Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards

[Wivenswold]

Looks like some cells have popped up SW of Sevenoaks. They appear to be heading straight for Wennington, where the awful wildfire is still in progress. Hopefully they'll dampen it all down shortly. 

[Allseasons-Si]

Sferics near Brighton.

[Peachy]

Many cells will start developing in the next hour over much of southern and central England. 

Things are about to get interesting soon.

[Justin1705]

5 minutes ago, Wivenswold said:

Looks like some cells have popped up SW of Sevenoaks. They appear to be heading straight for Wennington, where the awful wildfire is still in progress. Hopefully they'll dampen it all down shortly. 

Well I mean the rainfall seems to very evaporative. It will only do any benefit if the rain reaches the floor. If not lightning hitting dry hot straw or houses or wood is a recipe for disaster and will make things worst around that area. Fingers crossed

[tomp456]

3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Sferics near Brighton.

Nowt seen on heard here a few miles to the west of Brighton. 

Edited July 19, 2022 by tomp456

[john w]

It has got extremely dark and close near me, ready to pop maybe, we shall see!

[Mesoscale]

Its trying to rain in Watford. 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I can confirm there are clouds, and I can confirm that little is actually happening to the clouds

[Allseasons-Si]

5 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

Nowt seen on heard here a few miles to the west of Brighton. 

Showing on Blitzortung.

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Edited July 19, 2022 by Allseasons-si

[MR CB]

This gusty wind is insane - bonkers really...plenty of convective cloud but only a few drops and abating the heat a little - now cooler outside than inside!

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

We are running out of time for something to happen

[Allseasons-Si]

Looking at the Sat images,...there seems to be a line of convection breaking out vertical through the Bristol area.

[Frosty hollows]

Wind has picked up massively here. Feels very threatening all of a sudden!

[Atmogenic]

14 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I can confirm there are clouds,

Imagine in the future where we confirm clouds have appeared and not lightning or thunder heard 

[ChezWeather]

Couple of cells trying to get going East of Bristol

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Yawn. I think I’m gonna head home and do something productive. It just ain’t gonna happen

[Azazel]

40 minutes ago, Robbie Garrett said:

That front is taking the absolute Swearing AGAIN!   Look at earlier, now it gets to London. Nada.  Eurghhhh

To be fair, there was barely anything reaching the ground when it passed over here. A few minutes of EXTREMELY light raindrops. Radar is deceptive in that sense.

[P-M]

25 minutes ago, Peachy said:

Many cells will start developing in the next hour over much of southern and central England. 

Things are about to get interesting soon.

 

Do you think there's any chance of them moving north into Northern England? I'm really disappointed tonight!

[Harry's House]

17 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Showing on Blitzortung.

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See lightning strikes in realtime nearby your area. Get free online access to maps of former and current thunderstorms. A contribution by Blitzortung.org and contributors.

 

Lightning & Thunderstorms - United Kingdom, England, Scotland, Wales, Ireland

WWW.BLITZORTUNG.ORG

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I have these lightning maps on my 'Favourites'. They are very useful.

[Cornishdave]

3 hours ago, Azuremoon2 said:

an absolutely pathetic end to a heatwave, as we all expected up here. NOTHING on radar whatsoever. Very disappointing bust and once again an inaccurate forecast for Cheshire. Really don't know why they bother.

I don’t recall seeing anywhere that’s forecasted severe storms to break out? Have I missed something? Seems to be much disappointment on here for an event that wasn’t really forecast? I think they all went with possible thundery outbreaks as the cold front moves in, that’s pretty much what’s happened? I’m in the southwest and the heatwave hasn’t ended, the front passed through earlier with a little rain and convection but after that skies are clear and it’s 29 degrees.

[Supacell]

ECM 12z is showing some heavy thunderstorms moving from North Wales towards Merseyside and Lancashire during the early hours of tomorrow. I can't see it in any other models or forecasts so seems a strange output. I suppose anything could happen tonight. Its all a bit above my knowledge level.

[Harry]

44 minutes ago, Robbie Garrett said:

About 2 miles west of me is VIRGA, can see the strobes bouncing light of it now as one aircraft just flew through it.     I just know we are fighting against a lot, unless we are talking nocturnal cooling after Sunset and the unsettled nature of the front(s)?  A bit like the heat storms in Africa at night?

 

Fingers crossed. NMM is my favourite model for storm prediction

[AnvilCrawlers]

On 19/07/2022 at 19:34, Cornishdave said:

I don’t recall seeing anywhere that’s forecasted severe storms to break out? Have I missed something? Seems to be much disappointment on here for an event that wasn’t really forecast? I think they all went with possible thundery outbreaks as the cold front moves in, that’s pretty much what’s happened? I’m in the southwest and the heatwave hasn’t ended, the front passed through earlier with a little rain and convection but after that skies are clear and it’s 29 degrees.

I agree I didn't see much in the way of Storm's forecast.was a low risk of anything.im in Somerset and the same 30°© this morning at around 10 am.Front past with little rain and we still around 27 now.

Edited July 19, 2022 by AnvilCrawlers

[Allseasons-Si]

3 minutes ago, Supacell said:

ECM 12z is showing some heavy thunderstorms moving from North Wales towards Merseyside and Lancashire during the early hours of tomorrow. I can't see it in any other models or forecasts so seems a strange output. I suppose anything could happen tonight. Its all a bit above my knowledge level.

It could possibly be those cells that are just getting going around Bristol but they look to be fading on the latest returns.

[Electricmumma]

Bexhill seafront, wind picked up massively, followed in by some interesting clouds. Three drops of rain felt.. almost a relief