SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on

[TROY]

Lovely and clear here this morning. 2 or 3 days of fine sunny weather to look forward too. Chance for the garden to dry out.

[throwoff]

11 minutes ago, lottiekent said:

Oh no! I imagine that’ll also be us on the south coast on Wednesday!  Hoping we all get to see a bit of snow this week.

Don't write it off yet! That low is slowly looking like it might clip us.

[Gowon]

The ICON 6z keeps the low in the far south coast but there is now another opportunity with the ppn moving south from the nw:

[JennyJane1]

55 minutes ago, lottiekent said:

I will take any crumb of hope so thank you

This morning has started sunny and colder, currently coldest it’s been since midnight at -0.3c and a DP of -2.7c.

Good luck today for any snow showers clipping those of you in Norfolk and Suffolk!

Thanks,

No snow ovenight here despite the map looking promising.Now very cold but bright with small patches of ice on the paths and a slight crunch to the grass.

[Shaunado]

My carer's car thermometer was showing -6C this morning. A lovely crisp sunny day. That snow on Wednesday looks tantalisingly close. Stick your tongue out at Eastbourne and perhaps you will catch a flake on it!

[Floatylight]

1 minute ago, Spikey M said:

It depends really, Norfolk usually have a better chance, especially close to The Wash and that northern stretch of coast. You guys aren't entirely off the table, being more inland, but I have already resigned myself to not getting any of the white stuff being tucked away where the North Sea meets the Thames.

Wait for the possible pivot of that lp system..

[snowray]

2 minutes ago, Shaunado said:

My carer's car thermometer was showing -6C this morning. A lovely crisp sunny day. That snow on Wednesday looks tantalisingly close. Stick your tongue out at Eastbourne and perhaps you will catch a flake on it!

PPN on ICON slightly further north again on Wednesday, right along the south coast.

You gave me an idea, there's a pretty long pier at Eastbourne, and there's a pub right at the end of the pier, I might be tempted!

[lassie23]

from having a quick look in the MOD thread it is a long way back for cold weather after this weekend but it should be quick lol. They love contradicting each other in that thread.

[SnowBorder]

My hope is building for a push north from Wednesdays low. 100 miles is a small but required margin in these scenarios. It’s still very possible.  

[tight isobar]

1 minute ago, SnowBorder said:

My hope is building for a push north from Wednesdays low. 100 miles is a small but required margin in these scenarios. It’s still very possible.  

Stil an evolutionary possibility @ nudge northward, we are still in the game …. JUST!!!.

[MAF]

36 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

from having a quick look in the MOD thread it is a long way back for cold weather after this weekend but it should be quick lol. They love contradicting each other in that thread.

Imagine a few of them out for a meal and one asks "do you want something hot or cold to eat?"   

[throwoff]

06Z GFS has decided to take the gradual northern correction it was making and throw it out the window!

Dead in the water as it stands.

[Gowon]

3 minutes ago, throwoff said:

06Z GFS has decided to take the gradual northern correction it was making and throw it out the window!

Dead in the water as it stands.

It still clips the south coast though and on the actual day it may drift slightly north.

[lassie23]

I can't wait until the summer as we don't get any weather then and there isn't any pointless chasing of weather that will never materialize

[Eagle Eye]

Would be incredibly ironic if this hits wouldn't it? 

[Kent Blizzard]

So now the main focus is on a potentially nasty storm for the South next weekend, no doubt that's something that does come up trumps when we don't blooming want it or need it!

At least some dry weather over the next few days, probably will still check the radar on Wednesday, just to see how it plays out across the Channel etc 

 

[throwoff]

That Storm looks like it could be quite something, if, it comes up

[Kent Blizzard]

Just now, Eagle Eye said:

Would be incredibly ironic if this hits wouldn't it? 

That went through my mind at exactly the same time you posted it EE 

[danm]

Give me an easterly over a northerly any day.

[snowray]

Just posted this chart on the MAD thread, big move from the Arome French model, about 50/60 miles further north, it had shown the PPN consistently way to the south of us. I imagine they are keeping a close eye on this feature across the channel, possible big snow for northern France and Benelux.

 

10 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

Would be incredibly ironic if this hits wouldn't it? 

Yes it would, vileness!

[Gowon]

A bit desperate, but the WRF for Weds afternoon/evening:

[snowray]

[throwoff]

Just now, snowray said:

So close we can taste it!

[snowray]

Just now, throwoff said:

So close we can taste it!

Indeed, what a nightmare!

As long as we don't see any shifts south in the next 24 hours or so, I think that some places could still get lucky, tomorrow evenings radar will be the one to watch.

[MAF]

3 minutes ago, throwoff said:

So close we can taste it!

Nah, just wake up and smell the coffee