Storms and Convective discussion - August 2023

[Sprites]

1 minute ago, Supacell said:

I think he says error bars as he's referring to the margin of area with predicting where any storms will be.

I thought he was on about chocolate bars, Aerobars and Mars bars. 

[Supacell]

Now if it was raining chocolate I'd definitely be out chasing!!

[alexisj9]

1 minute ago, Supacell said:

Now if it was raining chocolate I'd definitely be out chasing!!

Me too, yum.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Can’t wait for the hydrolapse aerobars, and the elevated tobleranemometor

[matty40s]

13 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Can’t wait for the hydrolapse aerobars, and the elevated tobleranemometor

Oh lemon, not again, I will have to activate the Neutroshell cover again.

[Thunders]

Can see the starbars in the sky, too much light pollution to see the milkway tho. 

[Metwatch]

Interesting meteorology at play currently.

We've got the mid / high level cloud and instability in red coming from a southerly direction, however the North Sea low cloud / clag depicted in white is moving in mostly from the east, as the wind direction at the surface is different compared to much higher up.

I think these are the type of set ups where you can get thunder fog in for coastal areas, but quite rare for it to all come together. Not expecting that tomorow morning anyway.

August 2020 there may have been an instance of that if i remember.

Edited August 17, 2023 by Metwatch

[Chris K]

Another storm forecast, once again initiation possible early morning/breakfast time from M4 region. What happened to late evening & overnight storms pushing North from Bay of Biscay in the recent couple of years? Seems much more rare now!

[cheese]

20 minutes ago, Metwatch said:

Interesting meteorology at play currently.

We've got the mid / high level cloud and instability in red coming from a southerly direction, however the North Sea low cloud / clag depicted in white is moving in mostly from the east, as the wind direction at the surface is different compared to much higher up.

I think these are the type of set ups where you can get thunder fog in for coastal areas, but quite rare for it to all come together. Not expecting that tomorow morning anyway.

August 2020 there may have been an instance of that if i remember.

I swear I remember having 'thunder fog' years ago.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

53 minutes ago, matty40s said:

Oh lemon, not again, I will have to activate the Neutroshell cover again.

Please… not again. I’ve only just cleaned the Nutella off my cape from last time

[Woodboss]

Evening all, just as we approach a potentially active 24 hours or so of weather there are signs that we are now coming towards some destabilisation. Some rather pokey little cells are starting to form now between the approaching trough to the South West and the little convective mess that I'm watching moving in towards Hampshire and West Sussex. This is the point where I usually start keeping a closer eye on the radar. Best of luck to all that will be out chasing over the next day or so and hopefully we will see some decent convective activity .

[Sprites]

43 minutes ago, Metwatch said:

Interesting meteorology at play currently.

We've got the mid / high level cloud and instability in red coming from a southerly direction, however the North Sea low cloud / clag depicted in white is moving in mostly from the east, as the wind direction at the surface is different compared to much higher up.

I think these are the type of set ups where you can get thunder fog in for coastal areas, but quite rare for it to all come together. Not expecting that tomorow morning anyway.

August 2020 there may have been an instance of that if i remember.

Lost count of the times low cloud from the North sea , has ruined any views of cloud structure and lightning.

Edited August 17, 2023 by Sprites

[offerman]

3 hours ago, offerman said:

On a flight back from spain shortly to bristol, might be the best chance of me setting sferics( have a window seat too. 

Just landed no sferics 

IMG_0908.dng

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Stuff happening in the channel. Shame I’m off to bed. But up again for work in about 4 hours lol. Up with the thunder

[Alderc 2.0]

Oh dear, no sferics whatsoever from the showers that formed. Somehow it’s even managed to stay dry here all night. 
 

Both UKV and Arome seem to have removed a lot of this evenings action as well

[Thunderspotter]

Morning!

Well the forecasts don't seem to be in my favor anymore, and what was once booming in the channel has just turned into a rainy mess... Surprisingly heavy, but not worth waking up early to see it. 

[Alderc 2.0]

4 minutes ago, Thunderspotter said:

Morning!

Well the forecasts don't seem to be in my favor anymore, and what was once booming in the channel has just turned into a rainy mess... Surprisingly heavy, but not worth waking up early to see it. 

Yep, this is a big fail even by uk failure standards. 

[tollgateiow]

We had quite a big rumble around 6AM and a couple of distant ones a bit earlier so better than nothing! Very heavy rain too

Edited August 18, 2023 by tollgateiow

[Tamsin]

16 minutes ago, Alderc 2.0 said:

Yep, this is a big fail even by uk failure standards. 

By UK failure standards?  Those are strong words!

[Thunderspotter]

Got some strikes near Emsworth.

[Snowshine]

Not seeing anything of interest today, not even sure why the yellow warning is still in place until 12pm.

[Ben Sainsbury]

Was only expecting sporadic strikes for the stuff this morning, so I don't think it was too far from general expectations. It does appear like the tongue instability struggled to advect far enough northwards however, with any lightning really being confined to the channel.

Edited August 18, 2023 by Ben Sainsbury

[Cableguy]

52 minutes ago, Alderc 2.0 said:

Yep, this is a big fail even by uk failure standards. 

Is it? Rainy mess with the odd rumble of thunder was all that was forecast for this morning was it not?

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

3 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Was only expecting sporadic strikes for the stuff this morning, so I don't think it was too far from general expectations. It does appear like the tongue instability struggled to advect far enough northwards however, with any lightning really being confined to the channel.

The later stuff looks to be restricted to wales tbh

[Lauren]

As usual with storms I'll believe it when I see it. Loving storms is a cruel mistress, so much temptation but so often not producing.