip left in the system - so perhaps a dusting over higher ground first thing tomorrow. 
 

See what occurs! 

 

[ANYWEATHER]

22 hours ago, Ali1977 said:

I’m watching that closely, another few cm before it clears would be nice 

I expect you're snowed in ,hence no correspondence from you since yesterday. Broadway hill got a couple of inches

[chris55]

38 minutes ago, SilverWolf said:

My extremely rose tinted look at much later tonight and early (perhaps with a dose of IMBY). 
The low pressure is further south than predicted right now. It’s showing sleet/snow (admittedly high ground) in SW Ireland, and as the crow flies about 50 miles NW of me currently. Every time we get a heavy shower here the temp drops rapidly (it’s all rain atm), and does recover a bit after - beet scientific observation from ‘stepping outside’. IF the low sinks south east as it passes much later tonight, temp will prob drop sharply and quickly. Could be snow, at least over high ground, but not exclusively. 
 

My realistic take is that the temp drop will happen, but there may not be much precip left in the system - so perhaps a dusting over higher ground first thing tomorrow. 
 

See what occurs! 

 

I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see at least some falling snow and possible accumulations in Gloucestershire early hours tomorrow. As that cold air digs south, we look to be right in the centre of the pivot.

 

[Mapantz]

Piddling down here!

[SilverWolf]

42 minutes ago, chris55 said:

I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see at least some falling snow and possible accumulations in Gloucestershire early hours tomorrow. As that cold air digs south, we look to be right in the centre of the pivot.

 

Any chance the precip will pick up after it leaves Ireland? No clue as to what the sea will do to it… 

Edited March 9, 2023 by SilverWolf

[khodds]

I can’t believe how warm it was today, such a kick in the guts after the forecasts earlier in the week. Sometimes I hate living in England! So I guess that’s it for the season? 

[chris55]

5 minutes ago, SilverWolf said:

Any chance the precip will pick up after it leaves Ireland? No clue as to what the sea will do to it… 

Anyone’s guess I’m thinking. A case of waiting and seeing. I’ve seen plenty of surprises in these kind of situations for our area. 
 

I think some of the short range models are giving a few cms over the higher ground so have to be in with a chance  

 

[Isleofwightsnowgal74]

Soo is there a chance still tomo morning?? We’ve not even had a flurry here

[Blizzardof82]

25 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Soo is there a chance still tomo morning?? We’ve not even had a flurry here

No sorry

Yellow warning just issued 

[SilverWolf]

New warning for ‘Snow and Ice’ from Met, 4am-10am tomorrow  morning.. pretty close to north of our region. 
 

[Isleofwightsnowgal74]

6 minutes ago, Blizzardof82 said:

No sorry

Yellow warning just issued 

That’s me done now! See you all in November 5 years no laying snow here (and counting) 

[Blizzardof82]

 

[Mapantz]

15.2mm of rain so far today. 34mm for the month.

[SilverWolf]

Just now, Blizzardof82 said:

 

Interesting! If that could end up more south west of that at that time, lots of happy people here tomorrow morning… 

[matt111]

The dry few weeks is already a distant memory after the last couple of days. It's turned very wet out there again this evening and is quite windy too which although nothing exceptional seems a bit of a novelty after it's been so calm for so long. 

[Mapantz]

Here's the UKV for you folks north of the region:

     

[Blizzardof82]

Just now, SilverWolf said:

Interesting! If that could end up more south west of that at that time, lots of happy people here tomorrow morning… 

Yes agreed that chart ties in with METO warning

[Blizzardof82]

Amazing temperature contrast 8.7c here and only 2.4c in Newport

[Ali1977]

The next snow round has started, already white and hoping for more than any of the last few days - nice to see a hard frost forecast after it too!! 

[SteveB]

Nowt here but rain.

Very poor once again for us down here.

Roll on the sunny warm weather. 

Well done for all who had some snow. 

[noggin]

Just rain here. Am looking very hard to see if there are any flakes within the rain, but there aren’t! 
 

[Ali1977]

Already over an inch and coming down hard, not sure if it will stop soon or start pivoting north to south!!